April 9, 2024

NRL Predictions for Round 6

By

Team Ratings for Round 6

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Panthers 12.72 14.73 -2.00
Broncos 8.29 9.07 -0.80
Storm 6.12 6.15 -0.00
Roosters 4.55 3.08 1.50
Cowboys 2.58 2.47 0.10
Warriors 2.14 -0.07 2.20
Sharks 1.54 2.94 -1.40
Sea Eagles 1.39 -0.48 1.90
Knights 1.38 1.84 -0.50
Raiders -0.85 -4.31 3.50
Eels -2.04 0.14 -2.20
Rabbitohs -4.51 0.87 -5.40
Dolphins -5.03 -7.09 2.10
Dragons -8.12 -6.93 -1.20
Bulldogs -9.86 -13.35 3.50
Wests Tigers -10.40 -13.15 2.70
Titans -11.88 -7.89 -4.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 40 matches played, 25 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 62.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Storm vs. Broncos Apr 04 34 – 32 0.60 TRUE
2 Bulldogs vs. Roosters Apr 05 30 – 26 -13.50 FALSE
3 Knights vs. Dragons Apr 05 30 – 10 11.40 TRUE
4 Rabbitohs vs. Warriors Apr 06 4 – 34 4.40 FALSE
5 Sea Eagles vs. Panthers Apr 06 32 – 18 -11.30 FALSE
6 Dolphins vs. Wests Tigers Apr 06 26 – 16 8.10 TRUE
7 Cowboys vs. Titans Apr 07 35 – 22 18.10 TRUE
8 Raiders vs. Eels Apr 07 41 – 8 0.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 6

Here are the predictions for Round 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Knights vs. Roosters Apr 11 Roosters -0.20
2 Storm vs. Bulldogs Apr 12 Storm 19.00
3 Broncos vs. Dolphins Apr 12 Broncos 16.30
4 Warriors vs. Sea Eagles Apr 13 Warriors 7.70
5 Eels vs. Cowboys Apr 13 Cowboys -1.60
6 Rabbitohs vs. Sharks Apr 13 Sharks -3.00
7 Wests Tigers vs. Dragons Apr 14 Wests Tigers 0.70
8 Raiders vs. Titans Apr 14 Raiders 14.00

 

Add a comment

AFL Predictions for Week 6

By

Team Ratings for Week 6

A mea culpa this week regarding the predictions. When checking the grounds for the AFL  before posting my predictions, I didn’t use the official AFL site and failed to see that all games were in Adelaide. Consequently I had the home ground advantage wrongly specified for all but three games (the two Adelaide teams and Collingwood v Hawthorn). Thus I incorrectly predicted wins for the Dockers, Bulldogs and Tigers.  I decided to use the correct predictions this week because otherwise my ratings would get messed up for this week’s predictions.

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Melbourne Demons 18.17 13.91 4.30
GWS Giants 15.60 12.60 3.00
Brisbane Lions 13.44 17.47 -4.00
Geelong Cats 12.32 10.50 1.80
Carlton Blues 11.90 9.73 2.20
Port Adelaide Power 10.72 8.83 1.90
Sydney Swans 9.09 9.23 -0.10
Collingwood 8.94 14.87 -5.90
Western Bulldogs 8.17 6.04 2.10
Fremantle Dockers 4.76 0.40 4.40
Adelaide Crows 3.45 9.56 -6.10
St Kilda Saints 1.33 -0.63 2.00
Gold Coast Suns -4.91 -4.60 -0.30
Richmond Tigers -6.16 -6.13 -0.00
Hawthorn Hawks -14.80 -11.08 -3.70
Essendon Bombers -15.68 -17.70 2.00
North Melbourne -29.01 -25.73 -3.30
West Coast Eagles -43.17 -43.10 -0.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 38 matches played, 27 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Adelaide Crows vs. Melbourne Demons Apr 04 63 – 78 -3.10 TRUE
2 Brisbane Lions vs. North Melbourne Apr 05 112 – 42 38.30 TRUE
3 Port Adelaide Power vs. Essendon Bombers Apr 05 111 – 42 30.50 TRUE
4 West Coast Eagles vs. Sydney Swans Apr 06 78 – 104 -56.30 TRUE
5 Fremantle Dockers vs. Carlton Blues Apr 06 63 – 73 -6.30 TRUE
6 Western Bulldogs vs. Geelong Cats Apr 06 91 – 95 -4.20 TRUE
7 Gold Coast Suns vs. GWS Giants Apr 07 89 – 117 -18.40 TRUE
8 Richmond Tigers vs. St Kilda Saints Apr 07 60 – 67 -7.60 TRUE
9 Collingwood vs. Hawthorn Hawks Apr 07 77 – 72 26.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 6

