Posts filed under Sports statistics (1803)

July 29, 2025

AFL Predictions for Week 22

By

Team Ratings for Week 22

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Adelaide Crows 28.35 2.69 25.70
Western Bulldogs 25.10 18.20 6.90
Geelong Cats 23.36 15.04 8.30
Collingwood 16.11 5.39 10.70
Hawthorn Hawks 15.81 21.95 -6.10
Brisbane Lions 13.33 22.65 -9.30
GWS Giants 13.15 9.08 4.10
Gold Coast Suns 10.14 -6.41 16.60
Fremantle Dockers 8.39 5.99 2.40
Sydney Swans 0.04 12.60 -12.60
Melbourne Demons -2.87 -0.21 -2.70
St Kilda Saints -4.65 0.89 -5.50
Carlton Blues -7.32 5.01 -12.30
Port Adelaide Power -8.98 7.63 -16.60
Essendon Bombers -26.88 -10.15 -16.70
North Melbourne -28.73 -37.08 8.40
Richmond Tigers -28.94 -31.00 2.10
West Coast Eagles -37.82 -34.67 -3.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 170 matches played, 114 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Carlton Blues Jul 24 85 – 61 22.90 TRUE
2 Essendon Bombers vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 25 50 – 143 -45.60 TRUE
3 GWS Giants vs. Sydney Swans Jul 25 102 – 58 12.60 TRUE
4 Gold Coast Suns vs. Brisbane Lions Jul 26 130 – 64 -8.60 FALSE
5 Fremantle Dockers vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 26 126 – 77 45.30 TRUE
6 North Melbourne vs. Geelong Cats Jul 26 49 – 150 -32.40 TRUE
7 Adelaide Crows vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 26 133 – 35 28.50 TRUE
8 Richmond Tigers vs. Collingwood Jul 27 57 – 93 -47.90 TRUE
9 St Kilda Saints vs. Melbourne Demons Jul 27 96 – 90 -4.20 FALSE

 

Predictions for Week 22

Here are the predictions for Week 22. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Western Bulldogs vs. GWS Giants Jul 31 Western Bulldogs 22.90
2 Adelaide Crows vs. Hawthorn Hawks Aug 01 Adelaide Crows 23.50
3 Melbourne Demons vs. West Coast Eagles Aug 02 Melbourne Demons 46.00
4 Gold Coast Suns vs. Richmond Tigers Aug 02 Gold Coast Suns 50.10
5 Sydney Swans vs. Essendon Bombers Aug 02 Sydney Swans 37.90
6 Collingwood vs. Brisbane Lions Aug 02 Collingwood 13.80
7 St Kilda Saints vs. North Melbourne Aug 03 St Kilda Saints 24.10
8 Geelong Cats vs. Port Adelaide Power Aug 03 Geelong Cats 43.30
9 Fremantle Dockers vs. Carlton Blues Aug 03 Fremantle Dockers 26.70

 

July 24, 2025

Currie Cup Predictions for Round 1

By

Team Ratings for Round 1

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Lions 10.01 10.01 -0.00
Sharks 6.68 6.68 0.00
Bulls 5.94 5.94 -0.00
Cheetahs 4.33 4.33 -0.00
Western Province -1.94 -1.94 0.00
Griquas -2.85 -2.85 0.00
Pumas -4.16 -4.16 -0.00
Boland Cavaliers -10.00 -10.00 0.00

 

Predictions for Round 1

Here are the predictions for Round 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Pumas vs. Griquas Jul 26 Pumas 2.20
2 Lions vs. Sharks Jul 27 Lions 6.80
3 Western Province vs. Bulls Jul 27 Bulls -4.40
4 Boland Cavaliers vs. Cheetahs Jul 28 Cheetahs -10.80

 

