Team Ratings for the ITM Cup Finals
Here are the team ratings prior to the ITM Cup Finals, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
|Current Rating||Rating at Season Start||Difference|
|Bay of Plenty||-9.23||-5.47||-3.80|
Performance So Far
So far there have been 74 matches played, 48 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 64.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
|1||Hawke’s Bay vs. Northland||Oct 17||26 – 21||9.30||TRUE|
|2||Manawatu vs. Southland||Oct 18||23 – 18||7.70||TRUE|
|3||Taranaki vs. Auckland||Oct 18||49 – 30||3.00||TRUE|
|4||Tasman vs. Canterbury||Oct 18||26 – 6||1.30||TRUE|
Predictions for the ITM Cup Finals
Here are the predictions for the ITM Cup Finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
|1||Manawatu vs. Hawke’s Bay||Oct 24||Manawatu||0.60|
|2||Taranaki vs. Tasman||Oct 25||Tasman||-2.10|