Posts written by David Scott (1769)

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David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation.

April 26, 2017

NRL Predictions for Round 9

By

Team Ratings for Round 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Raiders 8.12 9.94 -1.80
Storm 7.46 8.49 -1.00
Sharks 6.60 5.84 0.80
Broncos 4.89 4.36 0.50
Cowboys 1.83 6.90 -5.10
Dragons 1.15 -7.74 8.90
Panthers 1.05 6.08 -5.00
Roosters 0.32 -1.17 1.50
Sea Eagles -0.54 -2.98 2.40
Eels -1.64 -0.81 -0.80
Bulldogs -2.26 -1.34 -0.90
Titans -2.32 -0.98 -1.30
Rabbitohs -2.96 -1.82 -1.10
Warriors -4.65 -6.02 1.40
Wests Tigers -5.13 -3.89 -1.20
Knights -13.96 -16.94 3.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 64 matches played, 36 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 56.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Raiders vs. Sea Eagles Apr 21 18 – 20 14.80 FALSE
2 Rabbitohs vs. Broncos Apr 21 24 – 25 -5.10 TRUE
3 Eels vs. Panthers Apr 22 18 – 12 -0.20 FALSE
4 Cowboys vs. Knights Apr 22 24 – 12 20.70 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Titans Apr 22 12 – 16 15.40 FALSE
6 Wests Tigers vs. Bulldogs Apr 23 18 – 12 -0.40 FALSE
7 Roosters vs. Dragons Apr 25 13 – 12 3.00 TRUE
8 Storm vs. Warriors Apr 25 20 – 14 18.00 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Broncos vs. Panthers Apr 27 Broncos 7.30
2 Rabbitohs vs. Sea Eagles Apr 28 Rabbitohs 1.10
3 Cowboys vs. Eels Apr 28 Cowboys 7.00
4 Titans vs. Knights Apr 29 Titans 15.10
5 Bulldogs vs. Raiders Apr 29 Raiders -6.90
6 Wests Tigers vs. Sharks Apr 29 Sharks -8.20
7 Warriors vs. Roosters Apr 30 Roosters -1.00
8 Dragons vs. Storm Apr 30 Storm -2.80

 

April 25, 2017

Super 18 Predictions for Round 10

By

Team Ratings for Round 10

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 17.51 13.22 4.30
Crusaders 11.67 8.75 2.90
Chiefs 9.68 9.75 -0.10
Highlanders 7.88 9.17 -1.30
Lions 7.29 7.64 -0.30
Brumbies 2.63 3.83 -1.20
Stormers 2.53 1.51 1.00
Blues 2.40 -1.07 3.50
Sharks 0.04 0.42 -0.40
Waratahs -0.23 5.81 -6.00
Jaguares -1.46 -4.36 2.90
Bulls -2.87 0.29 -3.20
Force -8.40 -9.45 1.10
Cheetahs -9.61 -7.36 -2.20
Reds -10.42 -10.28 -0.10
Rebels -10.75 -8.17 -2.60
Kings -15.90 -19.02 3.10
Sunwolves -19.10 -17.76 -1.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 71 matches played, 55 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 77.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Brumbies Apr 21 56 – 21 16.70 TRUE
2 Lions vs. Jaguares Apr 21 24 – 21 14.10 TRUE
3 Highlanders vs. Sunwolves Apr 22 40 – 15 31.80 TRUE
4 Crusaders vs. Stormers Apr 22 57 – 24 10.40 TRUE
5 Waratahs vs. Kings Apr 22 24 – 26 22.60 FALSE
6 Force vs. Chiefs Apr 22 7 – 16 -14.80 TRUE
7 Bulls vs. Cheetahs Apr 22 20 – 14 10.80 TRUE
8 Sharks vs. Rebels Apr 22 9 – 9 16.80 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 10

Here are the predictions for Round 10. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Stormers Apr 28 Highlanders 9.40
2 Chiefs vs. Sunwolves Apr 29 Chiefs 32.80
3 Reds vs. Waratahs Apr 29 Waratahs -6.70
4 Force vs. Lions Apr 29 Lions -11.70
5 Cheetahs vs. Crusaders Apr 29 Crusaders -17.30
6 Kings vs. Rebels Apr 29 Rebels -1.10
7 Jaguares vs. Sharks Apr 29 Jaguares 2.50
8 Brumbies vs. Blues Apr 30 Brumbies 4.20

