Posts filed under Stat of the Week (372)

April 20, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: April 18 – 24 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 24 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 18 – 24 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 18 – 24 2015

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

April 15, 2015

NRL Predictions for Round 7

Team Ratings for Round 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 9.55 13.06 -3.50
Roosters 8.65 9.09 -0.40
Cowboys 8.27 9.52 -1.30
Storm 4.98 4.36 0.60
Broncos 4.92 4.03 0.90
Panthers 3.02 3.69 -0.70
Warriors 1.24 3.07 -1.80
Dragons 0.06 -1.74 1.80
Bulldogs -0.19 0.21 -0.40
Knights -1.23 -0.28 -1.00
Sea Eagles -2.36 2.68 -5.00
Raiders -6.00 -7.09 1.10
Eels -7.29 -7.19 -0.10
Wests Tigers -7.31 -13.13 5.80
Sharks -7.35 -10.76 3.40
Titans -7.62 -8.20 0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 48 matches played, 25 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 52.1%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Broncos vs. Roosters Apr 10 22 – 18 -1.50 FALSE
2 Sharks vs. Knights Apr 10 22 – 6 -6.20 FALSE
3 Eels vs. Titans Apr 11 16 – 38 7.30 FALSE
4 Panthers vs. Sea Eagles Apr 11 22 – 12 8.10 TRUE
5 Warriors vs. Wests Tigers Apr 11 32 – 22 13.00 TRUE
6 Dragons vs. Bulldogs Apr 12 31 – 6 -0.20 FALSE
7 Raiders vs. Storm Apr 12 10 – 14 -8.70 TRUE
8 Rabbitohs vs. Cowboys Apr 13 12 – 30 7.80 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 7

Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bulldogs vs. Sea Eagles Apr 17 Bulldogs 5.20
2 Dragons vs. Broncos Apr 17 Broncos -1.90
3 Cowboys vs. Warriors Apr 18 Cowboys 11.00
4 Storm vs. Roosters Apr 18 Roosters -0.70
5 Titans vs. Panthers Apr 18 Panthers -7.60
6 Knights vs. Eels Apr 19 Knights 9.10
7 Wests Tigers vs. Raiders Apr 19 Wests Tigers 1.70
8 Sharks vs. Rabbitohs Apr 20 Rabbitohs -13.90

 

April 13, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: April 11 – 17 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 17 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 11 – 17 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 11 – 17 2015

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

April 6, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: April 4 – 10 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 10 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 4 – 10 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 4 – 10 2015

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

March 30, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: March 28 – April 3 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 3 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of March 28 – April 3 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: March 28 – April 3 2015

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

March 23, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: March 21 – 27 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday March 27 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of March 21 – 27 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)