July 4, 2025
Briefly
- Health Nerd else has similar views about coffee as me last week
- Royal Statistical Society blog post on the future of the British Office of National Statistics
- Graeme Edgeler argues that getting rid of the Census may require amending entrenched provisions of the Electoral Act, which takes a 75% supermajority of Parliament
- The Economist/YouGov had a poll being run on bombing Iran at the time the US did it, and reported this interesting shift in opinions: republicans approved more; democrats approved less.

- As a StatsChat reader you should be looking at this and wondering where the uncertainty estimates. Owen Winter responded to my BlueSky query with this. If you take into account model uncertainty it’s a bit less impressive, but it’s not nothing

Thomas Lumley (@tslumley) is Professor of Biostatistics at the University of Auckland. His research interests include semiparametric models, survey sampling, statistical computing, foundations of statistics, and whatever methodological problems his medical collaborators come up with. He also blogs at Biased and Inefficient See all posts by Thomas Lumley »
The upward trending blue line for Dems in the 24 hours pre-bombing seems notable. Is it meaningful?
5 months ago
The uncertainty intervals suggest it’s a bit borderline at best
5 months ago