 

April 17, 2017

NRL Predictions for Round 8

By

Team Ratings for Round 8

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Raiders 9.43 9.94 -0.50
Storm 8.41 8.49 -0.10
Sharks 8.11 5.84 2.30
Broncos 5.26 4.36 0.90
Cowboys 2.54 6.90 -4.40
Panthers 1.56 6.08 -4.50
Dragons 0.97 -7.74 8.70
Roosters 0.50 -1.17 1.70
Bulldogs -1.74 -1.34 -0.40
Sea Eagles -1.85 -2.98 1.10
Eels -2.15 -0.81 -1.30
Rabbitohs -3.33 -1.82 -1.50
Titans -3.83 -0.98 -2.90
Warriors -5.60 -6.02 0.40
Wests Tigers -5.66 -3.89 -1.80
Knights -14.66 -16.94 2.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 56 matches played, 32 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 57.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bulldogs vs. Rabbitohs Apr 14 24 – 9 3.20 TRUE
2 Knights vs. Roosters Apr 14 6 – 24 -10.40 TRUE
3 Broncos vs. Titans Apr 14 24 – 22 14.60 TRUE
4 Sea Eagles vs. Storm Apr 15 26 – 36 -6.10 TRUE
5 Raiders vs. Warriors Apr 15 20 – 8 20.40 TRUE
6 Dragons vs. Cowboys Apr 15 28 – 22 1.00 TRUE
7 Panthers vs. Sharks Apr 16 2 – 28 1.10 FALSE
8 Eels vs. Wests Tigers Apr 17 26 – 22 7.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 8

Here are the predictions for Round 8. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Raiders vs. Sea Eagles Apr 21 Raiders 14.80
2 Rabbitohs vs. Broncos Apr 21 Broncos -5.10
3 Eels vs. Panthers Apr 22 Panthers -0.20
4 Cowboys vs. Knights Apr 22 Cowboys 20.70
5 Sharks vs. Titans Apr 22 Sharks 15.40
6 Wests Tigers vs. Bulldogs Apr 23 Bulldogs -0.40
7 Roosters vs. Dragons Apr 25 Roosters 3.00
8 Storm vs. Warriors Apr 25 Storm 18.00

 

Super 18 Predictions for Round 9

By

Team Ratings for Round 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 16.41 13.22 3.20
Crusaders 10.32 8.75 1.60
Chiefs 10.03 9.75 0.30
Highlanders 8.29 9.17 -0.90
Lions 7.95 7.64 0.30
Stormers 3.88 1.51 2.40
Brumbies 3.73 3.83 -0.10
Blues 2.40 -1.07 3.50
Waratahs 1.24 5.81 -4.60
Sharks 1.05 0.42 0.60
Jaguares -2.12 -4.36 2.20
Bulls -2.58 0.29 -2.90
Force -8.75 -9.45 0.70
Cheetahs -9.90 -7.36 -2.50
Reds -10.42 -10.28 -0.10
Rebels -11.76 -8.17 -3.60
Kings -17.38 -19.02 1.60
Sunwolves -19.50 -17.76 -1.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 63 matches played, 49 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 77.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Sunwolves Apr 14 50 – 3 32.00 TRUE
2 Reds vs. Kings Apr 15 47 – 34 10.70 TRUE
3 Blues vs. Hurricanes Apr 15 24 – 28 -11.40 TRUE
4 Rebels vs. Brumbies Apr 15 19 – 17 -13.90 FALSE
5 Cheetahs vs. Chiefs Apr 15 27 – 41 -16.20 TRUE
6 Stormers vs. Lions Apr 15 16 – 29 1.10 FALSE
7 Bulls vs. Jaguares Apr 15 26 – 13 2.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Brumbies Apr 21 Hurricanes 16.70
2 Lions vs. Jaguares Apr 21 Lions 14.10
3 Highlanders vs. Sunwolves Apr 22 Highlanders 31.80
4 Crusaders vs. Stormers Apr 22 Crusaders 10.40
5 Waratahs vs. Kings Apr 22 Waratahs 22.60
6 Force vs. Chiefs Apr 22 Chiefs -14.80
7 Bulls vs. Cheetahs Apr 22 Bulls 10.80
8 Sharks vs. Rebels Apr 22 Sharks 16.80

