Team Ratings for Round 1
The basic method is described on my Department home page. I have made some changes to the methodology this year, including shrinking the ratings between seasons.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
|Current Rating||Rating at Season Start||Difference|
Predictions for Round 1
Here are the predictions for Round 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
|1||Griquas vs. Western Province||Aug 07||Western Province||-9.20|
|2||Pumas vs. Sharks||Aug 07||Sharks||-6.40|
|3||Kings vs. Lions||Aug 08||Lions||-9.00|
|4||Cheetahs vs. Blue Bulls||Aug 08||Cheetahs||1.60|