Team Ratings for the Preliminary Finals
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
|Current Rating||Rating at Season Start||Difference|
Performance So Far
So far there have been 198 matches played, 128 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 64.6%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
|1||Cowboys vs. Broncos||Sep 16||26 – 20||6.60||TRUE|
|2||Raiders vs. Panthers||Sep 17||22 – 12||6.30||TRUE|
Predictions for the Preliminary Finals
Here are the predictions for the Preliminary Finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
|1||Sharks vs. Cowboys||Sep 23||Cowboys||-0.90|
|2||Storm vs. Raiders||Sep 24||Storm||2.40|