Here are the predictions for Week 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions Apr 11 Melbourne Demons 13.70
2 Western Bulldogs vs. Essendon Bombers Apr 12 Western Bulldogs 23.90
3 GWS Giants vs. St Kilda Saints Apr 13 GWS Giants 23.30
4 Carlton Blues vs. Adelaide Crows Apr 13 Carlton Blues 17.40
5 Gold Coast Suns vs. Hawthorn Hawks Apr 13 Gold Coast Suns 18.90
6 Port Adelaide Power vs. Fremantle Dockers Apr 13 Port Adelaide Power 15.00
7 Geelong Cats vs. North Melbourne Apr 14 Geelong Cats 50.30
8 West Coast Eagles vs. Richmond Tigers Apr 14 Richmond Tigers -28.00

 

Add a comment
April 2, 2024

United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 14

By

Team Ratings for Week 14

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Leinster 14.24 10.73 3.50
Bulls 9.42 9.00 0.40
Glasgow 8.29 4.19 4.10
Munster 7.88 10.54 -2.70
Stormers 6.35 8.93 -2.60
Ulster 3.63 7.80 -4.20
Lions 2.67 -4.26 6.90
Connacht 1.02 3.17 -2.10
Sharks -0.25 0.85 -1.10
Edinburgh -1.92 -2.26 0.30
Ospreys -2.19 -7.79 5.60
Cardiff Rugby -2.50 -5.16 2.70
Benetton -3.73 -5.12 1.40
Scarlets -12.59 -2.23 -10.40
Dragons -14.55 -8.14 -6.40
Zebre -15.77 -20.25 4.50

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 104 matches played, 73 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Dragons vs. Zebre Mar 30 20 – 13 4.80 TRUE
2 Leinster vs. Bulls Mar 30 47 – 14 4.80 TRUE
3 Benetton vs. Connacht Mar 30 18 – 14 -1.90 FALSE
4 Sharks vs. Edinburgh Mar 30 23 – 13 4.60 TRUE
5 Ospreys vs. Lions Mar 31 36 – 21 -3.60 FALSE
6 Stormers vs. Ulster Mar 31 13 – 7 6.90 TRUE
7 Munster vs. Cardiff Rugby Mar 31 20 – 15 16.10 TRUE
8 Scarlets vs. Glasgow Mar 31 3 – 45 -12.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 14

Here are the predictions for Week 14. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Glasgow vs. Sharks Apr 20 Glasgow 12.50
2 Ulster vs. Cardiff Rugby Apr 20 Ulster 10.10
3 Benetton vs. Dragons Apr 21 Benetton 14.80
4 Lions vs. Leinster Apr 21 Leinster -7.60
5 Bulls vs. Munster Apr 21 Bulls 5.50
6 Stormers vs. Ospreys Apr 21 Stormers 12.50
7 Connacht vs. Zebre Apr 21 Connacht 20.80
8 Edinburgh vs. Scarlets Apr 21 Edinburgh 14.70

 

Add a comment

Top 14 Predictions for Round 21

By

Team Ratings for Round 21

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Stade Toulousain 7.14 7.24 -0.10
Stade Rochelais 5.96 6.40 -0.40
Toulon 5.45 3.11 2.30
Stade Francais 3.51 2.62 0.90
Racing 92 3.44 3.42 0.00
Bordeaux Begles 3.29 4.07 -0.80
Section Paloise 0.80 -0.44 1.20
Castres Olympique 0.03 -0.39 0.40
Montpellier -0.06 2.09 -2.20
Lyon -0.29 2.97 -3.30
Clermont -0.37 1.47 -1.80
Bayonne -0.97 -1.32 0.30
USA Perpignan -2.27 -3.64 1.40
US Oyonnax -8.03 -10.00 2.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 140 matches played, 102 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 72.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Lyon vs. Bordeaux Begles Mar 31 27 – 10 1.90 TRUE
2 Montpellier vs. Stade Francais Mar 31 10 – 12 3.50 FALSE
3 Racing 92 vs. Clermont Mar 31 26 – 10 9.70 TRUE
4 Stade Rochelais vs. US Oyonnax Mar 31 40 – 21 20.70 TRUE
5 Stade Toulousain vs. Section Paloise Mar 31 31 – 29 13.60 TRUE
6 USA Perpignan vs. Castres Olympique Mar 31 43 – 12 2.50 TRUE
7 Bayonne vs. Toulon Apr 01 10 – 46 2.30 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 21