July 23, 2025

NRL Predictions for Round 21

By

Team Ratings for Round 21

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 10.16 9.29 0.90
Panthers 6.17 8.50 -2.30
Roosters 4.43 7.44 -3.00
Dolphins 3.69 -1.96 5.60
Sharks 3.53 5.10 -1.60
Sea Eagles 3.22 2.97 0.20
Bulldogs 2.26 0.07 2.20
Raiders 2.04 -3.61 5.60
Broncos 1.03 -1.82 2.80
Warriors 0.68 -1.68 2.40
Cowboys -2.29 4.11 -6.40
Knights -3.48 -0.05 -3.40
Dragons -3.72 -4.55 0.80
Rabbitohs -5.57 -4.35 -1.20
Eels -6.00 -3.02 -3.00
Titans -7.90 -5.50 -2.40
Wests Tigers -8.23 -10.97 2.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 148 matches played, 93 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 62.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Dolphins vs. Cowboys Jul 17 43 – 24 7.90 TRUE
2 Sharks vs. Roosters Jul 18 31 – 18 0.90 TRUE
3 Panthers vs. Rabbitohs Jul 18 30 – 10 14.10 TRUE
4 Raiders vs. Eels Jul 19 40 – 16 9.70 TRUE
5 Bulldogs vs. Dragons Jul 19 20 – 18 9.80 TRUE
6 Storm vs. Sea Eagles Jul 19 16 – 18 11.20 FALSE
7 Wests Tigers vs. Titans Jul 20 21 – 20 3.00 TRUE
8 Knights vs. Warriors Jul 20 15 – 20 -0.10 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 21

Here are the predictions for Round 21. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Roosters vs. Storm Jul 24 Storm -2.70
2 Cowboys vs. Dragons Jul 25 Cowboys 4.40
3 Broncos vs. Eels Jul 25 Broncos 10.00
4 Warriors vs. Titans Jul 26 Warriors 12.10
5 Panthers vs. Wests Tigers Jul 26 Panthers 14.40
6 Rabbitohs vs. Sharks Jul 26 Sharks -9.10
7 Raiders vs. Knights Jul 27 Raiders 8.50
8 Bulldogs vs. Sea Eagles Jul 27 Bulldogs 2.00

 

View comments (1)

AFL Predictions for Week 21

By

Team Ratings for Week 21

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Adelaide Crows 23.94 2.69 21.20
Western Bulldogs 21.91 18.20 3.70
Geelong Cats 18.99 15.04 4.00
Brisbane Lions 18.01 22.65 -4.60
Collingwood 17.54 5.39 12.20
Hawthorn Hawks 15.68 21.95 -6.30
GWS Giants 10.91 9.08 1.80
Fremantle Dockers 7.95 5.99 2.00
Gold Coast Suns 5.46 -6.41 11.90
Sydney Swans 2.28 12.60 -10.30
Melbourne Demons -1.64 -0.21 -1.40
Port Adelaide Power -4.56 7.63 -12.20
St Kilda Saints -5.88 0.89 -6.80
Carlton Blues -7.19 5.01 -12.20
Essendon Bombers -23.70 -10.15 -13.60
North Melbourne -24.36 -37.08 12.70
Richmond Tigers -30.37 -31.00 0.60
West Coast Eagles -37.38 -34.67 -2.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 161 matches played, 107 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Essendon Bombers vs. GWS Giants Jul 17 56 – 104 -19.50 TRUE
2 Brisbane Lions vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 18 86 – 76 6.20 TRUE
3 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 19 87 – 49 29.10 TRUE
4 Sydney Swans vs. North Melbourne Jul 19 84 – 53 39.70 TRUE
5 Carlton Blues vs. Melbourne Demons Jul 19 78 – 70 -8.10 FALSE
6 West Coast Eagles vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 19 56 – 105 11.90 FALSE
7 Geelong Cats vs. St Kilda Saints Jul 20 113 – 82 37.40 TRUE
8 Collingwood vs. Fremantle Dockers Jul 20 78 – 79 24.30 FALSE
9 Adelaide Crows vs. Gold Coast Suns Jul 20 107 – 46 24.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 21

Here are the predictions for Week 21. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Carlton Blues Jul 24 Hawthorn Hawks 22.90
2 Essendon Bombers vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 25 Western Bulldogs -45.60
3 GWS Giants vs. Sydney Swans Jul 25 GWS Giants 12.60
4 Gold Coast Suns vs. Brisbane Lions Jul 26 Brisbane Lions -8.60
5 Fremantle Dockers vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers 45.30
6 North Melbourne vs. Geelong Cats Jul 26 Geelong Cats -32.40
7 Adelaide Crows vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 26 Adelaide Crows 28.50
8 Richmond Tigers vs. Collingwood Jul 27 Collingwood -47.90
9 St Kilda Saints vs. Melbourne Demons Jul 27 Melbourne Demons -4.20

