Posts tagged Super 15 (44)

May 23, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 14

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Team Ratings for Week 14

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 14, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 9.08 10.46 -1.40
Stormers 6.12 6.59 -0.50
Bulls 5.61 4.16 1.40
Sharks 4.10 0.87 3.20
Chiefs 2.37 -1.17 3.50
Brumbies 0.43 -6.66 7.10
Reds 0.26 5.03 -4.80
Waratahs -0.07 4.98 -5.00
Hurricanes -1.85 -1.90 0.00
Highlanders -2.34 -5.69 3.30
Cheetahs -2.86 -1.46 -1.40
Blues -5.02 2.87 -7.90
Force -8.05 -4.95 -3.10
Rebels -10.10 -15.64 5.50
Lions -10.98 -10.82 -0.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 87 matches played, 61 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70.1%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Brumbies May 18 25 – 37 4.90 FALSE
2 Highlanders vs. Bulls May 19 16 – 11 -5.10 FALSE
3 Crusaders vs. Blues May 19 59 – 12 13.20 TRUE
4 Reds vs. Lions May 19 34 – 20 16.10 TRUE
5 Cheetahs vs. Sharks May 19 20 – 34 -0.30 TRUE
6 Stormers vs. Waratahs May 19 19 – 13 11.60 TRUE
7 Force vs. Rebels May 20 31 – 32 8.00 FALSE

 

Predictions for Week 14

Here are the predictions for Week 14. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Chiefs vs. Bulls May 25 Chiefs 1.30
2 Hurricanes vs. Rebels May 26 Hurricanes 12.80
3 Blues vs. Highlanders May 26 Blues 1.80
4 Brumbies vs. Reds May 26 Brumbies 4.70
5 Force vs. Lions May 26 Force 7.40
6 Cheetahs vs. Waratahs May 26 Cheetahs 1.70
7 Sharks vs. Stormers May 26 Sharks 2.50

 

 

May 16, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 13

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Team Ratings for Week 13

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 13, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
 

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Stormers 6.57 6.59 -0.00
Bulls 6.42 4.16 2.30
Crusaders 6.37 10.46 -4.10
Sharks 3.00 0.87 2.10
Chiefs 2.37 -1.17 3.50
Reds 0.43 5.03 -4.60
Hurricanes -0.50 -1.90 1.40
Waratahs -0.52 4.98 -5.50
Brumbies -0.92 -6.66 5.70
Cheetahs -1.76 -1.46 -0.30
Blues -2.32 2.87 -5.20
Highlanders -3.14 -5.69 2.50
Force -7.33 -4.95 -2.40
Rebels -10.82 -15.64 4.80
Lions -11.15 -10.82 -0.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 80 matches played, 57 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.2%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Lions May 11 25 – 3 11.70 TRUE
2 Waratahs vs. Bulls May 11 24 – 27 -2.30 TRUE
3 Highlanders vs. Hurricanes May 12 20 – 26 3.30 FALSE
4 Rebels vs. Crusaders May 12 28 – 19 -16.80 FALSE
5 Sharks vs. Force May 12 53 – 11 9.70 TRUE
6 Stormers vs. Cheetahs May 12 16 – 14 14.90 TRUE
7 Reds vs. Chiefs May 13 42 – 27 0.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 13

Here are the predictions for Week 13. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Brumbies May 18 Hurricanes 4.90
2 Highlanders vs. Bulls May 19 Bulls -5.10
3 Crusaders vs. Blues May 19 Crusaders 13.20
4 Reds vs. Lions May 19 Reds 16.10
5 Cheetahs vs. Sharks May 19 Sharks -0.30
6 Stormers vs. Waratahs May 19 Stormers 11.60
7 Force vs. Rebels May 20 Force 8.00

 

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May 9, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 12

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Team Ratings for Week 12

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 12, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
 

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 8.44 10.46 -2.00
Stormers 7.60 6.59 1.00
Bulls 6.36 4.16 2.20
Chiefs 3.56 -1.17 4.70
Sharks 0.42 0.87 -0.50
Waratahs -0.46 4.98 -5.40
Reds -0.75 5.03 -5.80
Brumbies -0.92 -6.66 5.70
Hurricanes -1.24 -1.90 0.70
Highlanders -2.39 -5.69 3.30
Cheetahs -2.79 -1.46 -1.30
Blues -3.14 2.87 -6.00
Force -4.75 -4.95 0.20
Lions -10.32 -10.82 0.50
Rebels -12.89 -15.64 2.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 73 matches played, 52 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.2%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Blues May 04 35 – 19 4.60 TRUE
2 Rebels vs. Bulls May 04 35 – 41 -16.40 TRUE
3 Chiefs vs. Lions May 05 34 – 21 19.40 TRUE
4 Brumbies vs. Waratahs May 05 23 – 6 1.60 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Highlanders May 05 28 – 16 6.40 TRUE
6 Cheetahs vs. Force May 05 17 – 13 6.90 TRUE
7 Crusaders vs. Reds May 06 15 – 11 15.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 12