Here are the predictions for Round 21. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Castres Olympique vs. Stade Rochelais Apr 21 Castres Olympique 0.60
2 Section Paloise vs. Montpellier Apr 21 Section Paloise 7.40
3 Stade Francais vs. Bayonne Apr 21 Stade Francais 11.00
4 Toulon vs. Stade Toulousain Apr 21 Toulon 4.80
5 US Oyonnax vs. Racing 92 Apr 21 Racing 92 -5.00
6 USA Perpignan vs. Lyon Apr 21 USA Perpignan 4.50
7 Bordeaux Begles vs. Clermont Apr 22 Bordeaux Begles 10.20

 

Add a comment

Super Rugby Predictions for Week 7

By

Team Ratings for Week 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 15.22 18.86 -3.60
Chiefs 12.78 13.21 -0.40
Blues 12.51 12.20 0.30
Hurricanes 12.45 9.73 2.70
Brumbies 6.80 6.52 0.30
Reds 1.88 0.07 1.80
Highlanders 0.51 1.17 -0.70
Waratahs -2.18 -1.90 -0.30
Rebels -5.17 -4.59 -0.60
Fijian Drua -6.71 -9.21 2.50
Western Force -7.41 -6.15 -1.30
Moana Pasifika -11.56 -10.80 -0.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 36 matches played, 23 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 63.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Chiefs Mar 29 37 – 26 4.50 TRUE
2 Waratahs vs. Rebels Mar 29 21 – 27 7.10 FALSE
3 Fijian Drua vs. Western Force Mar 30 31 – 13 2.40 TRUE
4 Moana Pasifika vs. Blues Mar 30 8 – 47 -19.60 TRUE
5 Highlanders vs. Hurricanes Mar 30 12 – 47 -6.90 TRUE
6 Reds vs. Brumbies Mar 30 19 – 20 -2.10 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 7

Here are the predictions for Week 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Western Force Apr 05 Blues 24.90
2 Rebels vs. Fijian Drua Apr 05 Rebels 4.50
3 Chiefs vs. Moana Pasifika Apr 06 Chiefs 27.30
4 Brumbies vs. Waratahs Apr 06 Brumbies 12.00

 

Add a comment

Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 15

By

Team Ratings for Round 15

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Saracens 8.43 6.82 1.60
Bristol 6.08 1.00 5.10
Leicester Tigers 4.13 6.13 -2.00
Northampton Saints 3.21 2.66 0.60
Bath 2.42 -1.26 3.70
Sale Sharks 1.66 6.46 -4.80
Harlequins 0.83 1.93 -1.10
Exeter Chiefs -0.97 -0.89 -0.10
Gloucester -2.84 -1.45 -1.40
Newcastle Falcons -12.21 -10.63 -1.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 70 matches played, 52 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 74.3%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Gloucester vs. Bristol Mar 31 24 – 33 -1.60 TRUE
2 Harlequins vs. Bath Mar 31 40 – 36 4.50 TRUE
3 Newcastle Falcons vs. Leicester Tigers Mar 31 13 – 19 -11.30 TRUE
4 Northampton Saints vs. Saracens Mar 31 41 – 30 -1.40 FALSE
5 Sale Sharks vs. Exeter Chiefs Mar 31 41 – 5 3.10 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 15

Here are the predictions for Round 15. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bristol vs. Newcastle Falcons Apr 21 Bristol 24.30
2 Exeter Chiefs vs. Bath Apr 21 Exeter Chiefs 2.60
3 Northampton Saints vs. Leicester Tigers Apr 21 Northampton Saints 5.10
4 Saracens vs. Gloucester Apr 21 Saracens 17.30
5 Sale Sharks vs. Harlequins Apr 22 Sale Sharks 6.80

 

