Posts written by David Scott (1769)

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David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation.

October 7, 2015

ITM Cup Predictions for Round 9

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Team Ratings for Round 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Taranaki 12.77 7.70 5.10
Canterbury 12.56 10.90 1.70
Tasman 8.40 12.86 -4.50
Auckland 8.30 5.14 3.20
Wellington 4.76 -4.62 9.40
Hawke’s Bay 4.14 -0.57 4.70
Counties Manukau 4.05 7.86 -3.80
Otago 1.46 -4.84 6.30
Waikato -6.41 -6.96 0.50
Bay of Plenty -6.46 -9.77 3.30
Manawatu -8.81 -1.52 -7.30
North Harbour -9.59 -10.54 0.90
Southland -10.77 -6.01 -4.80
Northland -18.37 -3.64 -14.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 62 matches played, 44 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Wellington vs. Hawke’s Bay Sep 30 22 – 22 3.70 FALSE
2 North Harbour vs. Otago Oct 01 32 – 39 -7.10 TRUE
3 Waikato vs. Counties Manukau Oct 02 9 – 30 -3.30 TRUE
4 Tasman vs. Canterbury Oct 03 25 – 41 3.30 FALSE
5 Manawatu vs. Taranaki Oct 03 10 – 44 -14.00 TRUE
6 Auckland vs. Northland Oct 03 64 – 21 28.00 TRUE
7 Southland vs. Hawke’s Bay Oct 04 28 – 35 -11.40 TRUE
8 Bay of Plenty vs. Wellington Oct 04 13 – 31 -5.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Northland vs. Otago Oct 07 Otago -15.80
2 Taranaki vs. Tasman Oct 08 Taranaki 8.40
3 Hawke’s Bay vs. Waikato Oct 09 Hawke’s Bay 14.60
4 Canterbury vs. Southland Oct 10 Canterbury 27.30
5 Wellington vs. Manawatu Oct 10 Wellington 17.60
6 Counties Manukau vs. Auckland Oct 10 Auckland -0.30
7 North Harbour vs. Northland Oct 11 North Harbour 12.80
8 Otago vs. Bay of Plenty Oct 11 Otago 11.90

 

Currie Cup Predictions for Round 10

By

Team Ratings for Round 10

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Lions 6.36 3.04 3.30
Western Province 4.74 4.93 -0.20
Blue Bulls 2.21 0.17 2.00
Sharks 1.53 3.43 -1.90
Cheetahs -2.42 -1.75 -0.70
Pumas -6.89 -6.47 -0.40
Griquas -9.63 -7.81 -1.80
Kings -9.80 -9.44 -0.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 36 matches played, 26 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 72.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Lions vs. Western Province Oct 02 62 – 32 4.00 TRUE
2 Blue Bulls vs. Kings Oct 02 48 – 27 14.90 TRUE
3 Pumas vs. Cheetahs Oct 03 37 – 37 -1.10 FALSE
4 Griquas vs. Sharks Oct 03 20 – 45 -6.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 10

Here are the predictions for Round 10. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Pumas vs. Blue Bulls Oct 09 Blue Bulls -5.60
2 Western Province vs. Kings Oct 09 Western Province 18.00
3 Lions vs. Griquas Oct 10 Lions 19.50
4 Cheetahs vs. Sharks Oct 10 Sharks -0.50

 

October 4, 2015

Rugby World Cup Predictions, 04 October 2015 to 07 October 2015

By

Team Ratings at 04 October

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to 04 October along with the ratings at the start of the Rugby World Cup.

