NRL Predictions, Round 22
Team Ratings for Round 22
Here are the team ratings prior to Round 22, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
| Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | 8.16 | -1.86 | 10.00 |
| Rabbitohs | 5.37 | 0.04 | 5.30 |
| Warriors | 3.38 | 5.28 | -1.90 |
| Cowboys | 2.95 | -1.32 | 4.30 |
| Sea Eagles | 2.56 | 9.83 | -7.30 |
| Storm | 2.32 | 4.63 | -2.30 |
| Knights | 2.05 | 0.77 | 1.30 |
| Broncos | 0.63 | 5.57 | -4.90 |
| Titans | -0.21 | -11.80 | 11.60 |
| Wests Tigers | -1.64 | 4.52 | -6.20 |
| Dragons | -2.30 | 4.36 | -6.70 |
| Raiders | -4.45 | -8.40 | 3.90 |
| Eels | -4.47 | -4.23 | -0.20 |
| Sharks | -4.93 | -7.97 | 3.00 |
| Panthers | -6.22 | -3.40 | -2.80 |
| Roosters | -6.96 | 0.25 | -7.20 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 152 matches played, 86 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 56.58%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
| Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragons vs. Storm | Jul 27 | 26 – 18 | -1.66 | FALSE |
| 2 | Roosters vs. Titans | Jul 27 | 16 – 36 | 1.14 | FALSE |
| 3 | Bulldogs vs. Cowboys | Jul 28 | 32 – 18 | 8.89 | TRUE |
| 4 | Sea Eagles vs. Warriors | Jul 28 | 24 – 22 | -1.36 | FALSE |
| 5 | Sharks vs. Panthers | Jul 28 | 20 – 21 | 7.08 | FALSE |
| 6 | Raiders vs. Knights | Jul 29 | 6 – 36 | 3.33 | FALSE |
| 7 | Rabbitohs vs. Wests Tigers | Jul 29 | 32 – 6 | 8.75 | TRUE |
| 8 | Broncos vs. Eels | Jul 30 | 22 – 42 | 15.23 | FALSE |
Predictions for Round 22
Here are the predictions for Round 22.
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roosters vs. Dragons | Aug 03 | Dragons | -0.20 |
| 2 | Storm vs. Panthers | Aug 04 | Storm | 13.00 |
| 3 | Knights vs. Bulldogs | Aug 04 | Bulldogs | -1.60 |
| 4 | Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles | Aug 04 | Cowboys | 4.90 |
| 5 | Warriors vs. Sharks | Aug 05 | Warriors | 12.80 |
| 6 | Raiders vs. Broncos | Aug 05 | Broncos | -0.60 |
| 7 | Titans vs. Rabbitohs | Aug 05 | Rabbitohs | -1.10 |
| 8 | Wests Tigers vs. Eels | Aug 06 | Wests Tigers | 7.30 |