NRL Predictions, Round 14
Team Ratings for Round 14
Here are the team ratings prior to Round 14, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
| Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Storm | 12.17 | 4.63 | 7.50 |
| Broncos | 5.71 | 5.57 | 0.10 |
| Wests Tigers | 4.47 | 4.52 | -0.00 |
| Bulldogs | 3.70 | -1.86 | 5.60 |
| Sea Eagles | 2.70 | 9.83 | -7.10 |
| Cowboys | 1.58 | -1.32 | 2.90 |
| Warriors | 1.51 | 5.28 | -3.80 |
| Rabbitohs | 1.00 | 0.04 | 1.00 |
| Dragons | -1.20 | 4.36 | -5.60 |
| Sharks | -2.41 | -7.97 | 5.60 |
| Titans | -3.13 | -11.80 | 8.70 |
| Roosters | -3.76 | 0.25 | -4.00 |
| Knights | -4.18 | 0.77 | -5.00 |
| Panthers | -4.58 | -3.40 | -1.20 |
| Eels | -7.79 | -4.23 | -3.60 |
| Raiders | -9.53 | -8.40 | -1.10 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 98 matches played, 58 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59.18%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
| Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans vs. Cowboys | Jun 01 | 28 – 12 | -3.30 | FALSE |
| 2 | Sea Eagles vs. Dragons | Jun 01 | 20 – 8 | 7.72 | TRUE |
| 3 | Raiders vs. Wests Tigers | Jun 02 | 0 – 40 | -3.69 | TRUE |
| 4 | Bulldogs vs. Rabbitohs | Jun 02 | 23 – 18 | 7.62 | TRUE |
| 5 | Warriors vs. Storm | Jun 03 | 12 – 22 | -5.42 | TRUE |
| 6 | Broncos vs. Knights | Jun 03 | 50 – 24 | 12.18 | TRUE |
| 7 | Eels vs. Sharks | Jun 04 | 29 – 20 | -2.76 | FALSE |
Predictions for Round 14
Here are the predictions for Round 14
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Storm vs. Wests Tigers | Jun 08 | Storm | 12.20 |
| 2 | Knights vs. Raiders | Jun 09 | Knights | 9.90 |
| 3 | Sharks vs. Titans | Jun 10 | Sharks | 5.20 |
| 4 | Roosters vs. Broncos | Jun 10 | Broncos | -5.00 |
| 5 | Panthers vs. Warriors | Jun 11 | Warriors | -1.60 |
David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation. See all posts by David Scott »