Search results for Super 15 (273)

May 1, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 12

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Team Ratings for Round 12

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 15.41 16.18 -0.80
Crusaders 14.50 15.23 -0.70
Highlanders 11.01 10.29 0.70
Chiefs 9.89 9.29 0.60
Lions 8.93 13.81 -4.90
Bulls -0.05 -4.79 4.70
Stormers -0.31 1.48 -1.80
Sharks -0.59 1.02 -1.60
Blues -1.96 -0.24 -1.70
Waratahs -2.18 -3.92 1.70
Brumbies -2.53 1.75 -4.30
Jaguares -3.12 -4.64 1.50
Reds -8.71 -9.47 0.80
Rebels -9.87 -14.96 5.10
Sunwolves -17.80 -18.42 0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 67 matches played, 48 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.6%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Sunwolves Apr 27 43 – 15 38.50 TRUE
2 Stormers vs. Rebels Apr 27 34 – 18 13.20 TRUE
3 Reds vs. Lions Apr 28 27 – 22 -16.20 FALSE
4 Blues vs. Jaguares Apr 28 13 – 20 6.80 FALSE
5 Brumbies vs. Crusaders Apr 28 8 – 21 -13.00 TRUE
6 Bulls vs. Highlanders Apr 28 28 – 29 -7.90 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 12

Here are the predictions for Round 12. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Chiefs vs. Jaguares May 04 Chiefs 17.00
2 Rebels vs. Crusaders May 04 Crusaders -20.40
3 Waratahs vs. Blues May 05 Waratahs 3.80
4 Hurricanes vs. Lions May 05 Hurricanes 10.50
5 Stormers vs. Bulls May 05 Stormers 3.20
6 Sharks vs. Highlanders May 05 Highlanders -7.60

 

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April 24, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 11

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Team Ratings for Round 11

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 16.03 16.18 -0.10
Crusaders 14.50 15.23 -0.70
Highlanders 11.42 10.29 1.10
Lions 10.20 13.81 -3.60
Chiefs 9.89 9.29 0.60
Bulls -0.46 -4.79 4.30
Stormers -0.48 1.48 -2.00
Sharks -0.59 1.02 -1.60
Blues -1.13 -0.24 -0.90
Waratahs -2.18 -3.92 1.70
Brumbies -2.54 1.75 -4.30
Jaguares -3.95 -4.64 0.70
Rebels -9.71 -14.96 5.30
Reds -9.99 -9.47 -0.50
Sunwolves -18.43 -18.42 -0.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 61 matches played, 44 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 72.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Highlanders Apr 20 16 – 34 -7.80 TRUE
2 Waratahs vs. Lions Apr 20 0 – 29 -5.60 TRUE
3 Crusaders vs. Sunwolves Apr 21 33 – 11 39.00 TRUE
4 Reds vs. Chiefs Apr 21 12 – 36 -14.80 TRUE
5 Bulls vs. Rebels Apr 21 28 – 10 12.60 TRUE
6 Sharks vs. Stormers Apr 21 24 – 17 2.90 TRUE
7 Brumbies vs. Jaguares Apr 22 20 – 25 6.80 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 11

Here are the predictions for Round 11. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Sunwolves Apr 27 Hurricanes 38.50
2 Stormers vs. Rebels Apr 27 Stormers 13.20
3 Reds vs. Lions Apr 28 Lions -16.20
4 Blues vs. Jaguares Apr 28 Blues 6.80
5 Brumbies vs. Crusaders Apr 28 Crusaders -13.00
6 Bulls vs. Highlanders Apr 28 Highlanders -7.90

 

April 17, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 10

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Team Ratings for Round 10

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 16.03 16.18 -0.10
Crusaders 15.52 15.23 0.30
Highlanders 10.81 10.29 0.50
Chiefs 9.33 9.29 0.00
Lions 8.80 13.81 -5.00
Stormers -0.23 1.48 -1.70
Blues -0.52 -0.24 -0.30
Waratahs -0.78 -3.92 3.10
Bulls -0.79 -4.79 4.00
Sharks -0.84 1.02 -1.90
Brumbies -1.83 1.75 -3.60
Jaguares -4.66 -4.64 -0.00
Rebels -9.38 -14.96 5.60
Reds -9.43 -9.47 0.00
Sunwolves -19.45 -18.42 -1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 54 matches played, 38 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Chiefs Apr 13 25 – 13 10.00 TRUE
2 Sunwolves vs. Blues Apr 14 10 – 24 -15.00 TRUE
3 Rebels vs. Jaguares Apr 14 22 – 25 -0.40 TRUE
4 Highlanders vs. Brumbies Apr 14 43 – 17 15.40 TRUE
5 Waratahs vs. Reds Apr 14 37 – 16 10.90 TRUE
6 Sharks vs. Bulls Apr 14 10 – 40 8.00 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 10

