Team Ratings for the ITM Cup Finals
Here are the team ratings prior to the ITM Cup Finals, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
|Current Rating||Rating at Season Start||Difference|
|Bay of Plenty||-5.56||-1.96||-3.60|
Performance So Far
There is a problem with the code I have been using for assessing performance, due to the unusual schedule in the ITM Cup, where some teams play more than one game in a week. I haven’t had time to alter the code so am omitting this section for the time being. Look at last week’s post to see how the predictions went. For the record, there were 3 games correct, out of 4 games played last week
Predictions for the ITM Cup Finals
Here are the predictions for the ITM Cup Finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
|1||Tasman vs. Hawke’s Bay||Oct 25||Tasman||8.90|
|2||Wellington vs. Canterbury||Oct 26||Canterbury||-4.90|