Search results for Super 15 (272)

July 31, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for the Super Rugby Final

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Team Ratings for the Super Rugby Final

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 18.10 15.23 2.90
Hurricanes 10.29 16.18 -5.90
Lions 9.23 13.81 -4.60
Chiefs 9.12 9.29 -0.20
Highlanders 4.58 10.29 -5.70
Waratahs 1.88 -3.92 5.80
Sharks 0.58 1.02 -0.40
Brumbies -0.06 1.75 -1.80
Jaguares -0.22 -4.64 4.40
Stormers -0.33 1.48 -1.80
Blues -3.20 -0.24 -3.00
Bulls -3.81 -4.79 1.00
Rebels -7.97 -14.96 7.00
Reds -8.63 -9.47 0.80
Sunwolves -16.98 -18.42 1.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 126 matches played, 90 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Hurricanes Jul 28 30 – 12 10.40 TRUE
2 Lions vs. Waratahs Jul 29 44 – 26 10.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for the Super Rugby Final

Here are the predictions for the Super Rugby Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Crusaders vs. Lions Aug 04 Crusaders 12.90

 

July 23, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for the Semi-finals

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Team Ratings for the Semi-finals

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 17.65 15.23 2.40
Hurricanes 10.74 16.18 -5.40
Chiefs 9.12 9.29 -0.20
Lions 8.78 13.81 -5.00
Highlanders 4.58 10.29 -5.70
Waratahs 2.34 -3.92 6.30
Sharks 0.58 1.02 -0.40
Brumbies -0.06 1.75 -1.80
Jaguares -0.22 -4.64 4.40
Stormers -0.33 1.48 -1.80
Blues -3.20 -0.24 -3.00
Bulls -3.81 -4.79 1.00
Rebels -7.97 -14.96 7.00
Reds -8.63 -9.47 0.80
Sunwolves -16.98 -18.42 1.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 124 matches played, 88 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Chiefs Jul 20 32 – 31 5.70 TRUE
2 Crusaders vs. Sharks Jul 21 40 – 10 19.80 TRUE
3 Waratahs vs. Highlanders Jul 21 30 – 23 1.00 TRUE
4 Lions vs. Jaguares Jul 21 40 – 23 12.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for the Semi-finals

Here are the predictions for the Semi-finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Crusaders vs. Hurricanes Jul 28 Crusaders 10.40
2 Lions vs. Waratahs Jul 29 Lions 10.40

 

July 17, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for the Qualifiers

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Team Ratings for the Qualifiers

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 17.04 15.23 1.80
Hurricanes 11.03 16.18 -5.10
Chiefs 8.84 9.29 -0.40
Lions 8.50 13.81 -5.30
Highlanders 4.94 10.29 -5.40
Waratahs 1.98 -3.92 5.90
Sharks 1.19 1.02 0.20
Jaguares 0.06 -4.64 4.70
Brumbies -0.06 1.75 -1.80
Stormers -0.33 1.48 -1.80
Blues -3.20 -0.24 -3.00
Bulls -3.81 -4.79 1.00
Rebels -7.97 -14.96 7.00
Reds -8.63 -9.47 0.80
Sunwolves -16.98 -18.42 1.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 120 matches played, 84 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Chiefs vs. Hurricanes Jul 13 28 – 24 0.90 TRUE
2 Reds vs. Sunwolves Jul 13 48 – 27 11.20 TRUE
3 Highlanders vs. Rebels Jul 14 43 – 37 18.40 TRUE
4 Crusaders vs. Blues Jul 14 54 – 17 21.90 TRUE
5 Waratahs vs. Brumbies Jul 14 31 – 40 7.50 FALSE
6 Lions vs. Bulls Jul 14 38 – 12 14.40 TRUE
7 Sharks vs. Jaguares Jul 14 20 – 10 4.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for the Qualifiers

Here are the predictions for the Qualifiers. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Chiefs Jul 20 Hurricanes 5.70
2 Crusaders vs. Sharks Jul 21 Crusaders 19.80
3 Waratahs vs. Highlanders Jul 21 Waratahs 1.00
4 Lions vs. Jaguares Jul 21 Lions 12.40

 

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July 11, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 19