Add a comment

NRL Predictions for Round 5

By

Team Ratings for Round 5

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Panthers 14.23 14.73 -0.50
Broncos 8.38 9.07 -0.70
Storm 6.03 6.15 -0.10
Roosters 5.62 3.08 2.50
Cowboys 2.91 2.47 0.40
Sharks 1.54 2.94 -1.40
Knights 0.84 1.84 -1.00
Warriors 0.12 -0.07 0.20
Eels -0.12 0.14 -0.30
Sea Eagles -0.12 -0.48 0.40
Rabbitohs -2.50 0.87 -3.40
Raiders -2.77 -4.31 1.50
Dolphins -5.16 -7.09 1.90
Dragons -7.59 -6.93 -0.70
Wests Tigers -10.27 -13.15 2.90
Bulldogs -10.92 -13.35 2.40
Titans -12.21 -7.89 -4.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 32 matches played, 20 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 62.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Roosters vs. Panthers Mar 28 16 – 22 -5.50 TRUE
2 Rabbitohs vs. Bulldogs Mar 29 20 – 16 12.50 TRUE
3 Broncos vs. Cowboys Mar 29 38 – 12 6.10 TRUE
4 Dragons vs. Sea Eagles Mar 30 20 – 12 -6.20 FALSE
5 Titans vs. Dolphins Mar 30 14 – 30 -2.40 TRUE
6 Warriors vs. Knights Mar 31 20 – 12 6.00 TRUE
7 Sharks vs. Raiders Mar 31 36 – 22 6.30 TRUE
8 Eels vs. Wests Tigers Apr 01 16 – 17 15.10 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 5

Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Storm vs. Broncos Apr 04 Storm 0.60
2 Bulldogs vs. Roosters Apr 05 Roosters -13.50
3 Knights vs. Dragons Apr 05 Knights 11.40
4 Rabbitohs vs. Warriors Apr 06 Rabbitohs 4.40
5 Sea Eagles vs. Panthers Apr 06 Panthers -11.30
6 Dolphins vs. Wests Tigers Apr 06 Dolphins 8.10
7 Cowboys vs. Titans Apr 07 Cowboys 18.10
8 Raiders vs. Eels Apr 07 Raiders 0.30

 

View comments (1)

AFL Predictions for Week 5

By

Team Ratings for Week 5

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Melbourne Demons 16.86 13.91 3.00
GWS Giants 14.55 12.60 1.90
Geelong Cats 12.35 10.50 1.90
Carlton Blues 11.49 9.73 1.80
Brisbane Lions 11.36 17.47 -6.10
Sydney Swans 11.09 9.23 1.90
Collingwood 10.45 14.87 -4.40
Port Adelaide Power 8.27 8.83 -0.60
Western Bulldogs 8.14 6.04 2.10
Fremantle Dockers 5.17 0.40 4.80
Adelaide Crows 4.76 9.56 -4.80
St Kilda Saints 1.39 -0.63 2.00
Gold Coast Suns -3.85 -4.60 0.80
Richmond Tigers -6.23 -6.13 -0.10
Essendon Bombers -13.24 -17.70 4.50
Hawthorn Hawks -16.31 -11.08 -5.20
North Melbourne -26.94 -25.73 -1.20
West Coast Eagles -45.17 -43.10 -2.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 29 matches played, 18 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 62.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Brisbane Lions vs. Collingwood Mar 28 72 – 92 14.40 FALSE
2 North Melbourne vs. Carlton Blues Mar 29 81 – 137 -35.60 TRUE
3 Fremantle Dockers vs. Adelaide Crows Mar 29 69 – 34 5.50 TRUE
4 Essendon Bombers vs. St Kilda Saints Mar 30 71 – 67 -17.60 FALSE
5 Port Adelaide Power vs. Melbourne Demons Mar 30 89 – 96 2.50 FALSE
6 Western Bulldogs vs. West Coast Eagles Mar 31 106 – 30 58.50 TRUE
7 Richmond Tigers vs. Sydney Swans Mar 31 82 – 77 -12.10 FALSE
8 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Geelong Cats Apr 01 70 – 106 -17.00 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 5

Here are the predictions for Week 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Adelaide Crows vs. Melbourne Demons Apr 04 Melbourne Demons -3.10
2 Brisbane Lions vs. North Melbourne Apr 05 Brisbane Lions 47.30
3 Port Adelaide Power vs. Essendon Bombers Apr 05 Port Adelaide Power 30.50
4 West Coast Eagles vs. Sydney Swans Apr 06 Sydney Swans -47.30
5 Fremantle Dockers vs. Carlton Blues Apr 06 Fremantle Dockers 2.70
6 Western Bulldogs vs. Geelong Cats Apr 06 Western Bulldogs 4.80
7 Gold Coast Suns vs. GWS Giants Apr 07 GWS Giants -9.40
8 Richmond Tigers vs. St Kilda Saints Apr 07 Richmond Tigers 1.40
9 Collingwood vs. Hawthorn Hawks Apr 07 Collingwood 26.80

