Team Ratings for the Mitre 10 Cup Finals
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
|Current Rating||Rating at Season Start||Difference|
|Bay of Plenty||-4.25||-5.54||1.30|
Performance So Far
So far there have been 74 matches played, 52 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70.3%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
|1||Otago vs. Bay of Plenty||Oct 21||27 – 20||9.10||TRUE|
|2||Wellington vs. North Harbour||Oct 22||37 – 40||6.50||FALSE|
|3||Canterbury vs. Counties Manukau||Oct 23||22 – 7||12.10||TRUE|
|4||Taranaki vs. Tasman||Oct 23||29 – 41||3.60||FALSE|
Predictions for the Mitre 10 Cup Finals
Here are the predictions for the Mitre 10 Cup Finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
|1||Otago vs. North Harbour||Oct 28||Otago||7.00|
|2||Canterbury vs. Tasman||Oct 29||Canterbury||7.90|