Team Ratings for Round 1
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
|Current Rating||Rating at Season Start||Difference|
Predictions for Round 1
Here are the predictions for Round 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
|1||Broncos vs. Rabbitohs||Mar 05||Rabbitohs||-6.00|
|2||Eels vs. Sea Eagles||Mar 06||Sea Eagles||-6.90|
|3||Cowboys vs. Roosters||Mar 07||Cowboys||3.40|
|4||Knights vs. Warriors||Mar 07||Knights||0.70|
|5||Titans vs. Wests Tigers||Mar 07||Titans||7.90|
|6||Panthers vs. Bulldogs||Mar 08||Panthers||6.50|
|7||Sharks vs. Raiders||Mar 08||Raiders||-0.70|
|8||Dragons vs. Storm||Mar 09||Storm||-3.10|