Rating at 04 October Rating at RWC Start Difference
New Zealand 26.72 29.01 -2.30
South Africa 22.16 22.73 -0.60
Australia 21.59 20.36 1.20
Ireland 17.72 17.48 0.20
England 16.17 18.51 -2.30
Wales 13.37 13.93 -0.60
France 10.94 11.70 -0.80
Argentina 9.03 7.38 1.60
Scotland 5.82 4.84 1.00
Fiji -2.49 -4.23 1.70
Samoa -4.83 -2.28 -2.50
Italy -6.93 -5.86 -1.10
Tonga -7.94 -6.31 -1.60
Japan -9.31 -11.18 1.90
USA -15.69 -15.97 0.30
Georgia -16.91 -17.48 0.60
Canada -17.46 -18.06 0.60
Romania -20.20 -21.20 1.00
Uruguay -31.10 -31.04 -0.10
Namibia -33.91 -35.62 1.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 26 matches played, 21 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 80.8%.
Here are the predictions for previous games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 England vs. Fiji Sep 18 35 – 11 29.20 TRUE
2 Tonga vs. Georgia Sep 19 10 – 17 11.20 FALSE
3 Ireland vs. Canada Sep 19 50 – 7 35.50 TRUE
4 South Africa vs. Japan Sep 19 32 – 34 33.90 FALSE
5 France vs. Italy Sep 19 32 – 10 17.60 TRUE
6 Samoa vs. USA Sep 20 25 – 16 13.70 TRUE
7 Wales vs. Uruguay Sep 20 54 – 9 51.50 TRUE
8 New Zealand vs. Argentina Sep 20 26 – 16 21.60 TRUE
9 Scotland vs. Japan Sep 23 45 – 10 14.40 TRUE
10 Australia vs. Fiji Sep 23 28 – 13 24.10 TRUE
11 France vs. Romania Sep 23 38 – 11 33.30 TRUE
12 New Zealand vs. Namibia Sep 24 58 – 14 64.00 TRUE
13 Argentina vs. Georgia Sep 25 54 – 9 24.60 TRUE
14 Italy vs. Canada Sep 26 23 – 18 12.50 TRUE
15 South Africa vs. Samoa Sep 26 46 – 6 23.90 TRUE
16 England vs. Wales Sep 26 25 – 28 11.20 FALSE
17 Australia vs. Uruguay Sep 27 65 – 3 50.30 TRUE
18 Scotland vs. USA Sep 27 39 – 16 21.40 TRUE
19 Ireland vs. Romania Sep 27 44 – 10 38.80 TRUE
20 Tonga vs. Namibia Sep 29 35 – 21 27.40 TRUE
21 Wales vs. Fiji Oct 01 23 – 13 23.80 TRUE
22 France vs. Canada Oct 01 41 – 18 29.60 TRUE
23 New Zealand vs. Georgia Oct 02 43 – 10 44.90 TRUE
24 Samoa vs. Japan Oct 03 5 – 26 7.10 FALSE
25 South Africa vs. Scotland Oct 03 34 – 16 16.00 TRUE
26 England vs. Australia Oct 03 13 – 33 3.30 FALSE

 

Predictions for 04 October to 07 October

The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the first-named team, and a negative margin a win to the second-named team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Argentina vs. Tonga Oct 04 Argentina 17.00
2 Ireland vs. Italy Oct 04 Ireland 24.70
3 Canada vs. Romania Oct 06 Canada 2.70
4 Fiji vs. Uruguay Oct 06 Fiji 28.60
5 South Africa vs. USA Oct 07 South Africa 37.90
6 Namibia vs. Georgia Oct 07 Georgia -17.00

 

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September 30, 2015

NRL Prediction for the Grand Final

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Team Ratings for the Grand Final

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Roosters 11.74 9.09 2.60
Cowboys 10.82 9.52 1.30
Broncos 10.28 4.03 6.20
Storm 4.79 4.36 0.40
Bulldogs 1.51 0.21 1.30
Sea Eagles 0.46 2.68 -2.20
Dragons -0.09 -1.74 1.60
Rabbitohs -0.24 13.06 -13.30
Raiders -1.13 -7.09 6.00
Sharks -1.65 -10.76 9.10
Panthers -2.78 3.69 -6.50
Eels -5.07 -7.19 2.10
Wests Tigers -5.16 -13.13 8.00
Knights -5.46 -0.28 -5.20
Warriors -7.47 3.07 -10.50
Titans -9.20 -8.20 -1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 200 matches played, 118 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Broncos vs. Roosters Sep 25 31 – 12 -1.20 FALSE
2 Storm vs. Cowboys Sep 26 12 – 32 -0.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for the Grand Final

Here are the predictions for the Grand Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Broncos vs. Cowboys Oct 04 Cowboys -0.50

 