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Team Ratings for Round 19

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 16.14 15.23 0.90
Hurricanes 11.21 16.18 -5.00
Chiefs 8.65 9.29 -0.60
Lions 7.81 13.81 -6.00
Highlanders 5.68 10.29 -4.60
Waratahs 2.97 -3.92 6.90
Sharks 0.86 1.02 -0.20
Jaguares 0.39 -4.64 5.00
Stormers -0.33 1.48 -1.80
Brumbies -1.05 1.75 -2.80
Blues -2.29 -0.24 -2.10
Bulls -3.12 -4.79 1.70
Rebels -8.72 -14.96 6.20
Reds -9.22 -9.47 0.30
Sunwolves -16.39 -18.42 2.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 113 matches played, 78 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 69%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Highlanders Jul 06 45 – 22 12.70 TRUE
2 Reds vs. Rebels Jul 06 37 – 23 1.50 TRUE
3 Chiefs vs. Brumbies Jul 07 24 – 19 14.90 TRUE
4 Hurricanes vs. Blues Jul 07 42 – 24 16.90 TRUE
5 Waratahs vs. Sunwolves Jul 07 77 – 25 19.50 TRUE
6 Bulls vs. Jaguares Jul 07 43 – 34 -0.70 FALSE
7 Stormers vs. Sharks Jul 07 27 – 16 1.10 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 19

Here are the predictions for Round 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Chiefs vs. Hurricanes Jul 13 Chiefs 0.90
2 Reds vs. Sunwolves Jul 13 Reds 11.20
3 Highlanders vs. Rebels Jul 14 Highlanders 18.40
4 Crusaders vs. Blues Jul 14 Crusaders 21.90
5 Waratahs vs. Brumbies Jul 14 Waratahs 7.50
6 Lions vs. Bulls Jul 14 Lions 14.40
7 Sharks vs. Jaguares Jul 14 Sharks 4.50

 

July 3, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 18

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Team Ratings for Round 18

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 15.52 15.23 0.30
Hurricanes 11.14 16.18 -5.00
Chiefs 9.25 9.29 -0.00
Lions 7.81 13.81 -6.00
Highlanders 6.30 10.29 -4.00
Sharks 1.45 1.02 0.40
Waratahs 1.02 -3.92 4.90
Jaguares 0.97 -4.64 5.60
Stormers -0.93 1.48 -2.40
Brumbies -1.64 1.75 -3.40
Blues -2.23 -0.24 -2.00
Bulls -3.70 -4.79 1.10
Rebels -7.97 -14.96 7.00
Reds -9.97 -9.47 -0.50
Sunwolves -14.44 -18.42 4.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 106 matches played, 72 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Reds Jun 29 39 – 16 10.20 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Waratahs Jun 29 26 – 31 -5.60 TRUE
3 Highlanders vs. Chiefs Jun 30 22 – 45 3.80 FALSE
4 Brumbies vs. Hurricanes Jun 30 24 – 12 -11.60 FALSE
5 Sunwolves vs. Bulls Jun 30 42 – 37 -8.30 FALSE
6 Sharks vs. Lions Jun 30 31 – 24 -4.20 FALSE
7 Jaguares vs. Stormers Jun 30 25 – 14 5.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 18

Here are the predictions for Round 18. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Crusaders vs. Highlanders Jul 06 Crusaders 12.70
2 Reds vs. Rebels Jul 06 Reds 1.50
3 Chiefs vs. Brumbies Jul 07 Chiefs 14.90
4 Hurricanes vs. Blues Jul 07 Hurricanes 16.90
5 Waratahs vs. Sunwolves Jul 07 Waratahs 19.50
6 Bulls vs. Jaguares Jul 07 Jaguares -0.70
7 Stormers vs. Sharks Jul 07 Stormers 1.10

 

