Posts written by David Scott (313)

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David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation.

May 25, 2016

Super 18 Predictions for Round 14

Team Ratings for Round 14

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 10.23 9.84 0.40
Highlanders 7.33 6.80 0.50
Hurricanes 6.75 7.26 -0.50
Chiefs 5.60 2.68 2.90
Waratahs 4.08 4.88 -0.80
Brumbies 2.95 3.15 -0.20
Sharks 2.86 -1.64 4.50
Lions 2.72 -1.80 4.50
Stormers 0.59 -0.62 1.20
Bulls -0.87 -0.74 -0.10
Blues -5.34 -5.51 0.20
Rebels -5.87 -6.33 0.50
Cheetahs -7.27 -9.27 2.00
Jaguares -8.05 -10.00 1.90
Reds -9.34 -9.81 0.50
Force -11.03 -8.43 -2.60
Sunwolves -16.35 -10.00 -6.40
Kings -22.22 -13.66 -8.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 100 matches played, 72 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 72%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Waratahs May 20 29 – 10 8.90 TRUE
2 Reds vs. Sunwolves May 21 35 – 25 11.20 TRUE
3 Chiefs vs. Rebels May 21 36 – 15 14.70 TRUE
4 Force vs. Blues May 21 13 – 17 -1.40 TRUE
5 Lions vs. Jaguares May 21 52 – 24 13.00 TRUE
6 Sharks vs. Kings May 21 53 – 0 25.30 TRUE
7 Bulls vs. Stormers May 21 17 – 13 1.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 14

Here are the predictions for Round 14. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Highlanders May 27 Hurricanes 2.90
2 Waratahs vs. Chiefs May 27 Waratahs 2.50
3 Kings vs. Jaguares May 27 Jaguares -10.20
4 Blues vs. Crusaders May 28 Crusaders -12.10
5 Brumbies vs. Sunwolves May 28 Brumbies 23.30
6 Stormers vs. Cheetahs May 28 Stormers 11.40
7 Bulls vs. Lions May 28 Lions -0.10
8 Rebels vs. Force May 29 Rebels 8.70

 

NRL Predictions for Round 12

Team Ratings for Round 12

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Broncos 12.27 9.81 2.50
Cowboys 11.90 10.29 1.60
Storm 7.33 4.41 2.90
Sharks 6.19 -1.06 7.20
Bulldogs 2.97 1.50 1.50
Roosters 1.29 11.20 -9.90
Raiders 1.12 -0.55 1.70
Eels 0.22 -4.62 4.80
Rabbitohs -0.34 -1.20 0.90
Panthers -0.43 -3.06 2.60
Sea Eagles -0.48 0.36 -0.80
Dragons -3.79 -0.10 -3.70
Titans -4.16 -8.39 4.20
Warriors -7.72 -7.47 -0.30
Wests Tigers -8.95 -4.06 -4.90
Knights -15.75 -5.41 -10.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 88 matches played, 51 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 58%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Rabbitohs vs. Dragons May 19 34 – 24 2.40 TRUE
2 Cowboys vs. Broncos May 20 19 – 18 2.90 TRUE
3 Wests Tigers vs. Knights May 21 20 – 12 10.10 TRUE
4 Warriors vs. Raiders May 21 12 – 38 -1.50 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Sea Eagles May 21 20 – 12 10.00 TRUE
6 Panthers vs. Titans May 22 24 – 28 8.50 FALSE
7 Bulldogs vs. Roosters May 22 32 – 20 3.50 TRUE
8 Eels vs. Storm May 23 6 – 18 -2.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 12

Here are the predictions for Round 12. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Broncos vs. Wests Tigers May 27 Broncos 24.20
2 Dragons vs. Cowboys May 28 Cowboys -12.70
3 Raiders vs. Bulldogs May 29 Raiders 1.10
4 Knights vs. Eels May 30 Eels -13.00

 