 

Add a comment
March 26, 2024

United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 13

By

Team Ratings for Week 13

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Leinster 12.22 10.73 1.50
Bulls 11.44 9.00 2.40
Munster 8.76 10.54 -1.80
Stormers 6.44 8.93 -2.50
Glasgow 6.19 4.19 2.00
Lions 4.06 -4.26 8.30
Ulster 3.53 7.80 -4.30
Connacht 1.61 3.17 -1.60
Sharks -0.79 0.85 -1.60
Edinburgh -1.38 -2.26 0.90
Cardiff Rugby -3.37 -5.16 1.80
Ospreys -3.58 -7.79 4.20
Benetton -4.33 -5.12 0.80
Scarlets -10.50 -2.23 -8.30
Dragons -14.77 -8.14 -6.60
Zebre -15.54 -20.25 4.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 96 matches played, 67 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 69.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Glasgow vs. Cardiff Rugby Mar 23 17 – 13 15.30 TRUE
2 Ospreys vs. Munster Mar 23 17 – 27 -7.90 TRUE
3 Sharks vs. Ulster Mar 23 22 – 12 -2.20 FALSE
4 Scarlets vs. Benetton Mar 24 16 – 13 -3.50 FALSE
5 Stormers vs. Edinburgh Mar 24 43 – 21 9.90 TRUE
6 Connacht vs. Lions Mar 24 14 – 38 5.80 FALSE
7 Dragons vs. Bulls Mar 24 10 – 31 -22.50 TRUE
8 Zebre vs. Leinster Mar 24 7 – 31 -23.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 13

Here are the predictions for Week 13. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Dragons vs. Zebre Mar 30 Dragons 4.80
2 Leinster vs. Bulls Mar 30 Leinster 4.80
3 Benetton vs. Connacht Mar 30 Connacht -1.90
4 Sharks vs. Edinburgh Mar 30 Sharks 4.60
5 Ospreys vs. Lions Mar 31 Lions -3.60
6 Stormers vs. Ulster Mar 31 Stormers 6.90
7 Munster vs. Cardiff Rugby Mar 31 Munster 16.10
8 Scarlets vs. Glasgow Mar 31 Glasgow -12.70

 

Top 14 Predictions for Round 20

By

Team Ratings for Round 20

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Stade Toulousain 7.54 7.24 0.30
Stade Rochelais 6.04 6.40 -0.40
Toulon 4.34 3.11 1.20
Bordeaux Begles 3.79 4.07 -0.30
Stade Francais 3.23 2.62 0.60
Racing 92 3.12 3.42 -0.30
Castres Olympique 0.89 -0.39 1.30
Section Paloise 0.40 -0.44 0.80
Montpellier 0.22 2.09 -1.90
Bayonne 0.14 -1.32 1.50
Clermont -0.05 1.47 -1.50
Lyon -0.79 2.97 -3.80
USA Perpignan -3.13 -3.64 0.50
US Oyonnax -8.12 -10.00 1.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 133 matches played, 97 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 72.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Toulon vs. Montpellier Mar 24 54 – 7 8.40 TRUE
2 Castres Olympique vs. Racing 92 Mar 24 21 – 23 5.00 FALSE
3 Clermont vs. Section Paloise Mar 24 31 – 28 6.40 TRUE
4 Stade Francais vs. Lyon Mar 24 22 – 13 10.70 TRUE
5 US Oyonnax vs. USA Perpignan Mar 24 14 – 15 1.80 FALSE
6 Bayonne vs. Stade Rochelais Mar 24 13 – 12 0.60 TRUE
7 Bordeaux Begles vs. Stade Toulousain Mar 25 31 – 28 2.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 20

Here are the predictions for Round 20. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Lyon vs. Bordeaux Begles Mar 31 Lyon 1.90
2 Montpellier vs. Stade Francais Mar 31 Montpellier 3.50
3 Racing 92 vs. Clermont Mar 31 Racing 92 9.70
4 Stade Rochelais vs. US Oyonnax Mar 31 Stade Rochelais 20.70
5 Stade Toulousain vs. Section Paloise Mar 31 Stade Toulousain 13.60
6 USA Perpignan vs. Castres Olympique Mar 31 USA Perpignan 2.50
7 Bayonne vs. Toulon Apr 01 Bayonne 2.30

 

« Later posts
Earlier posts »