 

View comments (2)
July 15, 2025

NRL Predictions for Round 20

By

Team Ratings for Round 20

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 10.79 9.29 1.50
Panthers 5.84 8.50 -2.70
Roosters 5.02 7.44 -2.40
Dolphins 3.14 -1.96 5.10
Sharks 2.94 5.10 -2.20
Bulldogs 2.68 0.07 2.60
Sea Eagles 2.59 2.97 -0.40
Raiders 1.36 -3.61 5.00
Broncos 1.03 -1.82 2.80
Warriors 0.40 -1.68 2.10
Cowboys -1.74 4.11 -5.90
Knights -3.20 -0.05 -3.20
Dragons -4.13 -4.55 0.40
Rabbitohs -5.24 -4.35 -0.90
Eels -5.33 -3.02 -2.30
Titans -8.06 -5.50 -2.60
Wests Tigers -8.07 -10.97 2.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 140 matches played, 86 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Sharks vs. Dolphins Jul 11 24 – 12 1.80 TRUE
2 Knights vs. Storm Jul 12 14 – 32 -10.20 TRUE
3 Dragons vs. Roosters Jul 12 24 – 31 -6.00 TRUE
4 Cowboys vs. Bulldogs Jul 12 8 – 12 -0.90 TRUE
5 Warriors vs. Wests Tigers Jul 13 34 – 14 11.00 TRUE
6 Eels vs. Panthers Jul 13 10 – 32 -6.80 TRUE
7 Titans vs. Broncos Jul 13 14 – 26 -5.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 20

Here are the predictions for Round 20. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Dolphins vs. Cowboys Jul 17 Dolphins 7.90
2 Sharks vs. Roosters Jul 18 Sharks 0.90
3 Panthers vs. Rabbitohs Jul 18 Panthers 14.10
4 Raiders vs. Eels Jul 19 Raiders 9.70
5 Bulldogs vs. Dragons Jul 19 Bulldogs 9.80
6 Storm vs. Sea Eagles Jul 19 Storm 11.20
7 Wests Tigers vs. Titans Jul 20 Wests Tigers 3.00
8 Knights vs. Warriors Jul 20 Warriors -0.10

 

AFL Predictions for Week 20

By

Team Ratings for Week 20

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Western Bulldogs 22.37 18.20 4.20
Adelaide Crows 21.38 2.69 18.70
Geelong Cats 19.76 15.04 4.70
Collingwood 19.41 5.39 14.00
Brisbane Lions 17.55 22.65 -5.10
Hawthorn Hawks 14.61 21.95 -7.30
GWS Giants 8.84 9.08 -0.20
Gold Coast Suns 8.02 -6.41 14.40
Fremantle Dockers 6.08 5.99 0.10
Sydney Swans 3.33 12.60 -9.30
Melbourne Demons -0.36 -0.21 -0.20
Port Adelaide Power -3.50 7.63 -11.10
St Kilda Saints -6.65 0.89 -7.50
Carlton Blues -8.46 5.01 -13.50
Essendon Bombers -21.62 -10.15 -11.50
North Melbourne -25.41 -37.08 11.70
West Coast Eagles -33.43 -34.67 1.20
Richmond Tigers -34.32 -31.00 -3.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 152 matches played, 101 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Carlton Blues vs. Brisbane Lions Jul 10 66 – 103 -11.20 TRUE
2 Gold Coast Suns vs. Collingwood Jul 11 69 – 63 -2.40 FALSE
3 Western Bulldogs vs. Adelaide Crows Jul 12 98 – 109 15.90 FALSE
4 GWS Giants vs. Geelong Cats Jul 12 111 – 85 -4.30 FALSE
5 Richmond Tigers vs. Essendon Bombers Jul 12 46 – 37 -16.50 FALSE
6 Fremantle Dockers vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jul 12 77 – 64 0.40 TRUE
7 Melbourne Demons vs. North Melbourne Jul 13 119 – 83 22.90 TRUE
8 St Kilda Saints vs. Sydney Swans Jul 13 87 – 92 2.90 FALSE
9 Port Adelaide Power vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 13 87 – 61 43.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 20

