Posts written by David Scott (1769)

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David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation.

April 10, 2013

Super 15 Predictions, Round 9

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Team Ratings for Round 9

This year the predictions have been slightly changed with the help of a student, Joshua Dale. The home ground advantage now is different when both teams are from the same country to when the teams are from different countries. The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 9, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 8.98 9.03 -0.00
Chiefs 8.18 6.98 1.20
Sharks 6.02 4.57 1.50
Stormers 3.11 3.34 -0.20
Brumbies 2.17 -1.06 3.20
Hurricanes 2.16 4.40 -2.20
Bulls 1.90 2.55 -0.60
Blues 0.37 -3.02 3.40
Reds -1.22 0.46 -1.70
Cheetahs -2.72 -4.16 1.40
Highlanders -5.57 -3.41 -2.20
Waratahs -6.18 -4.10 -2.10
Kings -8.61 -10.00 1.40
Force -10.32 -9.73 -0.60
Rebels -13.06 -10.64 -2.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 48 matches played, 34 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70.8%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Highlanders Apr 05 29 – 18 8.00 TRUE
2 Brumbies vs. Kings Apr 05 28 – 28 17.60 FALSE
3 Sharks vs. Crusaders Apr 05 21 – 17 0.50 TRUE
4 Hurricanes vs. Waratahs Apr 06 41 – 29 12.40 TRUE
5 Force vs. Rebels Apr 06 23 – 30 7.60 FALSE
6 Cheetahs vs. Stormers Apr 06 26 – 24 -4.30 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Brumbies Apr 12 Brumbies -3.70
2 Chiefs vs. Reds Apr 13 Chiefs 13.40
3 Blues vs. Hurricanes Apr 13 Blues 0.70
4 Rebels vs. Kings Apr 13 Kings -0.50
5 Force vs. Crusaders Apr 13 Crusaders -15.30
6 Stormers vs. Sharks Apr 13 Sharks -0.40
7 Bulls vs. Cheetahs Apr 13 Bulls 7.10

 

April 3, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 5

By

Team Ratings for Round 5

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 5, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 11.72 9.73 2.00
Sea Eagles 8.46 4.78 3.70
Rabbitohs 6.91 5.23 1.70
Bulldogs 5.13 7.33 -2.20
Knights 3.77 0.44 3.30
Titans 3.54 -1.85 5.40
Cowboys 1.87 7.05 -5.20
Broncos -0.77 -1.55 0.80
Roosters -1.28 -5.68 4.40
Dragons -1.85 -0.33 -1.50
Sharks -2.29 -1.78 -0.50
Raiders -3.44 2.03 -5.50
Wests Tigers -5.46 -3.71 -1.80
Panthers -6.88 -6.58 -0.30
Eels -11.25 -8.82 -2.40
Warriors -11.91 -10.01 -1.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 32 matches played, 22 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.75%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Sea Eagles vs. Wests Tigers Mar 28 26 – 0 16.52 TRUE
2 Bulldogs vs. Rabbitohs Mar 29 12 – 17 4.65 FALSE
3 Broncos vs. Storm Mar 29 26 – 32 -8.49 TRUE
4 Sharks vs. Dragons Mar 30 12 – 25 8.33 FALSE
5 Panthers vs. Titans Mar 31 10 – 28 -2.90 TRUE
6 Knights vs. Raiders Mar 31 28 – 12 10.64 TRUE
7 Warriors vs. Cowboys Apr 01 20 – 18 -12.11 FALSE
8 Roosters vs. Eels Apr 01 50 – 0 5.59 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 5

Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bulldogs vs. Sea Eagles Apr 05 Bulldogs 1.20
2 Titans vs. Broncos Apr 05 Titans 8.80
3 Eels vs. Sharks Apr 06 Sharks -4.50
4 Cowboys vs. Panthers Apr 06 Cowboys 13.30
5 Dragons vs. Knights Apr 07 Knights -1.10
6 Warriors vs. Rabbitohs Apr 07 Rabbitohs -14.30
7 Raiders vs. Roosters Apr 07 Raiders 2.30
8 Storm vs. Wests Tigers Apr 08 Storm 21.70

 