Here are the predictions for Week 12. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Lions May 11 Blues 11.70
2 Waratahs vs. Bulls May 11 Bulls -2.30
3 Highlanders vs. Hurricanes May 12 Highlanders 3.30
4 Rebels vs. Crusaders May 12 Crusaders -16.80
5 Sharks vs. Force May 12 Sharks 9.70
6 Stormers vs. Cheetahs May 12 Stormers 14.90
7 Reds vs. Chiefs May 13 Reds 0.20

 

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May 2, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 11

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Team Ratings for Week 11

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 11, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 9.36 10.46 -1.10
Stormers 7.60 6.59 1.00
Bulls 7.19 4.16 3.00
Chiefs 4.07 -1.17 5.20
Waratahs 0.77 4.98 -4.20
Sharks -0.03 0.87 -0.90
Reds -1.68 5.03 -6.70
Highlanders -1.95 -5.69 3.70
Hurricanes -2.16 -1.90 -0.30
Brumbies -2.16 -6.66 4.50
Blues -2.23 2.87 -5.10
Cheetahs -2.56 -1.46 -1.10
Force -4.98 -4.95 -0.00
Lions -10.83 -10.82 -0.00
Rebels -13.72 -15.64 1.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 66 matches played, 45 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.2%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Reds Apr 27 11 – 23 7.00 FALSE
2 Lions vs. Brumbies Apr 27 20 – 34 -2.30 TRUE
3 Chiefs vs. Hurricanes Apr 28 33 – 14 9.20 TRUE
4 Force vs. Stormers Apr 28 3 – 17 -7.00 TRUE
5 Cheetahs vs. Highlanders Apr 28 33 – 36 5.20 FALSE
6 Waratahs vs. Crusaders Apr 29 33 – 37 -4.10 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 11

Here are the predictions for Week 11. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Blues May 04 Hurricanes 4.60
2 Rebels vs. Bulls May 04 Bulls -16.40
3 Chiefs vs. Lions May 05 Chiefs 19.40
4 Brumbies vs. Waratahs May 05 Brumbies 1.60
5 Sharks vs. Highlanders May 05 Sharks 6.40
6 Cheetahs vs. Force May 05 Cheetahs 6.90
7 Crusaders vs. Reds May 06 Crusaders 15.50

 

April 25, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 10

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Team Ratings for Week 10

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 10, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 9.37 10.46 -1.10
Bulls 7.19 4.16 3.00
Stormers 7.03 6.59 0.40
Chiefs 3.28 -1.17 4.40
Waratahs 0.76 4.98 -4.20
Sharks -0.03 0.87 -0.90
Blues -0.71 2.87 -3.60
Hurricanes -1.37 -1.90 0.50
Cheetahs -1.90 -1.46 -0.40
Highlanders -2.60 -5.69 3.10
Brumbies -3.09 -6.66 3.60
Reds -3.20 5.03 -8.20
Force -4.42 -4.95 0.50
Lions -9.90 -10.82 0.90
Rebels -13.72 -15.64 1.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 60 matches played, 41 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.3%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Blues Apr 20 30 – 27 2.50 TRUE
2 Reds vs. Stormers Apr 20 13 – 23 -4.90 TRUE
3 Hurricanes vs. Crusaders Apr 21 14 – 42 -2.10 TRUE
4 Waratahs vs. Rebels Apr 21 30 – 21 20.90 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Chiefs Apr 21 12 – 18 2.60 FALSE
6 Bulls vs. Brumbies Apr 21 36 – 34 17.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 10

Here are the predictions for Week 10. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Reds Apr 27 Blues 7.00
2 Lions vs. Brumbies Apr 27 Brumbies -2.30
3 Chiefs vs. Hurricanes Apr 28 Chiefs 9.20
4 Force vs. Stormers Apr 28 Stormers -7.00
5 Cheetahs vs. Highlanders Apr 28 Cheetahs 5.20
6 Waratahs vs. Crusaders Apr 29 Crusaders -4.10

 

April 19, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 9

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Team Ratings for Week 9

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 9, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.


Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Bulls 8.41 4.16 4.20
Crusaders 7.30 10.46 -3.20
Stormers 6.63 6.59 0.00
Chiefs 2.60 -1.17 3.80
Waratahs 1.72 4.98 -3.30
Hurricanes 0.70 -1.90 2.60
Sharks 0.65 0.87 -0.20
Blues -0.67 2.87 -3.50
Cheetahs -1.90 -1.46 -0.40
Highlanders -2.64 -5.69 3.00
Reds -2.79 5.03 -7.80
Brumbies -4.31 -6.66 2.30
Force -4.42 -4.95 0.50
Lions -9.90 -10.82 0.90
Rebels -14.68 -15.64 1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 54 matches played, 36 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.7%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Sharks Apr 13 23 – 29 4.90 FALSE
2 Force vs. Waratahs Apr 13 18 – 23 -1.00 TRUE
3 Crusaders vs. Stormers Apr 14 31 – 24 4.80 TRUE
4 Brumbies vs. Rebels Apr 14 37 – 6 11.80 TRUE
5 Cheetahs vs. Chiefs Apr 14 33 – 39 1.10 FALSE
6 Lions vs. Bulls Apr 14 18 – 32 -13.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 9

Here are the predictions for Week 9. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Blues Apr 20 Highlanders 2.50
2 Reds vs. Stormers Apr 20 Stormers -4.90
3 Hurricanes vs. Crusaders Apr 21 Crusaders -2.10
4 Waratahs vs. Rebels Apr 21 Waratahs 20.90
5 Sharks vs. Chiefs Apr 21 Sharks 2.60
6 Bulls vs. Brumbies Apr 21 Bulls 17.20

 

April 12, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 8

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Team Ratings for Week 8

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 8, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

 

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Bulls 8.39 4.16 4.20
Crusaders 7.12 10.46 -3.30
Stormers 6.80 6.59 0.20
Chiefs 2.03 -1.17 3.20
Waratahs 1.39 4.98 -3.60
Hurricanes 0.70 -1.90 2.60
Blues 0.20 2.87 -2.70
Sharks -0.22 0.87 -1.10
Cheetahs -1.33 -1.46 0.10
Highlanders -2.64 -5.69 3.00
Reds -2.79 5.03 -7.80
Force -4.10 -4.95 0.90
Brumbies -5.85 -6.66 0.80
Lions -9.88 -10.82 0.90
Rebels -13.14 -15.64 2.50

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 48 matches played, 32 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Rebels vs. Blues Apr 05 34 – 23 -12.60 FALSE
2 Hurricanes vs. Sharks Apr 06 43 – 18 1.70 TRUE
3 Reds vs. Brumbies Apr 06 20 – 13 7.70 TRUE
4 Force vs. Chiefs Apr 06 12 – 20 -0.40 TRUE
5 Highlanders vs. Stormers Apr 07 6 – 21 -3.00 TRUE
6 Cheetahs vs. Lions Apr 07 26 – 5 11.50 TRUE
7 Bulls vs. Crusaders Apr 07 32 – 30 6.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 8

Here are the predictions for Week 8. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

 

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Sharks Apr 13 Blues 4.90
2 Force vs. Waratahs Apr 13 Waratahs -1.00
3 Crusaders vs. Stormers Apr 14 Crusaders 4.80
4 Brumbies vs. Rebels Apr 14 Brumbies 11.80
5 Cheetahs vs. Chiefs Apr 14 Cheetahs 1.10
6 Lions vs. Bulls Apr 14 Bulls -13.80

 

 

April 5, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 7

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Team Ratings for Week 7

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 7, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Bulls 8.75 4.16 4.60
Crusaders 6.77 10.46 -3.70
Stormers 5.84 6.59 -0.80
Blues 2.09 2.87 -0.80
Sharks 1.64 0.87 0.80
Chiefs 1.42 -1.17 2.60
Waratahs 1.39 4.98 -3.60
Hurricanes -1.16 -1.90 0.70
Highlanders -1.68 -5.69 4.00
Cheetahs -2.09 -1.46 -0.60
Reds -2.74 5.03 -7.80
Force -3.49 -4.95 1.50
Brumbies -5.90 -6.66 0.80
Lions -9.12 -10.82 1.70
Rebels -15.03 -15.64 0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 41 matches played, 26 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 63.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Rebels Mar 30 43 – 12 15.30 TRUE
2 Hurricanes vs. Cheetahs Mar 31 38 – 47 8.20 FALSE
3 Chiefs vs. Waratahs Mar 31 30 – 13 2.10 TRUE
4 Brumbies vs. Sharks Mar 31 26 – 29 -3.10 TRUE
5 Force vs. Reds Mar 31 45 – 19 -0.50 FALSE
6 Lions vs. Crusaders Mar 31 13 – 23 -11.70 TRUE
7 Stormers vs. Bulls Mar 31 20 – 17 1.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 7