ITM Cup Predictions for Round 8

By

Team Ratings for Round 8

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Taranaki 10.96 7.70 3.30
Canterbury 10.82 10.90 -0.10
Tasman 10.14 12.86 -2.70
Auckland 6.95 5.14 1.80
Hawke’s Bay 4.24 -0.57 4.80
Wellington 3.91 -4.62 8.50
Counties Manukau 2.45 7.86 -5.40
Otago 1.46 -4.84 6.30
Waikato -4.82 -6.96 2.10
Bay of Plenty -5.27 -9.77 4.50
Manawatu -7.01 -1.52 -5.50
North Harbour -9.60 -10.54 0.90
Southland -11.20 -6.01 -5.20
Northland -17.01 -3.64 -13.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 54 matches played, 38 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Canterbury vs. Waikato Sep 23 18 – 17 24.30 TRUE
2 Hawke’s Bay vs. Auckland Sep 24 17 – 12 0.50 TRUE
3 Northland vs. Bay of Plenty Sep 25 5 – 37 -2.40 TRUE
4 Counties Manukau vs. Tasman Sep 26 42 – 33 -6.50 FALSE
5 Otago vs. Southland Sep 26 61 – 7 8.50 TRUE
6 Manawatu vs. North Harbour Sep 26 31 – 17 5.00 TRUE
7 Waikato vs. Wellington Sep 27 14 – 21 -6.30 TRUE
8 Canterbury vs. Taranaki Sep 27 21 – 24 7.50 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 8

Here are the predictions for Round 8. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Wellington vs. Hawke’s Bay Sep 30 Wellington 3.70
2 North Harbour vs. Otago Oct 01 Otago -7.10
3 Waikato vs. Counties Manukau Oct 02 Counties Manukau -3.30
4 Tasman vs. Canterbury Oct 03 Tasman 3.30
5 Manawatu vs. Taranaki Oct 03 Taranaki -14.00
6 Auckland vs. Northland Oct 03 Auckland 28.00
7 Southland vs. Hawke’s Bay Oct 04 Hawke’s Bay -11.40
8 Bay of Plenty vs. Wellington Oct 04 Wellington -5.20

 

Currie Cup Predictions for Round 9

By

Team Ratings for Round 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Lions 5.79 3.04 2.70
Western Province 5.32 4.93 0.40
Blue Bulls 1.91 0.17 1.70
Sharks 1.09 3.43 -2.30
Cheetahs -2.37 -1.75 -0.60
Pumas -6.95 -6.47 -0.50
Griquas -9.19 -7.81 -1.40
Kings -9.50 -9.44 -0.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 32 matches played, 23 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Sharks vs. Blue Bulls Sep 25 13 – 17 3.40 FALSE
2 Cheetahs vs. Lions Sep 26 31 – 73 -3.10 TRUE
3 Western Province vs. Pumas Sep 26 50 – 19 15.00 TRUE
4 Kings vs. Griquas Sep 26 40 – 37 3.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 9

Here are the predictions for Round 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Lions vs. Western Province Oct 02 Lions 4.00
2 Blue Bulls vs. Kings Oct 02 Blue Bulls 14.90
3 Pumas vs. Cheetahs Oct 03 Cheetahs -1.10
4 Griquas vs. Sharks Oct 03 Sharks -6.80

 

September 28, 2015

Rugby World Cup Predictions, 29 September 2015 to 03 October 2015

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It is a little difficult to choose a period for the predictions. I have predicted up to October 3 because Tonga plays a further game on October 4, and I want to have updated their rating based on the result of the Tonga-Namibia game before predicting their game against Argentina.

Team Ratings at 29 September

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to 29 September along with the ratings at the start of the Rugby World Cup.

