Team Ratings for Round 5
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
|Current Rating||Rating at Season Start||Difference|
Performance So Far
So far there have been 16 matches played, 11 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
|1||Pumas vs. Lions||Aug 28||11 – 41||-6.90||TRUE|
|2||Cheetahs vs. Western Province||Aug 28||28 – 21||-2.90||FALSE|
|3||Griquas vs. Blue Bulls||Aug 29||32 – 46||-7.20||TRUE|
|4||Kings vs. Sharks||Aug 29||20 – 24||-8.80||TRUE|
Predictions for Round 5
Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
|1||Blue Bulls vs. Cheetahs||Sep 04||Blue Bulls||7.10|
|2||Sharks vs. Pumas||Sep 05||Sharks||12.30|
|3||Western Province vs. Griquas||Sep 05||Western Province||17.10|
|4||Lions vs. Kings||Sep 05||Lions||18.00|