 

April 11, 2017

Super 18 Predictions for Round 8

By

Team Ratings for Round 8

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 16.86 13.22 3.60
Chiefs 10.16 9.75 0.40
Crusaders 9.42 8.75 0.70
Highlanders 8.29 9.17 -0.90
Lions 7.10 7.64 -0.50
Stormers 4.73 1.51 3.20
Brumbies 4.68 3.83 0.90
Blues 1.96 -1.07 3.00
Waratahs 1.24 5.81 -4.60
Sharks 1.05 0.42 0.60
Jaguares -1.48 -4.36 2.90
Bulls -3.22 0.29 -3.50
Force -8.75 -9.45 0.70
Cheetahs -10.03 -7.36 -2.70
Reds -10.56 -10.28 -0.30
Rebels -12.72 -8.17 -4.60
Kings -17.24 -19.02 1.80
Sunwolves -18.61 -17.76 -0.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 56 matches played, 44 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 78.6%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Waratahs Apr 07 38 – 28 20.90 TRUE
2 Sunwolves vs. Bulls Apr 08 21 – 20 -13.10 FALSE
3 Highlanders vs. Blues Apr 08 26 – 20 10.40 TRUE
4 Brumbies vs. Reds Apr 08 43 – 10 16.80 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Jaguares Apr 08 18 – 13 6.70 TRUE
6 Stormers vs. Chiefs Apr 08 34 – 26 -2.70 FALSE
7 Force vs. Kings Apr 09 46 – 41 13.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 8

Here are the predictions for Round 8. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Crusaders vs. Sunwolves Apr 14 Crusaders 32.00
2 Reds vs. Kings Apr 15 Reds 10.70
3 Blues vs. Hurricanes Apr 15 Hurricanes -11.40
4 Rebels vs. Brumbies Apr 15 Brumbies -13.90
5 Cheetahs vs. Chiefs Apr 15 Chiefs -16.20
6 Stormers vs. Lions Apr 15 Stormers 1.10
7 Bulls vs. Jaguares Apr 15 Bulls 2.30

 

NRL Predictions for Round 7

By

Team Ratings for Round 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Raiders 10.11 9.94 0.20
Storm 8.06 8.49 -0.40
Broncos 6.26 4.36 1.90
Sharks 6.05 5.84 0.20
Panthers 3.62 6.08 -2.50
Cowboys 2.98 6.90 -3.90
Dragons 0.52 -7.74 8.30
Roosters -0.12 -1.17 1.00
Sea Eagles -1.49 -2.98 1.50
Eels -1.82 -0.81 -1.00
Rabbitohs -2.39 -1.82 -0.60
Bulldogs -2.67 -1.34 -1.30
Titans -4.83 -0.98 -3.90
Wests Tigers -5.99 -3.89 -2.10
Warriors -6.28 -6.02 -0.30
Knights -14.05 -16.94 2.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 48 matches played, 25 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 52.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Broncos vs. Roosters Apr 06 32 – 8 7.30 TRUE
2 Knights vs. Bulldogs Apr 07 12 – 22 -7.40 TRUE
3 Panthers vs. Rabbitohs Apr 07 20 – 21 11.50 FALSE
4 Sea Eagles vs. Dragons Apr 08 10 – 35 6.20 FALSE
5 Titans vs. Raiders Apr 08 16 – 42 -8.70 TRUE
6 Cowboys vs. Wests Tigers Apr 08 16 – 26 16.50 FALSE
7 Warriors vs. Eels Apr 09 22 – 10 -2.80 FALSE
8 Storm vs. Sharks Apr 09 2 – 11 8.20 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 7

Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bulldogs vs. Rabbitohs Apr 14 Bulldogs 3.20
2 Knights vs. Roosters Apr 14 Roosters -10.40
3 Broncos vs. Titans Apr 14 Broncos 14.60
4 Sea Eagles vs. Storm Apr 15 Storm -6.10
5 Raiders vs. Warriors Apr 15 Raiders 20.40
6 Dragons vs. Cowboys Apr 15 Dragons 1.00
7 Panthers vs. Sharks Apr 16 Panthers 1.10
8 Eels vs. Wests Tigers Apr 17 Eels 7.70