Rating at 29 September Rating at RWC Start Difference
New Zealand 27.38 29.01 -1.60
South Africa 21.98 22.73 -0.70
Australia 20.47 20.36 0.10
Ireland 17.72 17.48 0.20
England 17.29 18.51 -1.20
Wales 14.10 13.93 0.20
France 11.53 11.70 -0.20
Argentina 9.03 7.38 1.60
Scotland 6.00 4.84 1.20
Fiji -3.23 -4.23 1.00
Samoa -3.54 -2.28 -1.30
Italy -6.93 -5.86 -1.10
Tonga -7.23 -6.31 -0.90
Japan -10.61 -11.18 0.60
USA -15.69 -15.97 0.30
Georgia -17.57 -17.48 -0.10
Canada -18.06 -18.06 -0.00
Romania -20.20 -21.20 1.00
Uruguay -31.10 -31.04 -0.10
Namibia -34.63 -35.62 1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 19 matches played, 16 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 84.2%.
Here are the predictions for previous games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 England vs. Fiji Sep 18 35 – 11 29.20 TRUE
2 Tonga vs. Georgia Sep 19 10 – 17 11.20 FALSE
3 Ireland vs. Canada Sep 19 50 – 7 35.50 TRUE
4 South Africa vs. Japan Sep 19 32 – 34 33.90 FALSE
5 France vs. Italy Sep 19 32 – 10 17.60 TRUE
6 Samoa vs. USA Sep 20 25 – 16 13.70 TRUE
7 Wales vs. Uruguay Sep 20 54 – 9 51.50 TRUE
8 New Zealand vs. Argentina Sep 20 26 – 16 21.60 TRUE
9 Scotland vs. Japan Sep 23 45 – 10 14.40 TRUE
10 Australia vs. Fiji Sep 23 28 – 13 24.10 TRUE
11 France vs. Romania Sep 23 38 – 11 33.30 TRUE
12 New Zealand vs. Namibia Sep 24 58 – 14 64.00 TRUE
13 Argentina vs. Georgia Sep 25 54 – 9 24.60 TRUE
14 Italy vs. Canada Sep 26 23 – 18 12.50 TRUE
15 South Africa vs. Samoa Sep 26 46 – 6 23.90 TRUE
16 England vs. Wales Sep 26 25 – 28 11.20 FALSE
17 Australia vs. Uruguay Sep 27 65 – 3 50.30 TRUE
18 Scotland vs. USA Sep 27 39 – 16 21.40 TRUE
19 Ireland vs. Romania Sep 27 44 – 10 38.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for 29 September to 03 October

The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the first-named team, and a negative margin a win to the second-named team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Tonga vs. Namibia Sep 29 Tonga 27.40
2 Wales vs. Fiji Oct 01 Wales 23.80
3 France vs. Canada Oct 01 France 29.60
4 New Zealand vs. Georgia Oct 02 New Zealand 44.90
5 Samoa vs. Japan Oct 03 Samoa 7.10
6 South Africa vs. Scotland Oct 03 South Africa 16.00
7 England vs. Australia Oct 03 England 3.30

 

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September 25, 2015

Rugby World Cup Predictions, 25 September 2015 to 27 September 2015

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I decided updated ratings and predictions would be a good idea at this time. I can then post new predictions before the next games after September 27, which are on September 29.

Team Ratings at 25 September

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to 25 September along with the ratings at the start of the Rugby World Cup.

Rating at 25 September Rating at RWC Start Difference
New Zealand 27.38 29.01 -1.60
South Africa 21.15 22.73 -1.60
Australia 19.83 20.36 -0.50
Ireland 18.15 17.48 0.70
England 18.04 18.51 -0.50
Wales 13.35 13.93 -0.60
France 11.53 11.70 -0.20
Argentina 8.02 7.38 0.60
Scotland 5.85 4.84 1.00
Samoa -2.71 -2.28 -0.40
Fiji -3.23 -4.23 1.00
Italy -6.26 -5.86 -0.40
Tonga -7.23 -6.31 -0.90
Japan -10.61 -11.18 0.60
USA -15.54 -15.97 0.40
Georgia -16.56 -17.48 0.90
Canada -18.73 -18.06 -0.70
Romania -20.63 -21.20 0.60
Uruguay -30.46 -31.04 0.60
Namibia -34.63 -35.62 1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 12 matches played, 10 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 83.3%.
Here are the predictions for previous games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 England vs. Fiji Sep 18 35 – 11 29.20 TRUE
2 Tonga vs. Georgia Sep 19 10 – 17 11.20 FALSE
3 Ireland vs. Canada Sep 19 50 – 7 35.50 TRUE
4 South Africa vs. Japan Sep 19 32 – 34 33.90 FALSE
5 France vs. Italy Sep 19 32 – 10 17.60 TRUE
6 Samoa vs. USA Sep 20 25 – 16 13.70 TRUE
7 Wales vs. Uruguay Sep 20 54 – 9 51.50 TRUE
8 New Zealand vs. Argentina Sep 20 26 – 16 21.60 TRUE
9 Scotland vs. Japan Sep 23 45 – 10 14.40 TRUE
10 Australia vs. Fiji Sep 23 28 – 13 24.10 TRUE
11 France vs. Romania Sep 23 38 – 11 33.30 TRUE
12 New Zealand vs. Namibia Sep 24 58 – 14 64.00 TRUE