May 18, 2016

Super 18 Predictions for Round 13

Team Ratings for Round 13

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 9.63 9.84 -0.20
Highlanders 7.33 6.80 0.50
Hurricanes 6.75 7.26 -0.50
Chiefs 5.22 2.68 2.50
Waratahs 4.69 4.88 -0.20
Brumbies 2.95 3.15 -0.20
Lions 1.82 -1.80 3.60
Sharks 1.19 -1.64 2.80
Stormers 0.72 -0.62 1.30
Bulls -1.01 -0.74 -0.30
Rebels -5.49 -6.33 0.80
Blues -5.50 -5.51 0.00
Jaguares -7.15 -10.00 2.80
Cheetahs -7.27 -9.27 2.00
Reds -9.27 -9.81 0.50
Force -10.87 -8.43 -2.40
Sunwolves -16.42 -10.00 -6.40
Kings -20.56 -13.66 -6.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 93 matches played, 65 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 69.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Crusaders May 13 34 – 26 0.30 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Brumbies May 13 22 – 30 -4.50 TRUE
3 Hurricanes vs. Reds May 14 29 – 14 20.70 TRUE
4 Waratahs vs. Bulls May 14 31 – 8 7.90 TRUE
5 Sunwolves vs. Stormers May 14 17 – 17 -14.90 FALSE
6 Cheetahs vs. Kings May 14 34 – 20 17.20 TRUE
7 Lions vs. Blues May 14 43 – 5 7.70 TRUE
8 Jaguares vs. Sharks May 14 22 – 25 -4.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 13

Here are the predictions for Round 13. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Crusaders vs. Waratahs May 20 Crusaders 8.90
2 Reds vs. Sunwolves May 21 Reds 11.20
3 Chiefs vs. Rebels May 21 Chiefs 14.70
4 Force vs. Blues May 21 Blues -1.40
5 Lions vs. Jaguares May 21 Lions 13.00
6 Sharks vs. Kings May 21 Sharks 25.30
7 Bulls vs. Stormers May 21 Bulls 1.80

 

NRL Predictions for Round 11

Team Ratings for Round 11

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Broncos 12.11 9.81 2.30
Cowboys 12.06 10.29 1.80
Storm 6.67 4.41 2.30
Sharks 6.35 -1.06 7.40
Bulldogs 2.36 1.50 0.90
Roosters 1.90 11.20 -9.30
Eels 0.88 -4.62 5.50
Panthers 0.45 -3.06 3.50
Raiders -0.55 -0.55 0.00
Sea Eagles -0.64 0.36 -1.00
Rabbitohs -0.89 -1.20 0.30
Dragons -3.24 -0.10 -3.10
Titans -5.04 -8.39 3.30
Warriors -6.04 -7.47 1.40
Wests Tigers -8.78 -4.06 -4.70
Knights -15.92 -5.41 -10.50

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 80 matches played, 44 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 55%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Dragons vs. Raiders May 12 16 – 12 -0.40 FALSE
2 Eels vs. Rabbitohs May 13 20 – 22 5.90 FALSE
3 Panthers vs. Warriors May 14 30 – 18 5.60 TRUE
4 Storm vs. Cowboys May 14 15 – 14 -6.50 FALSE
5 Broncos vs. Sea Eagles May 14 30 – 6 14.40 TRUE
6 Knights vs. Sharks May 15 0 – 62 -12.80 TRUE
7 Wests Tigers vs. Bulldogs May 15 4 – 36 -7.80 TRUE
8 Titans vs. Roosters May 16 26 – 6 -7.70 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 11

Here are the predictions for Round 11. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Rabbitohs vs. Dragons May 19 Rabbitohs 2.40
2 Cowboys vs. Broncos May 20 Cowboys 2.90
3 Wests Tigers vs. Knights May 21 Wests Tigers 10.10
4 Warriors vs. Raiders May 21 Raiders -1.50
5 Sharks vs. Sea Eagles May 21 Sharks 10.00
6 Panthers vs. Titans May 22 Panthers 8.50
7 Bulldogs vs. Roosters May 22 Bulldogs 3.50
8 Eels vs. Storm May 23 Storm -2.80

 

May 11, 2016

Super 18 Predictions for Round 12

 

