Posts filed under Stat of the Week (411)

September 2, 2015

Currie Cup Predictions for Round 5

Team Ratings for Round 5

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Lions 4.79 3.04 1.70
Western Province 4.32 4.93 -0.60
Sharks 2.12 3.43 -1.30
Blue Bulls 2.05 0.17 1.90
Cheetahs -1.53 -1.75 0.20
Pumas -6.70 -6.47 -0.20
Griquas -9.29 -7.81 -1.50
Kings -9.66 -9.44 -0.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 16 matches played, 11 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Pumas vs. Lions Aug 28 11 – 41 -6.90 TRUE
2 Cheetahs vs. Western Province Aug 28 28 – 21 -2.90 FALSE
3 Griquas vs. Blue Bulls Aug 29 32 – 46 -7.20 TRUE
4 Kings vs. Sharks Aug 29 20 – 24 -8.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 5

Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blue Bulls vs. Cheetahs Sep 04 Blue Bulls 7.10
2 Sharks vs. Pumas Sep 05 Sharks 12.30
3 Western Province vs. Griquas Sep 05 Western Province 17.10
4 Lions vs. Kings Sep 05 Lions 18.00

 

August 31, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: August 29 – September 4 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday September 4 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of August 29 – September 4 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: August 29 – September 4 2015

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

August 24, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: August 22 – 28 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday August 28 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of August 22 – 28 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: August 22 – 28 2015

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

August 17, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: August 15 – 21 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday August 21 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of August 15 – 21 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: August 15 – 21 2015

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

August 10, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: August 8 – 14 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday August 14 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of August 8 – 14 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: August 8 – 14 2015

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

August 3, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: August 1 – 7 2015

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday August 7 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of August 1 – 7 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)