 

April 4, 2017

Super 18 Predictions for Round 7

By

Team Ratings for Round 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 17.51 13.22 4.30
Chiefs 10.80 9.75 1.00
Crusaders 9.42 8.75 0.70
Highlanders 8.55 9.17 -0.60
Lions 7.10 7.64 -0.50
Stormers 4.09 1.51 2.60
Brumbies 3.71 3.83 -0.10
Blues 1.70 -1.07 2.80
Sharks 1.16 0.42 0.70
Waratahs 0.59 5.81 -5.20
Jaguares -1.58 -4.36 2.80
Bulls -2.38 0.29 -2.70
Force -8.24 -9.45 1.20
Reds -9.59 -10.28 0.70
Cheetahs -10.03 -7.36 -2.70
Rebels -12.72 -8.17 -4.60
Kings -17.75 -19.02 1.30
Sunwolves -19.45 -17.76 -1.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 49 matches played, 39 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 79.6%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Rebels Mar 31 51 – 12 23.40 TRUE
2 Blues vs. Force Apr 01 24 – 15 14.60 TRUE
3 Chiefs vs. Bulls Apr 01 28 – 12 17.30 TRUE
4 Reds vs. Hurricanes Apr 01 15 – 34 -23.70 TRUE
5 Stormers vs. Cheetahs Apr 01 53 – 10 14.20 TRUE
6 Lions vs. Sharks Apr 01 34 – 29 10.10 TRUE
7 Waratahs vs. Crusaders Apr 02 22 – 41 -2.90 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 7

Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Waratahs Apr 07 Hurricanes 20.90
2 Sunwolves vs. Bulls Apr 08 Bulls -13.10
3 Highlanders vs. Blues Apr 08 Highlanders 10.40
4 Brumbies vs. Reds Apr 08 Brumbies 16.80
5 Sharks vs. Jaguares Apr 08 Sharks 6.70
6 Stormers vs. Chiefs Apr 08 Chiefs -2.70
7 Force vs. Kings Apr 09 Force 13.50

 

NRL Predictions for Round 6

By

Team Ratings for Round 6

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 9.40 8.49 0.90
Raiders 8.76 9.94 -1.20
Cowboys 5.01 6.90 -1.90
Broncos 4.95 4.36 0.60
Sharks 4.70 5.84 -1.10
Panthers 4.61 6.08 -1.50
Roosters 1.19 -1.17 2.40
Sea Eagles 0.87 -2.98 3.80
Eels -0.66 -0.81 0.10
Dragons -1.85 -7.74 5.90
Bulldogs -2.91 -1.34 -1.60
Rabbitohs -3.38 -1.82 -1.60
Titans -3.48 -0.98 -2.50
Warriors -7.44 -6.02 -1.40
Wests Tigers -8.02 -3.89 -4.10
Knights -13.81 -16.94 3.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 40 matches played, 22 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 55%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bulldogs vs. Broncos Mar 30 10 – 7 -5.80 FALSE
2 Roosters vs. Sea Eagles Mar 31 12 – 18 5.70 FALSE
3 Cowboys vs. Rabbitohs Mar 31 20 – 6 11.40 TRUE
4 Sharks vs. Knights Apr 01 19 – 18 25.80 TRUE
5 Raiders vs. Eels Apr 01 30 – 18 13.10 TRUE
6 Storm vs. Panthers Apr 01 28 – 6 5.70 TRUE
7 Warriors vs. Titans Apr 02 28 – 22 -1.10 FALSE
8 Wests Tigers vs. Dragons Apr 02 6 – 28 0.80 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 6

Here are the predictions for Round 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Broncos vs. Roosters Apr 06 Broncos 7.30
2 Knights vs. Bulldogs Apr 07 Bulldogs -7.40
3 Panthers vs. Rabbitohs Apr 07 Panthers 11.50
4 Sea Eagles vs. Dragons Apr 08 Sea Eagles 6.20
5 Titans vs. Raiders Apr 08 Raiders -8.70
6 Cowboys vs. Wests Tigers Apr 08 Cowboys 16.50
7 Warriors vs. Eels Apr 09 Eels -2.80
8 Storm vs. Sharks Apr 09 Storm 8.20

