January 5, 2020

Auckland in sepia

Auckland went impressively dark just before 2pm this afternoon: from Christina Hood on Twitter:

The reason is smoke from the Australian bushfires.

Fortunately for Auckland, the smoke (at the moment) is mostly at high altitude; you can tell because the lower picture is about as clear as the upper picture, just darker and more orange. Fine air pollution particles scatter light very effectively — in places with less humid summers than Auckland, light scattering is a good way to measure how much there is.

We can also look at the hourly measurements of PM2.5; fine-particle air pollution, or, basically, smoke.  Here are data from Penrose, in south central Auckland.

and Patumahoe, in far south Auckland

I chose these two because they were available and because there won’t be that much NZ-origin air pollution at those sites (on a Sunday afternoon).  At both locations there’s been an increase in fine particle air pollution, but not to any level of health concern.  It might be worth looking later in the evening, if you’re worried.  Given the placebo effect, if you don’t have specific health concerns you might be better off not checking.

(The Environment Auckland permalinks don’t work, so you need to go here and then to the AQ locations link, and then drill down.  You want “PM2.5 Hourly Aggregate unverified”)

This smoke used to be trees, 2000km away. We’ve seen particles from further than that — the Puyehue-Cordon Caulle volcano in Chile disrupted flights in 2011 — but the density of this smoke is much, much higher. WeatherWatch doesn’t know of a precedent.

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Thomas Lumley (@tslumley) is Professor of Biostatistics at the University of Auckland. His research interests include semiparametric models, survey sampling, statistical computing, foundations of statistics, and whatever methodological problems his medical collaborators come up with. He also blogs at Biased and Inefficient See all posts by Thomas Lumley »

Comments

  • avatar
    Steve Curtis

    EPA in Victoria monitor the air quality as well and their readings, much closer to the fires, are extreme. The location I looked at , the appositely named Bright in the Alpine National Park in inland Victoria had a peak PM2.5 of 7000 last Saturday.
    Aucklands peak number was 12, while Bright is way down to ‘only’ 450 today.
    https://www.epa.vic.gov.au/for-community/airwatch/airwatch-table-data-page

    4 years ago

    • avatar
      Thomas Lumley

      Yes, closer to the source, the pollution levels near the ground have been extremely high and present a real health risk. We’re lucky that what made it across the Tasman was at high altitude.

      4 years ago

  • avatar

    It was also impressively dark in Queenstown – I think the day before, and it smelled like a forest fire.

    Not unlike what it is like in Lake Tahoe, Nevada when California is on fire, except those fires are typically, at most, 200 kilometres away (often less) not 2,000.

    4 years ago