Posts written by David Scott (1740)

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David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation.

April 21, 2026

Top 14 Predictions for Round 22

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Team Ratings for Round 22

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Stade Toulousain 14.52 11.56 3.00
Bordeaux Begles 5.42 4.78 0.60
Montpellier 4.79 -0.21 5.00
Section Paloise 4.17 2.21 2.00
Stade Rochelais 3.55 1.22 2.30
Stade Francais 3.18 -2.17 5.40
Clermont 2.82 1.88 0.90
Racing 92 1.82 1.88 -0.10
Lyon 0.23 -0.45 0.70
Toulon -0.18 3.49 -3.70
Castres Olympique -1.23 0.59 -1.80
Bayonne -2.27 1.48 -3.70
USA Perpignan -4.56 -3.37 -1.20
Montauban -19.36 -10.00 -9.40

Performance So Far

So far there have been 147 matches played, 114 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 77.6%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bayonne vs. Section Paloise Apr 19 22 – 54 2.10 FALSE
2 Castres Olympique vs. Stade Toulousain Apr 19 25 – 42 -8.20 TRUE
3 Clermont vs. Lyon Apr 19 41 – 23 8.40 TRUE
4 Montauban vs. Toulon Apr 19 22 – 47 -11.70 TRUE
5 Montpellier vs. USA Perpignan Apr 19 42 – 31 16.50 TRUE
6 Stade Rochelais vs. Bordeaux Begles Apr 19 45 – 15 2.90 TRUE
7 Racing 92 vs. Stade Francais Apr 20 47 – 20 3.60 TRUE

Predictions for Round 22

Here are the predictions for Round 22. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bordeaux Begles vs. Montpellier Apr 26 Bordeaux Begles 7.10
2 Lyon vs. Castres Olympique Apr 26 Lyon 8.00
3 Montauban vs. Racing 92 Apr 26 Racing 92 -14.70
4 Stade Francais vs. Section Paloise Apr 26 Stade Francais 5.50
5 Toulon vs. Bayonne Apr 26 Toulon 8.60
6 USA Perpignan vs. Stade Rochelais Apr 26 Stade Rochelais -1.60
7 Stade Toulousain vs. Clermont Apr 27 Stade Toulousain 18.20

United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 16

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Team Ratings for Week 16

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Bulls 9.20 8.86 0.30
Leinster 8.64 13.41 -4.80
Glasgow 6.81 6.18 0.60
Stormers 5.19 4.17 1.00
Lions 3.69 -1.19 4.90
Munster 2.31 3.65 -1.30
Ulster 1.47 -3.24 4.70
Connacht 0.89 -1.39 2.30
Sharks 0.23 1.29 -1.10
Cardiff Rugby -1.70 -2.74 1.00
Ospreys -2.64 -2.15 -0.50
Scarlets -2.79 -0.54 -2.30
Edinburgh -2.95 2.67 -5.60
Benetton -6.02 -2.32 -3.70
Dragons -10.31 -15.66 5.30
Zebre -12.02 -11.02 -1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 120 matches played, 82 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.3%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Dragons vs. Bulls Apr 18 7 – 47 -9.70 TRUE
2 Edinburgh vs. Zebre Apr 18 31 – 30 17.90 TRUE
3 Ulster vs. Leinster Apr 18 21 – 29 -4.40 TRUE
4 Stormers vs. Connacht Apr 18 24 – 33 13.60 FALSE
5 Lions vs. Glasgow Apr 19 54 – 12 0.30 TRUE
6 Scarlets vs. Cardiff Rugby Apr 19 24 – 28 2.30 FALSE
7 Benetton vs. Munster Apr 19 15 – 45 1.60 FALSE
8 Ospreys vs. Sharks Apr 19 21 – 17 4.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 16

Here are the predictions for Week 16. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Cardiff Rugby vs. Ospreys Apr 25 Cardiff Rugby 2.90
2 Edinburgh vs. Sharks Apr 25 Edinburgh 3.80
3 Zebre vs. Dragons Apr 25 Zebre 5.30
4 Stormers vs. Glasgow Apr 25 Stormers 5.40
5 Lions vs. Connacht Apr 26 Lions 9.80
6 Munster vs. Ulster Apr 26 Munster 2.80
7 Benetton vs. Leinster Apr 26 Leinster -7.70
8 Scarlets vs. Bulls Apr 26 Bulls -5.00

