NRL Predictions, Round 8
Team Ratings for Round 8
Here are the team ratings prior to Round 8, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
| Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Storm | 9.16 | 4.63 | 4.50 |
| Broncos | 7.51 | 5.57 | 1.90 |
| Sea Eagles | 4.37 | 9.83 | -5.50 |
| Dragons | 3.54 | 4.36 | -0.80 |
| Wests Tigers | 1.99 | 4.52 | -2.50 |
| Warriors | 1.73 | 5.28 | -3.50 |
| Cowboys | 1.53 | -1.32 | 2.80 |
| Bulldogs | 1.51 | -1.86 | 3.40 |
| Knights | 1.09 | 0.77 | 0.30 |
| Rabbitohs | -0.49 | 0.04 | -0.50 |
| Sharks | -3.12 | -7.97 | 4.90 |
| Raiders | -4.62 | -8.40 | 3.80 |
| Roosters | -5.47 | 0.25 | -5.70 |
| Panthers | -5.71 | -3.40 | -2.30 |
| Eels | -7.89 | -4.23 | -3.70 |
| Titans | -8.87 | -11.80 | 2.90 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 56 matches played, 30 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 53.57%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
| Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragons vs. Knights | Apr 13 | 12 – 4 | 6.76 | TRUE |
| 2 | Broncos vs. Raiders | Apr 13 | 30 – 6 | 15.23 | TRUE |
| 3 | Storm vs. Bulldogs | Apr 14 | 12 – 6 | 13.32 | TRUE |
| 4 | Roosters vs. Cowboys | Apr 14 | 12 – 50 | 4.26 | FALSE |
| 5 | Sea Eagles vs. Titans | Apr 14 | 14 – 26 | 23.41 | FALSE |
| 6 | Warriors vs. Rabbitohs | Apr 15 | 44 – 22 | 3.82 | TRUE |
| 7 | Sharks vs. Eels | Apr 15 | 24 – 18 | 9.90 | TRUE |
| 8 | Panthers vs. Wests Tigers | Apr 15 | 0 – 30 | 1.91 | FALSE |
Predictions for Round 8
Here are the predictions for Round 8
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragons vs. Roosters | Apr 25 | Dragons | 13.50 |
| 2 | Storm vs. Warriors | Apr 25 | Storm | 11.90 |
| 3 | Bulldogs vs. Sea Eagles | Apr 27 | Bulldogs | 1.60 |
| 4 | Broncos vs. Titans | Apr 27 | Broncos | 20.90 |
| 5 | Rabbitohs vs. Cowboys | Apr 28 | Rabbitohs | 2.50 |
| 6 | Raiders vs. Sharks | Apr 29 | Raiders | 3.00 |
| 7 | Eels vs. Wests Tigers | Apr 29 | Wests Tigers | -5.40 |
| 8 | Knights vs. Panthers | Apr 30 | Knights | 11.30 |
David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation. See all posts by David Scott »