Team Ratings for Round 12

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 10.09 9.84 0.30
Hurricanes 7.09 7.26 -0.20
Highlanders 6.86 6.80 0.10
Chiefs 5.22 2.68 2.50
Waratahs 3.78 4.88 -1.10
Brumbies 2.75 3.15 -0.40
Stormers 1.62 -0.62 2.20
Sharks 1.29 -1.64 2.90
Lions 0.00 -1.80 1.80
Bulls -0.10 -0.74 0.60
Blues -3.68 -5.51 1.80
Rebels -5.29 -6.33 1.00
Cheetahs -7.08 -9.27 2.20
Jaguares -7.24 -10.00 2.80
Reds -9.61 -9.81 0.20
Force -10.87 -8.43 -2.40
Sunwolves -17.32 -10.00 -7.30
Kings -20.75 -13.66 -7.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 85 matches played, 58 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Reds May 06 38 – 5 22.40 TRUE
2 Brumbies vs. Bulls May 06 23 – 6 5.50 TRUE
3 Sunwolves vs. Force May 07 22 – 40 -0.30 TRUE
4 Chiefs vs. Highlanders May 07 13 – 26 3.90 FALSE
5 Waratahs vs. Cheetahs May 07 21 – 6 14.80 TRUE
6 Sharks vs. Hurricanes May 07 32 – 15 -4.40 FALSE
7 Kings vs. Blues May 07 18 – 34 -12.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 12

Here are the predictions for Round 12. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Crusaders May 13 Highlanders 0.30
2 Rebels vs. Brumbies May 13 Brumbies -4.50
3 Hurricanes vs. Reds May 14 Hurricanes 20.70
4 Waratahs vs. Bulls May 14 Waratahs 7.90
5 Sunwolves vs. Stormers May 14 Stormers -14.90
6 Cheetahs vs. Kings May 14 Cheetahs 17.20
7 Lions vs. Blues May 14 Lions 7.70
8 Jaguares vs. Sharks May 14 Sharks -4.50

 

May 4, 2016

Super 18 Predictions for Round 11

Team Ratings for Round 11

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 9.46 9.84 -0.40
Hurricanes 8.37 7.26 1.10
Chiefs 6.23 2.68 3.60
Highlanders 5.85 6.80 -0.90
Waratahs 3.77 4.88 -1.10
Brumbies 2.05 3.15 -1.10
Stormers 1.62 -0.62 2.20
Bulls 0.59 -0.74 1.30
Sharks 0.00 -1.64 1.60
Lions 0.00 -1.80 1.80
Blues -3.88 -5.51 1.60
Rebels -5.29 -6.33 1.00
Cheetahs -7.07 -9.27 2.20
Jaguares -7.24 -10.00 2.80
Reds -8.98 -9.81 0.80
Force -11.93 -8.43 -3.50
Sunwolves -16.26 -10.00 -6.30
Kings -20.55 -13.66 -6.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 78 matches played, 53 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Chiefs vs. Sharks Apr 29 24 – 22 11.40 TRUE
2 Force vs. Bulls Apr 29 20 – 42 -6.70 TRUE
3 Highlanders vs. Brumbies Apr 30 23 – 10 7.10 TRUE
4 Blues vs. Rebels Apr 30 36 – 30 5.30 TRUE
5 Reds vs. Cheetahs Apr 30 30 – 17 0.60 TRUE
6 Lions vs. Hurricanes Apr 30 17 – 50 -0.50 TRUE
7 Stormers vs. Waratahs Apr 30 30 – 32 2.40 FALSE
8 Jaguares vs. Kings Apr 30 73 – 27 13.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 11

Here are the predictions for Round 11. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Crusaders vs. Reds May 06 Crusaders 22.40
2 Brumbies vs. Bulls May 06 Brumbies 5.50
3 Sunwolves vs. Force May 07 Force -0.30
4 Chiefs vs. Highlanders May 07 Chiefs 3.90
5 Waratahs vs. Cheetahs May 07 Waratahs 14.80
6 Sharks vs. Hurricanes May 07 Hurricanes -4.40
7 Kings vs. Blues May 07 Blues -12.70

 