 

April 14, 2026

Super Rugby Predictions for Week 10

By

Team Ratings for Week 10

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Chiefs 12.26 12.36 -0.10
Hurricanes 11.82 8.29 3.50
Blues 9.20 8.91 0.30
Crusaders 8.18 8.41 -0.20
Brumbies 5.76 5.59 0.20
Reds 0.41 1.74 -1.30
Highlanders -2.93 -3.06 0.10
Western Force -4.60 -6.29 1.70
Waratahs -5.05 -5.84 0.80
Fijian Drua -8.74 -7.64 -1.10
Moana Pasifika -11.72 -7.88 -3.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 43 matches played, 29 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Highlanders vs. Brumbies Apr 10 10 – 14 -5.40 TRUE
2 Moana Pasifika vs. Chiefs Apr 11 17 – 62 -27.60 TRUE
3 Fijian Drua vs. Western Force Apr 11 24 – 22 0.70 TRUE
4 Hurricanes vs. Blues Apr 11 42 – 19 6.30 TRUE
5 Reds vs. Crusaders Apr 11 31 – 26 -5.20 FALSE

 

Predictions for Week 10

Here are the predictions for Week 10. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Blues vs. Highlanders Apr 17 Blues 17.10
2 Waratahs vs. Moana Pasifika Apr 17 Waratahs 10.20
3 Chiefs vs. Hurricanes Apr 18 Chiefs 5.40
4 Brumbies vs. Fijian Drua Apr 18 Brumbies 19.50
5 Western Force vs. Crusaders Apr 18 Crusaders -9.30

 

NRL Predictions for Round 7

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Team Ratings for Round 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Panthers 14.91 8.77 6.10
Roosters 6.47 9.50 -3.00
Sharks 5.60 7.25 -1.60
Broncos 4.88 7.06 -2.20
Storm 4.16 6.96 -2.80
Warriors 3.52 -1.18 4.70
Bulldogs 1.41 2.13 -0.70
Sea Eagles -0.31 0.21 -0.50
Cowboys -0.84 -2.69 1.80
Dolphins -1.33 1.85 -3.20
Wests Tigers -1.55 -7.26 5.70
Raiders -2.45 1.62 -4.10
Rabbitohs -3.05 -5.05 2.00
Titans -6.00 -8.02 2.00
Eels -6.17 -0.37 -5.80
Knights -8.88 -14.06 5.20
Dragons -10.37 -6.72 -3.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 48 matches played, 25 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 52.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bulldogs vs. Panthers Apr 09 32 – 16 -13.40 FALSE
2 Dragons vs. Sea Eagles Apr 10 18 – 28 -4.90 TRUE
3 Broncos vs. Cowboys Apr 10 31 – 35 12.00 FALSE
4 Rabbitohs vs. Raiders Apr 11 34 – 36 4.90 FALSE
5 Sharks vs. Roosters Apr 11 22 – 34 1.10 FALSE
6 Storm vs. Warriors Apr 11 14 – 38 8.90 FALSE
7 Eels vs. Titans Apr 12 10 – 52 10.20 FALSE
8 Wests Tigers vs. Knights Apr 12 42 – 22 9.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 7

Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles Apr 16 Cowboys 3.50
2 Raiders vs. Storm Apr 17 Storm -2.60
3 Dolphins vs. Panthers Apr 17 Panthers -12.20
4 Warriors vs. Titans Apr 18 Warriors 13.50
5 Rabbitohs vs. Dragons Apr 18 Rabbitohs 11.30
6 Wests Tigers vs. Broncos Apr 18 Broncos -2.40
7 Roosters vs. Knights Apr 19 Roosters 19.30
8 Eels vs. Bulldogs Apr 19 Bulldogs -3.60

 

