Posts filed under Stat of the Week (460)

May 2, 2016

Stat of the Week Competition: April 30 – May 6 2016

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday May 6 2016.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 30 – May 6 2016 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 30 – May 6 2016

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

April 27, 2016

NRL Predictions for Round 9

Team Ratings for Round 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Cowboys 12.93 10.29 2.60
Broncos 12.04 9.81 2.20
Storm 3.96 4.41 -0.50
Sharks 2.50 -1.06 3.60
Roosters 2.31 11.20 -8.90
Bulldogs 1.11 1.50 -0.40
Eels 1.04 -4.62 5.70
Panthers -0.10 -3.06 3.00
Raiders -0.12 -0.55 0.40
Sea Eagles -0.29 0.36 -0.70
Rabbitohs -0.35 -1.20 0.90
Dragons -2.46 -0.10 -2.40
Titans -4.75 -8.39 3.60
Warriors -6.70 -7.47 0.80
Wests Tigers -8.24 -4.06 -4.20
Knights -11.21 -5.41 -5.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 64 matches played, 35 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 54.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Broncos vs. Rabbitohs Apr 22 30 – 8 14.30 TRUE
2 Bulldogs vs. Titans Apr 23 21 – 20 10.20 TRUE
3 Raiders vs. Wests Tigers Apr 23 60 – 6 4.60 TRUE
4 Cowboys vs. Eels Apr 23 32 – 16 14.70 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Panthers Apr 24 20 – 18 6.30 TRUE
6 Knights vs. Sea Eagles Apr 25 10 – 26 -6.60 TRUE
7 Dragons vs. Roosters Apr 25 20 – 18 -5.90 FALSE
8 Storm vs. Warriors Apr 25 42 – 0 10.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Rabbitohs vs. Wests Tigers Apr 28 Rabbitohs 7.90
2 Eels vs. Bulldogs Apr 29 Eels 2.90
3 Panthers vs. Raiders Apr 30 Panthers 0.00
4 Roosters vs. Knights Apr 30 Roosters 16.50
5 Sea Eagles vs. Cowboys Apr 30 Cowboys -10.20
6 Warriors vs. Dragons May 01 Dragons -0.20
7 Titans vs. Storm May 01 Storm -5.70
8 Sharks vs. Broncos May 01 Broncos -6.50

 

April 25, 2016

Stat of the Week Competition: April 23 – 29 2016

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 29 2016.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 23 – 29 2016 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 23 – 29 2016

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

April 18, 2016

Stat of the Week Competition: April 16 – 22 2016

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 22 2016.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 16 – 22 2016 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 16 – 22 2016

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

April 11, 2016

Stat of the Week Competition: April 9 – 15 2016

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 15 2016.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 9 – 15 2016 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 9 – 15 2016

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

April 4, 2016

Stat of the Week Competition: April 2 – 8 2016

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 8 2016.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 2 – 8 2016 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)