Here are the predictions for Week 20. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Essendon Bombers vs. GWS Giants Jul 17 GWS Giants -19.50
2 Brisbane Lions vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 18 Brisbane Lions 6.20
3 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 19 Hawthorn Hawks 29.10
4 Sydney Swans vs. North Melbourne Jul 19 Sydney Swans 39.70
5 Carlton Blues vs. Melbourne Demons Jul 19 Melbourne Demons -8.10
6 West Coast Eagles vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 19 West Coast Eagles 11.90
7 Geelong Cats vs. St Kilda Saints Jul 20 Geelong Cats 37.40
8 Collingwood vs. Fremantle Dockers Jul 20 Collingwood 24.30
9 Adelaide Crows vs. Gold Coast Suns Jul 20 Adelaide Crows 24.40

 

July 8, 2025

NRL Predictions for Round 19

By

Team Ratings for Round 19

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 10.37 9.29 1.10
Panthers 5.13 8.50 -3.40
Roosters 4.94 7.44 -2.50
Dolphins 3.65 -1.96 5.60
Sea Eagles 2.59 2.97 -0.40
Bulldogs 2.43 0.07 2.40
Sharks 2.43 5.10 -2.70
Raiders 1.36 -3.61 5.00
Broncos 0.66 -1.82 2.50
Warriors -0.07 -1.68 1.60
Cowboys -1.50 4.11 -5.60
Knights -2.78 -0.05 -2.70
Dragons -4.05 -4.55 0.50
Eels -4.62 -3.02 -1.60
Rabbitohs -5.24 -4.35 -0.90
Wests Tigers -7.61 -10.97 3.40
Titans -7.70 -5.50 -2.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 133 matches played, 79 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bulldogs vs. Broncos Jul 04 18 – 22 5.80 FALSE
2 Raiders vs. Dragons Jul 05 28 – 24 9.00 TRUE
3 Cowboys vs. Storm Jul 05 20 – 26 -9.40 TRUE
4 Roosters vs. Wests Tigers Jul 06 28 – 30 17.30 FALSE
5 Sea Eagles vs. Rabbitohs Jul 06 30 – 12 10.00 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 19

Here are the predictions for Round 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Sharks vs. Dolphins Jul 11 Sharks 1.80
2 Knights vs. Storm Jul 12 Storm -10.20
3 Dragons vs. Roosters Jul 12 Roosters -6.00
4 Cowboys vs. Bulldogs Jul 12 Bulldogs -0.90
5 Warriors vs. Wests Tigers Jul 13 Warriors 11.00
6 Eels vs. Panthers Jul 13 Panthers -6.80
7 Titans vs. Broncos Jul 13 Broncos -5.40

 

AFL Predictions for Week 19

By

Team Ratings for Week 19

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Western Bulldogs 24.34 18.20 6.10
Geelong Cats 21.94 15.04 6.90
Collingwood 20.42 5.39 15.00
Adelaide Crows 19.40 2.69 16.70
Brisbane Lions 15.65 22.65 -7.00
Hawthorn Hawks 15.65 21.95 -6.30
Gold Coast Suns 7.01 -6.41 13.40
GWS Giants 6.66 9.08 -2.40
Fremantle Dockers 5.05 5.99 -0.90
Sydney Swans 2.38 12.60 -10.20
Melbourne Demons -1.43 -0.21 -1.20
Port Adelaide Power -2.12 7.63 -9.80
St Kilda Saints -5.70 0.89 -6.60
Carlton Blues -6.56 5.01 -11.60
Essendon Bombers -19.74 -10.15 -9.60
North Melbourne -24.34 -37.08 12.70
West Coast Eagles -34.81 -34.67 -0.10
Richmond Tigers -36.20 -31.00 -5.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 143 matches played, 97 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 North Melbourne vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 03 85 – 134 -48.60 TRUE
2 Carlton Blues vs. Collingwood Jul 04 59 – 115 -22.20 TRUE
3 West Coast Eagles vs. GWS Giants Jul 04 52 – 111 -25.80 TRUE
4 Essendon Bombers vs. Gold Coast Suns Jul 05 74 – 115 -11.50 TRUE
5 Geelong Cats vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 05 124 – 52 68.20 TRUE
6 Brisbane Lions vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 05 120 – 92 29.00 TRUE
7 St Kilda Saints vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jul 05 74 – 94 -21.80 TRUE
8 Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Jul 06 94 – 83 7.50 TRUE
9 Adelaide Crows vs. Melbourne Demons Jul 06 90 – 77 35.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 19