NRL Predictions for Round 10

Team Ratings for Round 10

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Cowboys 12.60 10.29 2.30
Broncos 11.43 9.81 1.60
Storm 6.13 4.41 1.70
Roosters 3.78 11.20 -7.40
Sharks 3.11 -1.06 4.20
Eels 1.45 -4.62 6.10
Bulldogs 0.71 1.50 -0.80
Sea Eagles 0.05 0.36 -0.30
Panthers -0.02 -3.06 3.00
Raiders -0.20 -0.55 0.40
Rabbitohs -1.46 -1.20 -0.30
Dragons -3.59 -0.10 -3.50
Warriors -5.57 -7.47 1.90
Titans -6.92 -8.39 1.50
Wests Tigers -7.13 -4.06 -3.10
Knights -12.68 -5.41 -7.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 72 matches played, 40 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 55.6%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Rabbitohs vs. Wests Tigers Apr 28 22 – 30 7.90 FALSE
2 Eels vs. Bulldogs Apr 29 20 – 12 2.90 TRUE
3 Panthers vs. Raiders Apr 30 19 – 18 0.00 TRUE
4 Roosters vs. Knights Apr 30 38 – 0 16.50 TRUE
5 Sea Eagles vs. Cowboys Apr 30 28 – 34 -10.20 TRUE
6 Warriors vs. Dragons May 01 26 – 10 -0.20 FALSE
7 Titans vs. Storm May 01 0 – 38 -5.70 TRUE
8 Sharks vs. Broncos May 01 30 – 28 -6.50 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 10

Here are the predictions for Round 10. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Dragons vs. Raiders May 12 Raiders -0.40
2 Eels vs. Rabbitohs May 13 Eels 5.90
3 Panthers vs. Warriors May 14 Panthers 5.60
4 Storm vs. Cowboys May 14 Cowboys -6.50
5 Broncos vs. Sea Eagles May 14 Broncos 14.40
6 Knights vs. Sharks May 15 Sharks -12.80
7 Wests Tigers vs. Bulldogs May 15 Bulldogs -7.80
8 Titans vs. Roosters May 16 Roosters -7.70

 

April 27, 2016

Super 18 Predictions for Round 10

Team Ratings for Round 10

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 9.46 9.84 -0.40
Chiefs 6.79 2.68 4.10
Hurricanes 6.42 7.26 -0.80
Highlanders 5.50 6.80 -1.30
Waratahs 3.51 4.88 -1.40
Brumbies 2.41 3.15 -0.70
Lions 1.95 -1.80 3.80
Stormers 1.88 -0.62 2.50
Bulls -0.32 -0.74 0.40
Sharks -0.56 -1.64 1.10
Blues -3.92 -5.51 1.60
Rebels -5.24 -6.33 1.10
Cheetahs -6.33 -9.27 2.90
Jaguares -9.20 -10.00 0.80
Reds -9.72 -9.81 0.10
Force -11.01 -8.43 -2.60
Sunwolves -16.26 -10.00 -6.30
Kings -18.59 -13.66 -4.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 70 matches played, 46 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Sharks Apr 22 14 – 15 11.60 FALSE
2 Rebels vs. Cheetahs Apr 22 36 – 14 2.80 TRUE
3 Sunwolves vs. Jaguares Apr 23 36 – 28 -4.60 FALSE
4 Hurricanes vs. Chiefs Apr 23 27 – 28 3.70 FALSE
5 Force vs. Waratahs Apr 23 13 – 49 -7.60 TRUE
6 Stormers vs. Reds Apr 23 40 – 22 15.30 TRUE
7 Kings vs. Lions Apr 23 10 – 45 -14.60 TRUE
8 Brumbies vs. Crusaders Apr 24 14 – 40 0.10 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 10

Here are the predictions for Round 10. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Chiefs vs. Sharks Apr 29 Chiefs 11.40
2 Force vs. Bulls Apr 29 Bulls -6.70
3 Highlanders vs. Brumbies Apr 30 Highlanders 7.10
4 Blues vs. Rebels Apr 30 Blues 5.30
5 Reds vs. Cheetahs Apr 30 Reds 0.60
6 Lions vs. Hurricanes Apr 30 Hurricanes -0.50
7 Stormers vs. Waratahs Apr 30 Stormers 2.40
8 Jaguares vs. Kings Apr 30 Jaguares 13.40