Here are the predictions for Round 10. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Highlanders Apr 20 Highlanders -7.80
2 Waratahs vs. Lions Apr 20 Lions -5.60
3 Crusaders vs. Sunwolves Apr 21 Crusaders 39.00
4 Reds vs. Chiefs Apr 21 Chiefs -14.80
5 Bulls vs. Rebels Apr 21 Bulls 12.60
6 Sharks vs. Stormers Apr 21 Sharks 2.90
7 Brumbies vs. Jaguares Apr 22 Brumbies 6.80

 

April 10, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 9

By

Team Ratings for Round 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 15.91 16.18 -0.30
Crusaders 15.52 15.23 0.30
Highlanders 10.17 10.29 -0.10
Chiefs 9.45 9.29 0.20
Lions 8.80 13.81 -5.00
Sharks 1.44 1.02 0.40
Stormers -0.23 1.48 -1.70
Blues -0.46 -0.24 -0.20
Brumbies -1.19 1.75 -2.90
Waratahs -1.38 -3.92 2.50
Bulls -3.07 -4.79 1.70
Jaguares -4.82 -4.64 -0.20
Reds -8.83 -9.47 0.60
Rebels -9.23 -14.96 5.70
Sunwolves -19.51 -18.42 -1.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 48 matches played, 33 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Sharks Apr 06 38 – 37 20.80 TRUE
2 Sunwolves vs. Waratahs Apr 07 29 – 50 -13.20 TRUE
3 Chiefs vs. Blues Apr 07 21 – 19 15.00 TRUE
4 Brumbies vs. Reds Apr 07 45 – 21 9.40 TRUE
5 Lions vs. Stormers Apr 07 52 – 31 11.40 TRUE
6 Jaguares vs. Crusaders Apr 07 14 – 40 -15.00 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Chiefs Apr 13 Hurricanes 10.00
2 Sunwolves vs. Blues Apr 14 Blues -15.00
3 Rebels vs. Jaguares Apr 14 Jaguares -0.40
4 Highlanders vs. Brumbies Apr 14 Highlanders 15.40
5 Waratahs vs. Reds Apr 14 Waratahs 10.90
6 Sharks vs. Bulls Apr 14 Sharks 8.00

 

April 3, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 8

By

Team Ratings for Round 8

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

 

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 17.10 16.18 0.90
Crusaders 14.86 15.23 -0.40
Chiefs 10.23 9.29 0.90
Highlanders 10.17 10.29 -0.10
Lions 8.22 13.81 -5.60
Stormers 0.35 1.48 -1.10
Sharks 0.25 1.02 -0.80
Blues -1.24 -0.24 -1.00
Waratahs -1.85 -3.92 2.10
Brumbies -2.06 1.75 -3.80
Bulls -3.07 -4.79 1.70
Jaguares -4.16 -4.64 0.50
Reds -7.95 -9.47 1.50
Rebels -9.23 -14.96 5.70
Sunwolves -19.04 -18.42 -0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 42 matches played, 27 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 64.3%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

 

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Chiefs vs. Highlanders Mar 30 27 – 22 3.40 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Hurricanes Mar 30 19 – 50 -21.10 TRUE
3 Blues vs. Sharks Mar 31 40 – 63 6.00 FALSE
4 Brumbies vs. Waratahs Mar 31 17 – 24 4.70 FALSE
5 Bulls vs. Stormers Mar 31 33 – 23 -1.30 FALSE
6 Lions vs. Crusaders Apr 01 8 – 14 -2.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 8

Here are the predictions for Round 8. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

 

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Sharks Apr 06 Hurricanes 20.80
2 Sunwolves vs. Waratahs Apr 07 Waratahs -13.20
3 Chiefs vs. Blues Apr 07 Chiefs 15.00
4 Brumbies vs. Reds Apr 07 Brumbies 9.40
5 Lions vs. Stormers Apr 07 Lions 11.40
6 Jaguares vs. Crusaders Apr 07 Crusaders -15.00

 