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Super 15 Predictions, Round 8

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Team Ratings for Round 8

This year the predictions have been slightly changed with the help of a student, Joshua Dale. The home ground advantage now is different when both teams are from the same country to when the teams are from different countries. The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 8, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 9.26 9.03 0.20
Chiefs 8.18 6.98 1.20
Sharks 5.74 4.57 1.20
Stormers 3.61 3.34 0.30
Brumbies 3.58 -1.06 4.60
Hurricanes 2.19 4.40 -2.20
Bulls 1.90 2.55 -0.60
Blues 0.13 -3.02 3.20
Reds -1.22 0.46 -1.70
Cheetahs -3.22 -4.16 0.90
Highlanders -5.32 -3.41 -1.90
Waratahs -6.21 -4.10 -2.10
Force -9.15 -9.73 0.60
Kings -10.02 -10.00 -0.00
Rebels -14.23 -10.64 -3.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 42 matches played, 31 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 73.8%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Reds Mar 29 33 – 34 0.10 FALSE
2 Hurricanes vs. Kings Mar 30 46 – 30 16.20 TRUE
3 Chiefs vs. Blues Mar 30 23 – 16 11.20 TRUE
4 Brumbies vs. Bulls Mar 30 23 – 20 6.20 TRUE
5 Cheetahs vs. Rebels Mar 30 34 – 16 14.40 TRUE
6 Stormers vs. Crusaders Mar 30 14 – 19 -1.00 TRUE
7 Waratahs vs. Force Mar 31 23 – 19 5.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 8

Here are the predictions for Round 8. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Highlanders Apr 05 Blues 8.00
2 Brumbies vs. Kings Apr 05 Brumbies 17.60
3 Sharks vs. Crusaders Apr 05 Sharks 0.50
4 Hurricanes vs. Waratahs Apr 06 Hurricanes 12.40
5 Force vs. Rebels Apr 06 Force 7.60
6 Cheetahs vs. Stormers Apr 06 Stormers -4.30

 

March 28, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 4

By

Team Ratings for Round 4

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 4, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 11.97 9.73 2.20
Sea Eagles 7.51 4.78 2.70
Bulldogs 6.09 7.33 -1.20
Rabbitohs 5.95 5.23 0.70
Cowboys 3.29 7.05 -3.80
Knights 3.23 0.44 2.80
Titans 2.03 -1.85 3.90
Sharks -0.15 -1.78 1.60
Broncos -1.02 -1.55 0.50
Raiders -2.91 2.03 -4.90
Dragons -3.98 -0.33 -3.70
Wests Tigers -4.51 -3.71 -0.80
Panthers -5.37 -6.58 1.20
Roosters -5.72 -5.68 -0.00
Eels -6.81 -8.82 2.00
Warriors -13.32 -10.01 -3.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 24 matches played, 17 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70.83%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Storm vs. Bulldogs Mar 21 22 – 18 11.97 TRUE
2 Wests Tigers vs. Eels Mar 22 31 – 18 5.25 TRUE
3 Titans vs. Sea Eagles Mar 23 16 – 14 -1.73 FALSE
4 Roosters vs. Broncos Mar 23 8 – 0 -2.26 FALSE
5 Sharks vs. Warriors Mar 24 28 – 4 16.09 TRUE
6 Panthers vs. Rabbitohs Mar 24 32 – 44 -5.52 TRUE
7 Raiders vs. Dragons Mar 24 30 – 17 3.72 TRUE
8 Knights vs. Cowboys Mar 25 34 – 6 -1.44 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 4

Here are the predictions for Round 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Sea Eagles vs. Wests Tigers Mar 28 Sea Eagles 16.50
2 Bulldogs vs. Rabbitohs Mar 29 Bulldogs 4.60
3 Broncos vs. Storm Mar 29 Storm -8.50
4 Sharks vs. Dragons Mar 30 Sharks 8.30
5 Panthers vs. Titans Mar 31 Titans -2.90
6 Knights vs. Raiders Mar 31 Knights 10.60
7 Warriors vs. Cowboys Apr 01 Cowboys -12.10
8 Roosters vs. Eels Apr 01 Roosters 5.60

 

