NRL Predictions, Round 20
Team Ratings for Round 20
Here are the team ratings prior to Round 20, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
| Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | 7.09 | -1.86 | 9.00 |
| Warriors | 4.96 | 5.28 | -0.30 |
| Storm | 4.22 | 4.63 | -0.40 |
| Broncos | 3.91 | 5.57 | -1.70 |
| Rabbitohs | 3.00 | 0.04 | 3.00 |
| Sea Eagles | 2.96 | 9.83 | -6.90 |
| Cowboys | 2.90 | -1.32 | 4.20 |
| Wests Tigers | 0.21 | 4.52 | -4.30 |
| Sharks | -1.05 | -7.97 | 6.90 |
| Knights | -1.92 | 0.77 | -2.70 |
| Dragons | -2.08 | 4.36 | -6.40 |
| Titans | -2.36 | -11.80 | 9.40 |
| Roosters | -4.40 | 0.25 | -4.70 |
| Raiders | -5.02 | -8.40 | 3.40 |
| Panthers | -7.73 | -3.40 | -4.30 |
| Eels | -8.41 | -4.23 | -4.20 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 136 matches played, 81 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59.56%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
| Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulldogs vs. Eels | Jul 13 | 32 – 12 | 20.00 | TRUE |
| 2 | Broncos vs. Warriors | Jul 13 | 10 – 8 | 3.73 | TRUE |
| 3 | Knights vs. Sea Eagles | Jul 14 | 32 – 6 | -5.40 | FALSE |
| 4 | Storm vs. Cowboys | Jul 14 | 16 – 20 | 7.69 | FALSE |
| 5 | Wests Tigers vs. Panthers | Jul 14 | 26 – 18 | 13.29 | TRUE |
| 6 | Raiders vs. Titans | Jul 15 | 26 – 38 | 4.48 | FALSE |
| 7 | Dragons vs. Sharks | Jul 15 | 18 – 10 | 2.60 | TRUE |
| 8 | Roosters vs. Rabbitohs | Jul 16 | 22 – 24 | -3.07 | TRUE |
Predictions for Round 20
Here are the predictions for Round 20
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sea Eagles vs. Bulldogs | Jul 20 | Sea Eagles | 0.40 |
| 2 | Titans vs. Broncos | Jul 20 | Broncos | -1.80 |
| 3 | Warriors vs. Knights | Jul 21 | Warriors | 11.40 |
| 4 | Eels vs. Storm | Jul 21 | Storm | -8.10 |
| 5 | Rabbitohs vs. Dragons | Jul 21 | Rabbitohs | 9.60 |
| 6 | Sharks vs. Raiders | Jul 22 | Sharks | 8.50 |
| 7 | Panthers vs. Roosters | Jul 22 | Panthers | 1.20 |
| 8 | Cowboys vs. Wests Tigers | Jul 23 | Cowboys | 7.20 |
David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation. See all posts by David Scott »