AFL Predictions for Week 7

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Team Ratings for Week 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Western Bulldogs 25.67 26.06 -0.40
Hawthorn Hawks 23.78 22.83 0.90
Brisbane Lions 23.36 26.20 -2.80
Geelong Cats 19.98 26.75 -6.80
Sydney Swans 17.97 0.56 17.40
Adelaide Crows 14.83 15.32 -0.50
Gold Coast Suns 12.65 10.24 2.40
Fremantle Dockers 12.63 6.56 6.10
Collingwood 8.31 11.76 -3.40
GWS Giants 5.43 9.54 -4.10
Melbourne Demons -2.80 1.64 -4.40
St Kilda Saints -5.14 -7.63 2.50
Carlton Blues -11.34 -4.77 -6.60
Port Adelaide Power -15.81 -14.65 -1.20
North Melbourne -17.63 -21.71 4.10
Essendon Bombers -24.30 -27.89 3.60
Richmond Tigers -35.84 -29.44 -6.40
West Coast Eagles -39.77 -39.36 -0.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 45 matches played, 31 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Adelaide Crows vs. Carlton Blues Apr 09 114 – 86 39.20 TRUE
2 Collingwood vs. Fremantle Dockers Apr 10 39 – 45 -3.90 TRUE
3 North Melbourne vs. Brisbane Lions Apr 11 66 – 92 -43.80 TRUE
4 Essendon Bombers vs. Melbourne Demons Apr 11 113 – 68 -32.80 FALSE
5 Sydney Swans vs. Gold Coast Suns Apr 11 100 – 68 0.60 TRUE
6 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Western Bulldogs Apr 11 104 – 64 -9.20 FALSE
7 Geelong Cats vs. West Coast Eagles Apr 12 122 – 76 62.30 TRUE
8 GWS Giants vs. Richmond Tigers Apr 12 131 – 75 38.50 TRUE
9 Port Adelaide Power vs. St Kilda Saints Apr 12 67 – 81 3.00 FALSE

 

Predictions for Week 7

Here are the predictions for Week 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Carlton Blues vs. Collingwood Apr 16 Collingwood -19.70
2 Geelong Cats vs. Western Bulldogs Apr 17 Geelong Cats 5.30
3 Sydney Swans vs. GWS Giants Apr 17 Sydney Swans 23.50
4 Gold Coast Suns vs. Essendon Bombers Apr 18 Gold Coast Suns 48.00
5 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Port Adelaide Power Apr 18 Hawthorn Hawks 50.60
6 Adelaide Crows vs. St Kilda Saints Apr 18 Adelaide Crows 31.00
7 North Melbourne vs. Richmond Tigers Apr 19 North Melbourne 18.20
8 Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions Apr 19 Brisbane Lions -15.20
9 West Coast Eagles vs. Fremantle Dockers Apr 19 Fremantle Dockers -52.40

 

April 7, 2026

NRL Predictions for Round 6

By

Team Ratings for Round 6

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Panthers 16.86 8.77 8.10
Sharks 6.58 7.25 -0.70
Storm 6.31 6.96 -0.60
Broncos 6.05 7.06 -1.00
Roosters 5.49 9.50 -4.00
Warriors 1.37 -1.18 2.50
Bulldogs -0.53 2.13 -2.70
Sea Eagles -0.87 0.21 -1.10
Dolphins -1.33 1.85 -3.20
Cowboys -2.00 -2.69 0.70
Rabbitohs -2.29 -5.05 2.80
Wests Tigers -2.35 -7.26 4.90
Eels -3.00 -0.37 -2.60
Raiders -3.21 1.62 -4.80
Knights -8.08 -14.06 6.00
Titans -9.18 -8.02 -1.20
Dragons -9.82 -6.72 -3.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 40 matches played, 23 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 57.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Dolphins vs. Sea Eagles Apr 02 18 – 52 8.90 FALSE
2 Rabbitohs vs. Bulldogs Apr 03 32 – 24 0.60 TRUE
3 Panthers vs. Storm Apr 03 50 – 10 10.70 TRUE
4 Dragons vs. Cowboys Apr 04 0 – 32 0.40 FALSE
5 Titans vs. Broncos Apr 04 12 – 26 -10.40 TRUE
6 Sharks vs. Warriors Apr 05 36 – 22 7.90 TRUE
7 Knights vs. Raiders Apr 05 32 – 12 -4.20 FALSE
8 Eels vs. Wests Tigers Apr 06 20 – 22 4.90 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 6

Here are the predictions for Round 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bulldogs vs. Panthers Apr 09 Panthers -13.40
2 Dragons vs. Sea Eagles Apr 10 Sea Eagles -4.90
3 Broncos vs. Cowboys Apr 10 Broncos 12.00
4 Rabbitohs vs. Raiders Apr 11 Rabbitohs 4.90
5 Sharks vs. Roosters Apr 11 Sharks 1.10
6 Storm vs. Warriors Apr 11 Storm 8.90
7 Eels vs. Titans Apr 12 Eels 10.20
8 Wests Tigers vs. Knights Apr 12 Wests Tigers 9.70