Super 15 Predictions, Round 7

By

Team Ratings for Round 7

This year the predictions have been slightly changed with the help of a student, Joshua Dale. The home ground advantage now is different when both teams are from the same country to when the teams are from different countries. The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 7, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Crusaders 8.94 9.03 -0.10
Chiefs 8.51 6.98 1.50
Sharks 5.74 4.57 1.20
Stormers 3.93 3.34 0.60
Brumbies 3.83 -1.06 4.90
Hurricanes 2.21 4.40 -2.20
Bulls 1.65 2.55 -0.90
Blues -0.21 -3.02 2.80
Reds -1.31 0.46 -1.80
Cheetahs -3.51 -4.16 0.60
Highlanders -5.24 -3.41 -1.80
Waratahs -6.08 -4.10 -2.00
Force -9.29 -9.73 0.40
Kings -10.04 -10.00 -0.00
Rebels -13.95 -10.64 -3.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 35 matches played, 25 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.4%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Chiefs vs. Highlanders Mar 22 19 – 7 17.10 TRUE
2 Crusaders vs. Kings Mar 23 55 – 20 20.70 TRUE
3 Reds vs. Bulls Mar 23 23 – 18 0.30 TRUE
4 Force vs. Cheetahs Mar 23 10 – 19 -0.40 TRUE
5 Sharks vs. Rebels Mar 23 64 – 7 17.30 TRUE
6 Stormers vs. Brumbies Mar 23 35 – 22 2.40 TRUE
7 Waratahs vs. Blues Mar 24 30 – 27 -2.80 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 7

Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Reds Mar 29 Highlanders 0.10
2 Hurricanes vs. Kings Mar 30 Hurricanes 16.20
3 Chiefs vs. Blues Mar 30 Chiefs 11.20
4 Brumbies vs. Bulls Mar 30 Brumbies 6.20
5 Cheetahs vs. Rebels Mar 30 Cheetahs 14.40
6 Stormers vs. Crusaders Mar 30 Crusaders -1.00
7 Waratahs vs. Force Mar 31 Waratahs 5.70

 

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March 20, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 3

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Team Ratings for Round 3

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 3, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 12.77 9.73 3.00
Sea Eagles 7.88 4.78 3.10
Cowboys 6.23 7.05 -0.80
Bulldogs 5.30 7.33 -2.00
Rabbitohs 5.30 5.23 0.10
Titans 1.65 -1.85 3.50
Knights 0.29 0.44 -0.10
Broncos 0.01 -1.55 1.60
Sharks -0.95 -1.78 0.80
Dragons -3.05 -0.33 -2.70
Raiders -3.83 2.03 -5.90
Panthers -4.72 -6.58 1.90
Wests Tigers -5.29 -3.71 -1.60
Eels -6.04 -8.82 2.80
Roosters -6.75 -5.68 -1.10
Warriors -12.53 -10.01 -2.50

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 16 matches played, 12 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 75%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Eels vs. Bulldogs Mar 14 16 – 20 -7.54 TRUE
2 Dragons vs. Broncos Mar 15 6 – 22 5.80 FALSE
3 Cowboys vs. Storm Mar 16 10 – 32 2.95 FALSE
4 Warriors vs. Roosters Mar 16 14 – 16 -1.10 TRUE
5 Titans vs. Raiders Mar 17 36 – 0 3.48 TRUE
6 Wests Tigers vs. Panthers Mar 17 28 – 18 2.42 TRUE
7 Sea Eagles vs. Knights Mar 17 32 – 0 7.12 TRUE
8 Rabbitohs vs. Sharks Mar 18 14 – 12 12.93 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 3

Here are the predictions for Round 3. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Storm vs. Bulldogs Mar 21 Storm 12.00
2 Wests Tigers vs. Eels Mar 22 Wests Tigers 5.30
3 Titans vs. Sea Eagles Mar 23 Sea Eagles -1.70
4 Roosters vs. Broncos Mar 23 Broncos -2.30
5 Sharks vs. Warriors Mar 24 Sharks 16.10
6 Panthers vs. Rabbitohs Mar 24 Rabbitohs -5.50
7 Raiders vs. Dragons Mar 24 Raiders 3.70
8 Knights vs. Cowboys Mar 25 Cowboys -1.40