March 27, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 7

By

Team Ratings for Round 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 16.51 16.18 0.30
Crusaders 14.63 15.23 -0.60
Highlanders 10.27 10.29 -0.00
Chiefs 10.13 9.29 0.80
Lions 8.45 13.81 -5.40
Stormers 1.02 1.48 -0.50
Blues 0.50 -0.24 0.70
Brumbies -1.36 1.75 -3.10
Sharks -1.49 1.02 -2.50
Waratahs -2.55 -3.92 1.40
Bulls -3.74 -4.79 1.10
Jaguares -4.16 -4.64 0.50
Reds -7.95 -9.47 1.50
Rebels -8.64 -14.96 6.30
Sunwolves -19.04 -18.42 -0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 36 matches played, 24 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Bulls Mar 23 33 – 14 22.80 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Sharks Mar 23 46 – 14 -7.90 FALSE
3 Sunwolves vs. Chiefs Mar 24 10 – 61 -21.70 TRUE
4 Hurricanes vs. Highlanders Mar 24 29 – 12 8.80 TRUE
5 Stormers vs. Reds Mar 24 25 – 19 13.90 TRUE
6 Jaguares vs. Lions Mar 24 49 – 35 -11.70 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 7

Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Chiefs vs. Highlanders Mar 30 Chiefs 3.40
2 Rebels vs. Hurricanes Mar 30 Hurricanes -21.10
3 Blues vs. Sharks Mar 31 Blues 6.00
4 Brumbies vs. Waratahs Mar 31 Brumbies 4.70
5 Bulls vs. Stormers Mar 31 Stormers -1.30
6 Lions vs. Crusaders Apr 01 Crusaders -2.20

 

March 20, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 6

By

Team Ratings for Round 6

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 16.02 16.18 -0.20
Crusaders 14.86 15.23 -0.40
Highlanders 10.76 10.29 0.50
Lions 9.99 13.81 -3.80
Chiefs 8.37 9.29 -0.90
Stormers 1.50 1.48 0.00
Sharks 0.91 1.02 -0.10
Blues 0.50 -0.24 0.70
Brumbies -1.36 1.75 -3.10
Waratahs -2.55 -3.92 1.40
Bulls -3.98 -4.79 0.80
Jaguares -5.70 -4.64 -1.10
Reds -8.43 -9.47 1.00
Rebels -11.03 -14.96 3.90
Sunwolves -17.28 -18.42 1.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 30 matches played, 20 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Chiefs vs. Bulls Mar 16 41 – 28 16.80 TRUE
2 Highlanders vs. Crusaders Mar 17 25 – 17 -1.80 FALSE
3 Brumbies vs. Sharks Mar 17 24 – 17 1.00 TRUE
4 Stormers vs. Blues Mar 17 37 – 20 3.40 TRUE
5 Lions vs. Sunwolves Mar 17 40 – 38 35.30 TRUE
6 Jaguares vs. Reds Mar 17 7 – 18 9.10 FALSE
7 Waratahs vs. Rebels Mar 18 51 – 27 10.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 6

Here are the predictions for Round 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

 

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Crusaders vs. Bulls Mar 23 Crusaders 22.80
2 Rebels vs. Sharks Mar 23 Sharks -7.90
3 Sunwolves vs. Chiefs Mar 24 Chiefs -21.70
4 Hurricanes vs. Highlanders Mar 24 Hurricanes 8.80
5 Stormers vs. Reds Mar 24 Stormers 13.90
6 Jaguares vs. Lions Mar 24 Lions -11.70

 

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March 13, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 5

By

Team Ratings for Round 5

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 16.02 16.18 -0.20
Crusaders 15.45 15.23 0.20
Lions 11.98 13.81 -1.80
Highlanders 10.18 10.29 -0.10
Chiefs 8.60 9.29 -0.70
Blues 1.32 -0.24 1.60
Sharks 1.27 1.02 0.30
Stormers 0.68 1.48 -0.80
Brumbies -1.72 1.75 -3.50
Waratahs -3.37 -3.92 0.50
Bulls -4.20 -4.79 0.60
Jaguares -4.49 -4.64 0.20
Reds -9.64 -9.47 -0.20
Rebels -10.21 -14.96 4.80
Sunwolves -19.27 -18.42 -0.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 23 matches played, 15 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Stormers Mar 09 33 – 15 12.90 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Brumbies Mar 09 33 – 10 -8.80 FALSE
3 Hurricanes vs. Crusaders Mar 10 29 – 19 3.30 TRUE
4 Reds vs. Bulls Mar 10 20 – 14 -2.40 FALSE
5 Sharks vs. Sunwolves Mar 10 50 – 22 24.10 TRUE
6 Lions vs. Blues Mar 10 35 – 38 17.10 FALSE
7 Jaguares vs. Waratahs Mar 10 38 – 28 1.90 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 5

Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Chiefs vs. Bulls Mar 16 Chiefs 16.80
2 Highlanders vs. Crusaders Mar 17 Crusaders -1.80
3 Brumbies vs. Sharks Mar 17 Brumbies 1.00
4 Stormers vs. Blues Mar 17 Stormers 3.40
5 Lions vs. Sunwolves Mar 17 Lions 35.30
6 Jaguares vs. Reds Mar 17 Jaguares 9.10
7 Waratahs vs. Rebels Mar 18 Waratahs 10.30

 

March 6, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 4

By

Team Ratings for Round 4

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 15.86 15.23 0.60
Hurricanes 15.61 16.18 -0.60
Lions 13.19 13.81 -0.60
Highlanders 9.87 10.29 -0.40
Chiefs 8.60 9.29 -0.70
Sharks 1.03 1.02 0.00
Stormers 0.99 1.48 -0.50
Brumbies 0.19 1.75 -1.60
Blues 0.11 -0.24 0.30
Waratahs -2.88 -3.92 1.00
Bulls -3.70 -4.79 1.10
Jaguares -4.98 -4.64 -0.30
Reds -10.14 -9.47 -0.70
Rebels -12.12 -14.96 2.80
Sunwolves -19.04 -18.42 -0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 16 matches played, 11 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Chiefs Mar 02 21 – 27 -4.80 TRUE
2 Reds vs. Brumbies Mar 02 18 – 10 -8.90 FALSE
3 Crusaders vs. Stormers Mar 03 45 – 28 19.10 TRUE
4 Sunwolves vs. Rebels Mar 03 17 – 37 -0.60 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Waratahs Mar 03 24 – 24 9.00 FALSE
6 Bulls vs. Lions Mar 03 35 – 49 -13.30 TRUE
7 Jaguares vs. Hurricanes Mar 03 9 – 34 -15.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 4

Here are the predictions for Round 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Stormers Mar 09 Highlanders 12.90
2 Rebels vs. Brumbies Mar 09 Brumbies -8.80
3 Hurricanes vs. Crusaders Mar 10 Hurricanes 3.30
4 Reds vs. Bulls Mar 10 Bulls -2.40
5 Sharks vs. Sunwolves Mar 10 Sharks 24.10
6 Lions vs. Blues Mar 10 Lions 17.10
7 Jaguares vs. Waratahs Mar 10 Jaguares 1.90

 

February 27, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 3

By

Team Ratings for Round 3

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 15.98 15.23 0.80
Hurricanes 15.04 16.18 -1.10
Lions 13.15 13.81 -0.70
Highlanders 9.87 10.29 -0.40
Chiefs 8.53 9.29 -0.80
Sharks 1.57 1.02 0.60
Brumbies 1.20 1.75 -0.50
Stormers 0.86 1.48 -0.60
Blues 0.18 -0.24 0.40
Waratahs -3.42 -3.92 0.50
Bulls -3.65 -4.79 1.10
Jaguares -4.41 -4.64 0.20
Reds -11.15 -9.47 -1.70
Rebels -13.29 -14.96 1.70
Sunwolves -17.87 -18.42 0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 9 matches played, 6 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Blues Feb 23 41 – 34 14.00 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Reds Feb 23 45 – 19 -2.00 FALSE
3 Sunwolves vs. Brumbies Feb 24 25 – 32 -16.20 TRUE
4 Crusaders vs. Chiefs Feb 24 45 – 23 9.40 TRUE
5 Waratahs vs. Stormers Feb 24 34 – 27 -1.30 FALSE
6 Lions vs. Jaguares Feb 24 47 – 27 21.80 TRUE
7 Bulls vs. Hurricanes Feb 24 21 – 19 -17.00 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 3

Here are the predictions for Round 3. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Chiefs Mar 02 Chiefs -4.80
2 Reds vs. Brumbies Mar 02 Brumbies -8.90
3 Crusaders vs. Stormers Mar 03 Crusaders 19.10
4 Sunwolves vs. Rebels Mar 03 Rebels -0.60
5 Sharks vs. Waratahs Mar 03 Sharks 9.00
6 Bulls vs. Lions Mar 03 Lions -13.30
7 Jaguares vs. Hurricanes Mar 03 Hurricanes -15.40

 

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