 

AFL Predictions for Week 6

By

Team Ratings for Week 6

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Western Bulldogs 29.31 26.06 3.30
Brisbane Lions 24.75 26.20 -1.40
Geelong Cats 21.26 26.75 -5.50
Hawthorn Hawks 20.14 22.83 -2.70
Adelaide Crows 15.84 15.32 0.50
Sydney Swans 15.59 0.56 15.00
Gold Coast Suns 15.03 10.24 4.80
Fremantle Dockers 12.44 6.56 5.90
Collingwood 8.50 11.76 -3.30
GWS Giants 4.07 9.54 -5.50
Melbourne Demons 2.83 1.64 1.20
St Kilda Saints -6.47 -7.63 1.20
Carlton Blues -12.34 -4.77 -7.60
Port Adelaide Power -14.48 -14.65 0.20
North Melbourne -19.01 -21.71 2.70
Essendon Bombers -29.93 -27.89 -2.00
Richmond Tigers -34.48 -29.44 -5.00
West Coast Eagles -41.05 -39.36 -1.70

Performance So Far

So far there have been 36 matches played, 25 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 69.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Brisbane Lions vs. Collingwood Apr 02 119 – 65 22.50 TRUE
2 North Melbourne vs. Carlton Blues Apr 03 96 – 86 -9.70 FALSE
3 Adelaide Crows vs. Fremantle Dockers Apr 03 76 – 78 17.40 FALSE
4 Richmond Tigers vs. Port Adelaide Power Apr 04 48 – 90 -3.20 TRUE
5 West Coast Eagles vs. Sydney Swans Apr 04 35 – 163 -31.90 TRUE
6 Melbourne Demons vs. Gold Coast Suns Apr 05 109 – 89 -5.00 FALSE
7 Western Bulldogs vs. Essendon Bombers Apr 05 99 – 65 63.80 TRUE
8 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Geelong Cats Apr 06 92 – 91 11.80 TRUE

Predictions for Week 6

Here are the predictions for Week 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Adelaide Crows vs. Carlton Blues Apr 09 Adelaide Crows 39.20
2 Collingwood vs. Fremantle Dockers Apr 10 Fremantle Dockers -3.90
3 North Melbourne vs. Brisbane Lions Apr 11 Brisbane Lions -43.80
4 Essendon Bombers vs. Melbourne Demons Apr 11 Melbourne Demons -32.80
5 Sydney Swans vs. Gold Coast Suns Apr 11 Sydney Swans 0.60
6 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Western Bulldogs Apr 11 Western Bulldogs -9.20
7 Geelong Cats vs. West Coast Eagles Apr 12 Geelong Cats 62.30
8 GWS Giants vs. Richmond Tigers Apr 12 GWS Giants 38.50
9 Port Adelaide Power vs. St Kilda Saints Apr 12 Port Adelaide Power 3.00

Super Rugby Predictions for Week 9

By

Team Ratings for Week 9

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Chiefs 11.58 12.36 -0.80
Hurricanes 11.16 8.29 2.90
Blues 9.86 8.91 1.00
Crusaders 8.62 8.41 0.20
Brumbies 5.86 5.59 0.30
Reds -0.04 1.74 -1.80
Highlanders -3.03 -3.06 0.00
Western Force -4.50 -6.29 1.80
Waratahs -5.05 -5.84 0.80
Fijian Drua -8.84 -7.64 -1.20
Moana Pasifika -11.03 -7.88 -3.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 38 matches played, 25 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Crusaders vs. Fijian Drua Apr 03 69 – 26 19.20 TRUE
2 Chiefs vs. Waratahs Apr 04 42 – 14 19.30 TRUE
3 Reds vs. Western Force Apr 04 19 – 42 11.90 FALSE

 

Predictions for Week 9

Here are the predictions for Week 9. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Highlanders vs. Brumbies Apr 10 Brumbies -5.40
2 Moana Pasifika vs. Chiefs Apr 11 Chiefs -17.60
3 Fijian Drua vs. Western Force Apr 11 Fijian Drua 0.70
4 Hurricanes vs. Blues Apr 11 Hurricanes 6.30
5 Reds vs. Crusaders Apr 11 Crusaders -5.20