 

Super 15 Predictions, Round 6

By

Team Ratings for Round 6

This year the predictions have been slightly changed with the help of a student, Joshua Dale. The home ground advantage now is different when both teams are from the same country to when the teams are from different countries. The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 6, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Chiefs 8.92 6.98 1.90
Crusaders 7.80 9.03 -1.20
Brumbies 4.68 -1.06 5.70
Stormers 3.09 3.34 -0.20
Sharks 2.56 4.57 -2.00
Hurricanes 2.21 4.40 -2.20
Bulls 2.03 2.55 -0.50
Blues 0.26 -3.02 3.30
Reds -1.69 0.46 -2.20
Cheetahs -4.20 -4.16 -0.00
Highlanders -5.64 -3.41 -2.20
Waratahs -6.54 -4.10 -2.40
Force -8.60 -9.73 1.10
Kings -8.89 -10.00 1.10
Rebels -10.77 -10.64 -0.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 28 matches played, 19 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.9%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Hurricanes Mar 15 19 – 23 -5.60 TRUE
2 Waratahs vs. Cheetahs Mar 15 26 – 27 2.20 FALSE
3 Kings vs. Chiefs Mar 15 24 – 35 -14.30 TRUE
4 Crusaders vs. Bulls Mar 16 41 – 19 7.40 TRUE
5 Reds vs. Force Mar 16 12 – 19 12.50 FALSE
6 Sharks vs. Brumbies Mar 16 10 – 29 5.90 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 6

Here are the predictions for Round 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Chiefs vs. Highlanders Mar 22 Chiefs 17.10
2 Crusaders vs. Kings Mar 23 Crusaders 20.70
3 Reds vs. Bulls Mar 23 Reds 0.30
4 Force vs. Cheetahs Mar 23 Cheetahs -0.40
5 Sharks vs. Rebels Mar 23 Sharks 17.30
6 Stormers vs. Brumbies Mar 23 Stormers 2.40
7 Waratahs vs. Blues Mar 24 Blues -2.80

 

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March 13, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 2

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Team Ratings for Round 2

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 2, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 10.27 9.73 0.50
Cowboys 8.72 7.05 1.70
Rabbitohs 6.39 5.23 1.20
Bulldogs 5.65 7.33 -1.70
Sea Eagles 5.39 4.78 0.60
Knights 2.77 0.44 2.30
Raiders -0.58 2.03 -2.60
Dragons -0.87 -0.33 -0.50
Titans -1.60 -1.85 0.30
Sharks -2.04 -1.78 -0.30
Broncos -2.17 -1.55 -0.60
Panthers -3.97 -6.58 2.60
Wests Tigers -6.04 -3.71 -2.30
Eels -6.39 -8.82 2.40
Roosters -6.84 -5.68 -1.20
Warriors -12.44 -10.01 -2.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 8 matches played, 6 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 75%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Roosters vs. Rabbitohs Mar 07 10 – 28 -6.41 TRUE
2 Broncos vs. Sea Eagles Mar 08 14 – 22 -1.83 TRUE
3 Eels vs. Warriors Mar 09 40 – 10 5.69 TRUE
4 Bulldogs vs. Cowboys Mar 09 12 – 24 4.78 FALSE
5 Panthers vs. Raiders Mar 10 32 – 10 -4.10 FALSE
6 Storm vs. Dragons Mar 10 30 – 10 14.56 TRUE
7 Sharks vs. Titans Mar 10 12 – 10 4.57 TRUE
8 Knights vs. Wests Tigers Mar 11 42 – 10 8.65 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 2

Here are the predictions for Round 2. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Eels vs. Bulldogs Mar 14 Bulldogs -7.50
2 Dragons vs. Broncos Mar 15 Dragons 5.80
3 Cowboys vs. Storm Mar 16 Cowboys 3.00
4 Warriors vs. Roosters Mar 16 Roosters -1.10
5 Titans vs. Raiders Mar 17 Titans 3.50
6 Wests Tigers vs. Panthers Mar 17 Wests Tigers 2.40
7 Sea Eagles vs. Knights Mar 17 Sea Eagles 7.10
8 Rabbitohs vs. Sharks Mar 18 Rabbitohs 12.90