 

Predictions for 25 September to 27 September

The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the first-named team, and a negative margin a win to the second-named team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Argentina vs. Georgia Sep 25 Argentina 24.60
2 Italy vs. Canada Sep 26 Italy 12.50
3 South Africa vs. Samoa Sep 26 South Africa 23.90
4 England vs. Wales Sep 26 England 11.20
5 Australia vs. Uruguay Sep 27 Australia 50.30
6 Scotland vs. USA Sep 27 Scotland 21.40
7 Ireland vs. Romania Sep 27 Ireland 38.80

 

September 23, 2015

Rugby World Cup Predictions for Week 2

By

Team Ratings for Week 2

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the Rugby World Cup.

Current Rating Rating at RWC Start Difference
New Zealand 28.37 29.01 -0.60
South Africa 21.15 22.73 -1.60
Australia 20.36 20.36 0.00
Ireland 18.15 17.48 0.70
England 18.04 18.51 -0.50
Wales 13.35 13.93 -0.60
France 12.10 11.70 0.40
Argentina 8.02 7.38 0.60
Scotland 4.84 4.84 -0.00
Samoa -2.71 -2.28 -0.40
Fiji -3.76 -4.23 0.50
Italy -6.26 -5.86 -0.40
Tonga -7.23 -6.31 -0.90
Japan -9.60 -11.18 1.60
USA -15.54 -15.97 0.40
Georgia -16.56 -17.48 0.90
Canada -18.73 -18.06 -0.70
Romania -21.20 -21.20 -0.00
Uruguay -30.46 -31.04 0.60
Namibia -35.62 -35.62 -0.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 8 matches played, 6 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 75%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 England vs. Fiji Sep 18 35 – 11 29.20 TRUE
2 Tonga vs. Georgia Sep 19 10 – 17 11.20 FALSE
3 Ireland vs. Canada Sep 19 50 – 7 35.50 TRUE
4 South Africa vs. Japan Sep 19 32 – 34 33.90 FALSE
5 France vs. Italy Sep 19 32 – 10 17.60 TRUE
6 Samoa vs. USA Sep 20 25 – 16 13.70 TRUE
7 Wales vs. Uruguay Sep 20 54 – 9 51.50 TRUE
8 New Zealand vs. Argentina Sep 20 26 – 16 21.60 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 2

Here are the predictions for Week 2. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the first-named team, and a negative margin a win to the second-named team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Scotland vs. Japan Sep 23 Scotland 14.40
2 Australia vs. Fiji Sep 23 Australia 24.10
3 France vs. Romania Sep 23 France 33.30
4 New Zealand vs. Namibia Sep 24 New Zealand 64.00
5 Argentina vs. Georgia Sep 25 Argentina 24.60
6 Italy vs. Canada Sep 26 Italy 12.50
7 South Africa vs. Samoa Sep 26 South Africa 23.90
8 England vs. Wales Sep 26 England 11.20

 

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NRL Predictions for the Preliminary Finals

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Team Ratings for the Preliminary Finals

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Roosters 13.13 9.09 4.00
Cowboys 9.47 9.52 -0.10
Broncos 8.88 4.03 4.80
Storm 6.15 4.36 1.80
Bulldogs 1.51 0.21 1.30
Sea Eagles 0.46 2.68 -2.20
Dragons -0.09 -1.74 1.60
Rabbitohs -0.24 13.06 -13.30
Raiders -1.13 -7.09 6.00
Sharks -1.65 -10.76 9.10
Panthers -2.78 3.69 -6.50
Eels -5.07 -7.19 2.10
Wests Tigers -5.16 -13.13 8.00
Knights -5.46 -0.28 -5.20
Warriors -7.47 3.07 -10.50
Titans -9.20 -8.20 -1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 198 matches played, 117 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Roosters vs. Bulldogs Sep 18 38 – 12 12.80 TRUE
2 Cowboys vs. Sharks Sep 19 39 – 0 10.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for the Preliminary Finals

Here are the predictions for the Preliminary Finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Broncos vs. Roosters Sep 25 Roosters -1.20
2 Storm vs. Cowboys Sep 26 Cowboys -0.30

 

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