 

March 31, 2026

United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 15

By

Team Ratings for Week 15

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Glasgow 8.61 6.18 2.40
Leinster 8.25 13.41 -5.20
Bulls 7.78 8.86 -1.10
Stormers 6.32 4.17 2.20
Lions 1.89 -1.19 3.10
Ulster 1.87 -3.24 5.10
Munster 0.85 3.65 -2.80
Sharks 0.22 1.29 -1.10
Connacht -0.25 -1.39 1.10
Edinburgh -2.03 2.67 -4.70
Scarlets -2.10 -0.54 -1.60
Cardiff Rugby -2.39 -2.74 0.30
Ospreys -2.62 -2.15 -0.50
Benetton -4.56 -2.32 -2.20
Dragons -8.89 -15.66 6.80
Zebre -12.93 -11.02 -1.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 112 matches played, 77 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Sharks vs. Cardiff Rugby Mar 28 21 – 15 10.60 TRUE
2 Glasgow vs. Benetton Mar 28 31 – 10 19.90 TRUE
3 Leinster vs. Scarlets Mar 28 36 – 19 17.40 TRUE
4 Bulls vs. Munster Mar 29 34 – 31 15.40 TRUE
5 Connacht vs. Ospreys Mar 29 21 – 14 10.00 TRUE
6 Lions vs. Dragons Mar 29 42 – 26 18.30 TRUE
7 Stormers vs. Edinburgh Mar 29 33 – 14 14.30 TRUE
8 Zebre vs. Ulster Mar 29 12 – 28 -6.60 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 15

Here are the predictions for Week 15. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Dragons vs. Bulls Apr 18 Bulls -9.70
2 Edinburgh vs. Zebre Apr 18 Edinburgh 17.90
3 Ulster vs. Leinster Apr 18 Leinster -4.40
4 Stormers vs. Connacht Apr 18 Stormers 13.60
5 Lions vs. Glasgow Apr 19 Lions 0.30
6 Scarlets vs. Cardiff Rugby Apr 19 Scarlets 2.30
7 Benetton vs. Munster Apr 19 Benetton 1.60
8 Ospreys vs. Sharks Apr 19 Ospreys 4.20

 

Top 14 Predictions for Round 21

By

Team Ratings for Round 21

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Stade Toulousain 13.99 11.56 2.40
Bordeaux Begles 6.26 4.78 1.50
Montpellier 5.13 -0.21 5.30
Stade Francais 3.92 -2.17 6.10
Section Paloise 3.16 2.21 1.00
Stade Rochelais 2.71 1.22 1.50
Clermont 2.45 1.88 0.60
Racing 92 1.07 1.88 -0.80
Lyon 0.60 -0.45 1.00
Toulon -0.65 3.49 -4.10
Castres Olympique -0.70 0.59 -1.30
Bayonne -1.26 1.48 -2.70
USA Perpignan -4.89 -3.37 -1.50
Montauban -18.89 -10.00 -8.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 140 matches played, 108 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 77.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bayonne vs. Stade Rochelais Mar 29 26 – 15 1.80 TRUE
2 Castres Olympique vs. Montauban Mar 29 49 – 17 23.70 TRUE
3 Lyon vs. Bordeaux Begles Mar 29 17 – 21 1.50 FALSE
4 Section Paloise vs. Racing 92 Mar 29 27 – 17 8.40 TRUE
5 Stade Toulousain vs. Montpellier Mar 29 45 – 29 15.30 TRUE
6 USA Perpignan vs. Toulon Mar 29 36 – 20 1.20 TRUE
7 Stade Francais vs. Clermont Mar 30 64 – 20 5.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 21

Here are the predictions for Round 21. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bayonne vs. Section Paloise Apr 19 Bayonne 2.10
2 Castres Olympique vs. Stade Toulousain Apr 19 Stade Toulousain -8.20
3 Clermont vs. Lyon Apr 19 Clermont 8.40
4 Montauban vs. Toulon Apr 19 Toulon -11.70
5 Montpellier vs. USA Perpignan Apr 19 Montpellier 16.50
6 Racing 92 vs. Stade Francais Apr 19 Racing 92 3.60
7 Stade Rochelais vs. Bordeaux Begles Apr 19 Stade Rochelais 2.90

 

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