 

NRL Predictions for Round 9

Team Ratings for Round 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Cowboys 12.93 10.29 2.60
Broncos 12.04 9.81 2.20
Storm 3.96 4.41 -0.50
Sharks 2.50 -1.06 3.60
Roosters 2.31 11.20 -8.90
Bulldogs 1.11 1.50 -0.40
Eels 1.04 -4.62 5.70
Panthers -0.10 -3.06 3.00
Raiders -0.12 -0.55 0.40
Sea Eagles -0.29 0.36 -0.70
Rabbitohs -0.35 -1.20 0.90
Dragons -2.46 -0.10 -2.40
Titans -4.75 -8.39 3.60
Warriors -6.70 -7.47 0.80
Wests Tigers -8.24 -4.06 -4.20
Knights -11.21 -5.41 -5.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 64 matches played, 35 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 54.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Broncos vs. Rabbitohs Apr 22 30 – 8 14.30 TRUE
2 Bulldogs vs. Titans Apr 23 21 – 20 10.20 TRUE
3 Raiders vs. Wests Tigers Apr 23 60 – 6 4.60 TRUE
4 Cowboys vs. Eels Apr 23 32 – 16 14.70 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Panthers Apr 24 20 – 18 6.30 TRUE
6 Knights vs. Sea Eagles Apr 25 10 – 26 -6.60 TRUE
7 Dragons vs. Roosters Apr 25 20 – 18 -5.90 FALSE
8 Storm vs. Warriors Apr 25 42 – 0 10.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Rabbitohs vs. Wests Tigers Apr 28 Rabbitohs 7.90
2 Eels vs. Bulldogs Apr 29 Eels 2.90
3 Panthers vs. Raiders Apr 30 Panthers 0.00
4 Roosters vs. Knights Apr 30 Roosters 16.50
5 Sea Eagles vs. Cowboys Apr 30 Cowboys -10.20
6 Warriors vs. Dragons May 01 Dragons -0.20
7 Titans vs. Storm May 01 Storm -5.70
8 Sharks vs. Broncos May 01 Broncos -6.50

 

April 20, 2016

Super 18 Predictions for Round 9

Team Ratings for Round 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 7.89 9.84 -1.90
Hurricanes 6.70 7.26 -0.60
Chiefs 6.51 2.68 3.80
Highlanders 6.25 6.80 -0.50
Brumbies 3.97 3.15 0.80
Waratahs 1.80 4.88 -3.10
Stormers 1.72 -0.62 2.30
Lions 0.73 -1.80 2.50
Bulls -0.32 -0.74 0.40
Sharks -1.31 -1.64 0.30
Blues -3.92 -5.51 1.60
Cheetahs -5.17 -9.27 4.10
Rebels -6.40 -6.33 -0.10
Jaguares -8.44 -10.00 1.60
Force -9.31 -8.43 -0.90
Reds -9.56 -9.81 0.30
Sunwolves -17.01 -10.00 -7.00
Kings -17.37 -13.66 -3.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 62 matches played, 42 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Jaguares Apr 15 32 – 15 20.80 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Hurricanes Apr 15 13 – 38 -6.90 TRUE
3 Cheetahs vs. Sunwolves Apr 15 92 – 17 7.80 TRUE
4 Blues vs. Sharks Apr 16 23 – 18 0.90 TRUE
5 Waratahs vs. Brumbies Apr 16 20 – 26 2.30 FALSE
6 Bulls vs. Reds Apr 16 41 – 22 12.40 TRUE
7 Lions vs. Stormers Apr 16 29 – 22 1.90 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Sharks Apr 22 Highlanders 11.60
2 Rebels vs. Cheetahs Apr 22 Rebels 2.80
3 Sunwolves vs. Jaguares Apr 23 Jaguares -4.60
4 Hurricanes vs. Chiefs Apr 23 Hurricanes 3.70
5 Force vs. Waratahs Apr 23 Waratahs -7.60
6 Stormers vs. Reds Apr 23 Stormers 15.30
7 Kings vs. Lions Apr 23 Lions -14.60
8 Brumbies vs. Crusaders Apr 24 Brumbies 0.10