 

Super 15 Predictions, Round 5

By

Team Ratings for Round 5

This year the predictions have been slightly changed with the help of a student, Joshua Dale. The home ground advantage now is different when both teams are from the same country to when the teams are from different countries. The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 5, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Chiefs 9.19 6.98 2.20
Crusaders 6.63 9.03 -2.40
Sharks 4.55 4.57 -0.00
Bulls 3.19 2.55 0.60
Stormers 3.09 3.34 -0.20
Brumbies 2.69 -1.06 3.70
Hurricanes 2.34 4.40 -2.10
Blues 0.26 -3.02 3.30
Reds -0.12 0.46 -0.60
Cheetahs -4.45 -4.16 -0.30
Highlanders -5.77 -3.41 -2.40
Waratahs -6.29 -4.10 -2.20
Kings -9.16 -10.00 0.80
Force -10.16 -9.73 -0.40
Rebels -10.77 -10.64 -0.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 22 matches played, 16 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 72.7%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hurricanes vs. Crusaders Mar 08 29 – 28 -2.30 FALSE
2 Rebels vs. Reds Mar 08 13 – 23 -7.80 TRUE
3 Highlanders vs. Cheetahs Mar 09 19 – 36 6.40 FALSE
4 Brumbies vs. Waratahs Mar 09 35 – 6 8.10 TRUE
5 Stormers vs. Chiefs Mar 09 36 – 34 -2.90 FALSE
6 Kings vs. Sharks Mar 09 12 – 21 -11.60 TRUE
7 Blues vs. Bulls Mar 10 21 – 28 2.60 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 5

Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Hurricanes Mar 15 Hurricanes -5.60
2 Waratahs vs. Cheetahs Mar 15 Waratahs 2.20
3 Kings vs. Chiefs Mar 15 Chiefs -14.30
4 Crusaders vs. Bulls Mar 16 Crusaders 7.40
5 Reds vs. Force Mar 16 Reds 12.50
6 Sharks vs. Brumbies Mar 16 Sharks 5.90

 

March 6, 2013

Super 15 Predictions, Round 4

By

Team Ratings for Round 4

This year the predictions have been slightly changed with the help of a student, Joshua Dale. The home ground advantage now is different when both teams are from the same country to when the teams are from different countries. The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 4, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Chiefs 9.58 6.98 2.60
Crusaders 6.90 9.03 -2.10
Sharks 4.76 4.57 0.20
Stormers 2.70 3.34 -0.60
Bulls 2.42 2.55 -0.10
Hurricanes 2.07 4.40 -2.30
Brumbies 1.02 -1.06 2.10
Blues 1.02 -3.02 4.00
Reds -0.30 0.46 -0.80
Highlanders -3.90 -3.41 -0.50
Waratahs -4.62 -4.10 -0.50
Cheetahs -6.32 -4.16 -2.20
Kings -9.37 -10.00 0.60
Force -10.16 -9.73 -0.40
Rebels -10.60 -10.64 0.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 15 matches played, 13 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 86.7%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Blues vs. Crusaders Mar 01 34 – 15 -7.60 FALSE
2 Waratahs vs. Rebels Mar 01 31 – 26 9.10 TRUE
3 Reds vs. Hurricanes Mar 01 18 – 12 0.80 TRUE
4 Chiefs vs. Cheetahs Mar 02 45 – 3 15.70 TRUE
5 Bulls vs. Force Mar 02 36 – 26 17.80 TRUE
6 Sharks vs. Stormers Mar 02 12 – 6 4.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 4

Here are the predictions for Round 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hurricanes vs. Crusaders Mar 08 Crusaders -2.30
2 Rebels vs. Reds Mar 08 Reds -7.80
3 Highlanders vs. Cheetahs Mar 09 Highlanders 6.40
4 Brumbies vs. Waratahs Mar 09 Brumbies 8.10
5 Stormers vs. Chiefs Mar 09 Chiefs -2.90
6 Kings vs. Sharks Mar 09 Sharks -11.60
7 Blues vs. Bulls Mar 10 Blues 2.60

 
 

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