June 6, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 17

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Team Ratings for Round 17

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 15.52 15.23 0.30
Hurricanes 12.56 16.18 -3.60
Lions 8.48 13.81 -5.30
Highlanders 7.90 10.29 -2.40
Chiefs 7.64 9.29 -1.60
Waratahs 1.05 -3.92 5.00
Sharks 0.78 1.02 -0.20
Jaguares 0.62 -4.64 5.30
Stormers -0.58 1.48 -2.10
Bulls -2.90 -4.79 1.90
Blues -2.99 -0.24 -2.80
Brumbies -3.06 1.75 -4.80
Rebels -8.00 -14.96 7.00
Reds -9.21 -9.47 0.30
Sunwolves -15.24 -18.42 3.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 99 matches played, 69 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 69.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Hurricanes Jun 01 30 – 14 -3.50 FALSE
2 Blues vs. Rebels Jun 02 10 – 20 11.60 FALSE
3 Chiefs vs. Crusaders Jun 02 20 – 34 -3.10 TRUE
4 Reds vs. Waratahs Jun 02 41 – 52 -6.20 TRUE
5 Brumbies vs. Sunwolves Jun 03 41 – 31 17.00 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 17

Here are the predictions for Round 17. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Reds Jun 29 Blues 10.20
2 Rebels vs. Waratahs Jun 29 Waratahs -5.60
3 Highlanders vs. Chiefs Jun 30 Highlanders 3.80
4 Brumbies vs. Hurricanes Jun 30 Hurricanes -11.60
5 Sunwolves vs. Bulls Jun 30 Bulls -8.30
6 Sharks vs. Lions Jun 30 Lions -4.20
7 Jaguares vs. Stormers Jun 30 Jaguares 5.20

 

May 29, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 16

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Team Ratings for Round 16

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 14.86 15.23 -0.40
Hurricanes 13.73 16.18 -2.40
Lions 8.48 13.81 -5.30
Chiefs 8.30 9.29 -1.00
Highlanders 6.73 10.29 -3.60
Sharks 0.78 1.02 -0.20
Waratahs 0.76 -3.92 4.70
Jaguares 0.62 -4.64 5.30
Stormers -0.58 1.48 -2.10
Blues -1.70 -0.24 -1.50
Brumbies -2.64 1.75 -4.40
Bulls -2.90 -4.79 1.90
Reds -8.92 -9.47 0.60
Rebels -9.30 -14.96 5.70
Sunwolves -15.66 -18.42 2.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 94 matches played, 66 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Hurricanes May 25 24 – 13 3.80 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Sunwolves May 25 40 – 13 8.10 TRUE
3 Jaguares vs. Sharks May 25 29 – 13 2.20 TRUE
4 Chiefs vs. Waratahs May 26 39 – 27 11.50 TRUE
5 Reds vs. Highlanders May 26 15 – 18 -12.80 TRUE
6 Bulls vs. Brumbies May 26 28 – 38 5.60 FALSE
7 Stormers vs. Lions May 26 23 – 26 -5.90 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 16

Here are the predictions for Round 16. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Hurricanes Jun 01 Hurricanes -3.50
2 Blues vs. Rebels Jun 02 Blues 11.60
3 Chiefs vs. Crusaders Jun 02 Crusaders -3.10
4 Reds vs. Waratahs Jun 02 Waratahs -6.20
5 Brumbies vs. Sunwolves Jun 03 Brumbies 17.00

 

May 22, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 15

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Team Ratings for Round 15

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 14.43 15.23 -0.80
Hurricanes 14.16 16.18 -2.00
Lions 8.66 13.81 -5.10
Chiefs 8.27 9.29 -1.00
Highlanders 7.32 10.29 -3.00
Sharks 1.61 1.02 0.60
Waratahs 0.80 -3.92 4.70
Jaguares -0.21 -4.64 4.40
Stormers -0.75 1.48 -2.20
Blues -1.70 -0.24 -1.50
Bulls -1.96 -4.79 2.80
Brumbies -3.57 1.75 -5.30
Reds -9.51 -9.47 -0.00
Rebels -10.43 -14.96 4.50
Sunwolves -14.52 -18.42 3.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 87 matches played, 60 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 69%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Reds May 18 38 – 34 30.90 TRUE
2 Sunwolves vs. Stormers May 19 26 – 23 -11.50 FALSE
3 Blues vs. Crusaders May 19 24 – 32 -13.30 TRUE
4 Waratahs vs. Highlanders May 19 41 – 12 -6.80 FALSE
5 Sharks vs. Chiefs May 19 28 – 24 -3.60 FALSE
6 Lions vs. Brumbies May 19 42 – 24 16.00 TRUE
7 Jaguares vs. Bulls May 19 54 – 24 2.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 15