 

March 28, 2017

Super 18 Predictions for Round 6

By

Team Ratings for Round 6

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 17.79 13.22 4.60
Chiefs 10.88 9.75 1.10
Crusaders 8.45 8.75 -0.30
Highlanders 7.61 9.17 -1.60
Lions 7.41 7.64 -0.20
Brumbies 3.71 3.83 -0.10
Stormers 2.36 1.51 0.90
Blues 2.04 -1.07 3.10
Waratahs 1.55 5.81 -4.30
Sharks 0.85 0.42 0.40
Jaguares -1.58 -4.36 2.80
Bulls -2.46 0.29 -2.70
Cheetahs -8.30 -7.36 -0.90
Force -8.57 -9.45 0.90
Reds -9.87 -10.28 0.40
Rebels -11.78 -8.17 -3.60
Kings -17.75 -19.02 1.30
Sunwolves -19.45 -17.76 -1.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 42 matches played, 32 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 76.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Force Mar 24 45 – 17 20.10 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Waratahs Mar 24 25 – 32 -10.20 TRUE
3 Blues vs. Bulls Mar 25 38 – 14 6.40 TRUE
4 Brumbies vs. Highlanders Mar 25 13 – 18 0.80 FALSE
5 Sunwolves vs. Stormers Mar 25 31 – 44 -18.50 TRUE
6 Kings vs. Lions Mar 25 19 – 42 -21.50 TRUE
7 Cheetahs vs. Sharks Mar 25 30 – 38 -5.30 TRUE
8 Jaguares vs. Reds Mar 25 22 – 8 12.10 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 6

Here are the predictions for Round 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Rebels Mar 31 Highlanders 23.40
2 Blues vs. Force Apr 01 Blues 14.60
3 Chiefs vs. Bulls Apr 01 Chiefs 17.30
4 Reds vs. Hurricanes Apr 01 Hurricanes -23.70
5 Stormers vs. Cheetahs Apr 01 Stormers 14.20
6 Lions vs. Sharks Apr 01 Lions 10.10
7 Waratahs vs. Crusaders Apr 02 Crusaders -2.90

 

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NRL Predictions for Round 5

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Team Ratings for Round 5

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Raiders 8.86 9.94 -1.10
Storm 8.13 8.49 -0.40
Sharks 6.61 5.84 0.80
Panthers 5.89 6.08 -0.20
Broncos 5.66 4.36 1.30
Cowboys 4.78 6.90 -2.10
Roosters 2.12 -1.17 3.30
Sea Eagles -0.06 -2.98 2.90
Eels -0.76 -0.81 0.00
Titans -2.90 -0.98 -1.90
Rabbitohs -3.15 -1.82 -1.30
Dragons -3.60 -7.74 4.10
Bulldogs -3.62 -1.34 -2.30
Wests Tigers -6.26 -3.89 -2.40
Warriors -8.03 -6.02 -2.00
Knights -15.71 -16.94 1.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 32 matches played, 18 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 56.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Rabbitohs vs. Roosters Mar 23 6 – 20 0.50 FALSE
2 Panthers vs. Knights Mar 24 40 – 0 22.30 TRUE
3 Broncos vs. Raiders Mar 24 13 – 12 0.10 TRUE
4 Sea Eagles vs. Bulldogs Mar 25 36 – 0 1.90 TRUE
5 Eels vs. Sharks Mar 25 6 – 20 -2.00 TRUE
6 Titans vs. Cowboys Mar 25 26 – 32 -3.80 TRUE
7 Wests Tigers vs. Storm Mar 26 14 – 22 -11.50 TRUE
8 Dragons vs. Warriors Mar 26 26 – 12 7.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 5

Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bulldogs vs. Broncos Mar 30 Broncos -5.80
2 Roosters vs. Sea Eagles Mar 31 Roosters 5.70
3 Cowboys vs. Rabbitohs Mar 31 Cowboys 11.40
4 Sharks vs. Knights Apr 01 Sharks 25.80
5 Raiders vs. Eels Apr 01 Raiders 13.10
6 Storm vs. Panthers Apr 01 Storm 5.70
7 Warriors vs. Titans Apr 02 Titans -1.10
8 Wests Tigers vs. Dragons Apr 02 Wests Tigers 0.80

 

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