Here are the predictions for Week 7. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Rebels vs. Blues Apr 05 Blues -12.60
2 Hurricanes vs. Sharks Apr 06 Hurricanes 1.70
3 Reds vs. Brumbies Apr 06 Reds 7.70
4 Force vs. Chiefs Apr 06 Chiefs -0.40
5 Highlanders vs. Stormers Apr 07 Stormers -3.00
6 Cheetahs vs. Lions Apr 07 Cheetahs 11.50
7 Bulls vs. Crusaders Apr 07 Bulls 6.50

 

 

March 30, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 6

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Team Ratings for Week 6

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 6, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.


Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Bulls 8.89 4.16 4.70
Crusaders 6.90 10.46 -3.60
Stormers 5.71 6.59 -0.90
Waratahs 2.58 4.98 -2.40
Blues 2.09 2.87 -0.80
Sharks 1.65 0.87 0.80
Chiefs 0.23 -1.17 1.40
Hurricanes 0.21 -1.90 2.10
Reds -0.62 5.03 -5.70
Highlanders -2.94 -5.69 2.70
Cheetahs -3.46 -1.46 -2.00
Force -5.61 -4.95 -0.70
Brumbies -5.90 -6.66 0.80
Lions -9.26 -10.82 1.60
Rebels -13.78 -15.64 1.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 34 matches played, 21 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.8%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.


Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Hurricanes Mar 23 25 – 26 7.80 FALSE
2 Rebels vs. Force Mar 23 30 – 29 -4.60 FALSE
3 Waratahs vs. Sharks Mar 24 34 – 30 5.70 TRUE
4 Crusaders vs. Cheetahs Mar 24 28 – 21 16.40 TRUE
5 Brumbies vs. Highlanders Mar 24 33 – 26 0.50 TRUE
6 Bulls vs. Reds Mar 24 61 – 8 6.60 TRUE
7 Lions vs. Stormers Mar 24 19 – 24 -11.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 6

Here are the predictions for Week 6. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.


Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Rebels Mar 30 Highlanders 15.30
2 Hurricanes vs. Cheetahs Mar 31 Hurricanes 8.20
3 Chiefs vs. Waratahs Mar 31 Chiefs 2.10
4 Brumbies vs. Sharks Mar 31 Sharks -3.10
5 Force vs. Reds Mar 31 Reds -0.50
6 Lions vs. Crusaders Mar 31 Crusaders -11.70
7 Stormers vs. Bulls Mar 31 Stormers 1.30

 

 

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March 23, 2012

Super 15 Predictions, Week 5

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Team Ratings for Week 5

Here are the team ratings prior to Week 5, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 7.65 10.46 -2.80
Stormers 6.23 6.59 -0.40
Bulls 5.17 4.16 1.00
Reds 3.10 5.03 -1.90
Blues 2.79 2.87 -0.10
Waratahs 2.72 4.98 -2.30
Sharks 1.51 0.87 0.60
Chiefs 0.23 -1.17 1.40
Hurricanes -0.49 -1.90 1.40
Highlanders -2.41 -5.69 3.30
Cheetahs -4.21 -1.46 -2.70
Force -5.16 -4.95 -0.20
Brumbies -6.42 -6.66 0.20
Lions -9.78 -10.82 1.00
Rebels -14.22 -15.64 1.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 27 matches played, 16 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59.3%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Chiefs vs. Brumbies Mar 16 29 – 22 11.90 TRUE
2 Stormers vs. Blues Mar 16 27 – 17 7.50 TRUE
3 Hurricanes vs. Highlanders Mar 17 17 – 19 8.00 FALSE
4 Waratahs vs. Force Mar 17 20 – 21 14.90 FALSE
5 Sharks vs. Reds Mar 17 27 – 22 2.50 TRUE
6 Rebels vs. Cheetahs Mar 18 26 – 33 -5.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 5

Here are the predictions for Week 5. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Hurricanes Mar 23 Blues 7.80
2 Rebels vs. Force Mar 23 Force -4.60
3 Waratahs vs. Sharks Mar 24 Waratahs 5.70
4 Crusaders vs. Cheetahs Mar 24 Crusaders 16.40
5 Brumbies vs. Highlanders Mar 24 Brumbies 0.50
6 Bulls vs. Reds Mar 24 Bulls 6.60
7 Lions vs. Stormers Mar 24 Stormers -11.50

 


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