Here are the predictions for Round 15. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Crusaders vs. Hurricanes May 25 Crusaders 3.80
2 Rebels vs. Sunwolves May 25 Rebels 8.10
3 Jaguares vs. Sharks May 25 Jaguares 2.20
4 Chiefs vs. Waratahs May 26 Chiefs 11.50
5 Reds vs. Highlanders May 26 Highlanders -12.80
6 Bulls vs. Brumbies May 26 Bulls 5.60
7 Stormers vs. Lions May 26 Lions -5.90

 

May 15, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 14

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Team Ratings for Round 14

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Hurricanes 15.78 16.18 -0.40
Crusaders 14.74 15.23 -0.50
Highlanders 9.47 10.29 -0.80
Chiefs 8.72 9.29 -0.60
Lions 8.54 13.81 -5.30
Sharks 1.16 1.02 0.10
Stormers 0.12 1.48 -1.40
Bulls -0.31 -4.79 4.50
Waratahs -1.35 -3.92 2.60
Jaguares -1.86 -4.64 2.80
Blues -2.01 -0.24 -1.80
Brumbies -3.45 1.75 -5.20
Rebels -10.43 -14.96 4.50
Reds -11.12 -9.47 -1.60
Sunwolves -15.39 -18.42 3.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 80 matches played, 56 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Hurricanes May 11 15 – 36 -13.40 TRUE
2 Sunwolves vs. Reds May 12 63 – 28 -5.10 FALSE
3 Crusaders vs. Waratahs May 12 31 – 29 22.60 TRUE
4 Highlanders vs. Lions May 12 39 – 27 4.00 TRUE
5 Brumbies vs. Rebels May 12 24 – 27 12.30 FALSE
6 Stormers vs. Chiefs May 12 9 – 15 -4.40 TRUE
7 Bulls vs. Sharks May 12 39 – 33 1.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 14

Here are the predictions for Round 14. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Reds May 18 Hurricanes 30.90
2 Sunwolves vs. Stormers May 19 Stormers -11.50
3 Blues vs. Crusaders May 19 Crusaders -13.30
4 Waratahs vs. Highlanders May 19 Highlanders -6.80
5 Sharks vs. Chiefs May 19 Chiefs -3.60
6 Lions vs. Brumbies May 19 Lions 16.00
7 Jaguares vs. Bulls May 19 Jaguares 2.40

 

May 8, 2018

Super 15 Predictions for Round 13

By

Team Ratings for Round 13

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 15.98 15.23 0.80
Hurricanes 15.32 16.18 -0.90
Lions 9.02 13.81 -4.80
Highlanders 8.99 10.29 -1.30
Chiefs 8.62 9.29 -0.70
Sharks 1.43 1.02 0.40
Stormers 0.21 1.48 -1.30
Bulls -0.58 -4.79 4.20
Blues -1.56 -0.24 -1.30
Jaguares -1.86 -4.64 2.80
Brumbies -2.53 1.75 -4.30
Waratahs -2.59 -3.92 1.30
Reds -8.71 -9.47 0.80
Rebels -11.35 -14.96 3.60
Sunwolves -17.80 -18.42 0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 73 matches played, 51 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 69.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Chiefs vs. Jaguares May 04 19 – 23 17.00 FALSE
2 Rebels vs. Crusaders May 04 10 – 55 -20.40 TRUE
3 Waratahs vs. Blues May 05 21 – 24 3.80 FALSE
4 Hurricanes vs. Lions May 05 28 – 19 10.50 TRUE
5 Stormers vs. Bulls May 05 29 – 17 3.20 TRUE
6 Sharks vs. Highlanders May 05 38 – 12 -7.60 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 13

Here are the predictions for Round 13. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Hurricanes May 11 Hurricanes -13.40
2 Sunwolves vs. Reds May 12 Reds -5.10
3 Crusaders vs. Waratahs May 12 Crusaders 22.60
4 Highlanders vs. Lions May 12 Highlanders 4.00
5 Brumbies vs. Rebels May 12 Brumbies 12.30
6 Stormers vs. Chiefs May 12 Chiefs -4.40
7 Bulls vs. Sharks May 12 Bulls 1.50

 

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