Team Ratings for Round 12
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
|Current Rating||Rating at Season Start||Difference|
Performance So Far
So far there have been 84 matches played, 47 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 56%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
|1||Rabbitohs vs. Eels||May 22||14 – 12||15.90||TRUE|
|2||Wests Tigers vs. Cowboys||May 23||0 – 8||-11.30||TRUE|
|3||Raiders vs. Bulldogs||May 24||34 – 41||3.30||FALSE|
|4||Knights vs. Broncos||May 25||18 – 31||-2.50||TRUE|
Predictions for Round 12
Here are the predictions for Round 12. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
|1||Panthers vs. Eels||May 29||Panthers||9.90|
|2||Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles||May 30||Cowboys||12.20|
|3||Raiders vs. Broncos||May 30||Broncos||-4.10|
|4||Titans vs. Rabbitohs||May 30||Rabbitohs||-9.00|
|5||Dragons vs. Sharks||May 31||Dragons||10.70|
|6||Warriors vs. Knights||May 31||Warriors||7.30|
|7||Roosters vs. Storm||Jun 01||Roosters||7.00|