Here are the predictions for Week 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Carlton Blues vs. Brisbane Lions Jul 10 Brisbane Lions -11.20
2 Gold Coast Suns vs. Collingwood Jul 11 Collingwood -2.40
3 Western Bulldogs vs. Adelaide Crows Jul 12 Western Bulldogs 15.90
4 GWS Giants vs. Geelong Cats Jul 12 Geelong Cats -4.30
5 Richmond Tigers vs. Essendon Bombers Jul 12 Essendon Bombers -16.50
6 Fremantle Dockers vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jul 12 Fremantle Dockers 0.40
7 Melbourne Demons vs. North Melbourne Jul 13 Melbourne Demons 22.90
8 St Kilda Saints vs. Sydney Swans Jul 13 St Kilda Saints 2.90
9 Port Adelaide Power vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 13 Port Adelaide Power 43.70

 

July 1, 2025

NRL Predictions for Round 18

By

Team Ratings for Round 18

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Storm 10.64 9.29 1.30
Roosters 5.79 7.44 -1.70
Panthers 5.13 8.50 -3.40
Dolphins 3.65 -1.96 5.60
Bulldogs 2.93 0.07 2.90
Sharks 2.43 5.10 -2.70
Sea Eagles 2.17 2.97 -0.80
Raiders 1.65 -3.61 5.30
Broncos 0.17 -1.82 2.00
Warriors -0.07 -1.68 1.60
Cowboys -1.77 4.11 -5.90
Knights -2.78 -0.05 -2.70
Dragons -4.34 -4.55 0.20
Eels -4.62 -3.02 -1.60
Rabbitohs -4.82 -4.35 -0.50
Titans -7.70 -5.50 -2.20
Wests Tigers -8.46 -10.97 2.50

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 128 matches played, 76 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Panthers vs. Bulldogs Jun 26 8 – 6 5.80 TRUE
2 Sea Eagles vs. Wests Tigers Jun 27 28 – 10 13.10 TRUE
3 Knights vs. Raiders Jun 27 18 – 22 -0.90 TRUE
4 Broncos vs. Warriors Jun 28 26 – 12 2.60 TRUE
5 Dragons vs. Eels Jun 28 34 – 20 2.10 TRUE
6 Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs Jun 28 50 – 28 10.30 TRUE
7 Storm vs. Sharks Jun 29 30 – 6 9.90 TRUE
8 Titans vs. Cowboys Jun 29 24 – 30 -2.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 18

Here are the predictions for Round 18. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bulldogs vs. Broncos Jul 04 Bulldogs 5.80
2 Raiders vs. Dragons Jul 05 Raiders 9.00
3 Cowboys vs. Storm Jul 05 Storm -9.40
4 Roosters vs. Wests Tigers Jul 06 Roosters 17.30
5 Sea Eagles vs. Rabbitohs Jul 06 Sea Eagles 10.00

 

AFL Predictions for Week 18

By

Team Ratings for Week 18

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Western Bulldogs 24.30 18.20 6.10
Geelong Cats 21.49 15.04 6.50
Adelaide Crows 21.08 2.69 18.40
Collingwood 18.03 5.39 12.60
Hawthorn Hawks 15.86 21.95 -6.10
Brisbane Lions 15.77 22.65 -6.90
Fremantle Dockers 5.47 5.99 -0.50
Gold Coast Suns 4.88 -6.41 11.30
GWS Giants 4.30 9.08 -4.80
Sydney Swans 1.96 12.60 -10.60
Port Adelaide Power -2.24 7.63 -9.90
Melbourne Demons -3.10 -0.21 -2.90
Carlton Blues -4.17 5.01 -9.20
St Kilda Saints -5.91 0.89 -6.80
Essendon Bombers -17.61 -10.15 -7.50
North Melbourne -24.29 -37.08 12.80
West Coast Eagles -32.45 -34.67 2.20
Richmond Tigers -35.75 -31.00 -4.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 134 matches played, 88 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Port Adelaide Power vs. Carlton Blues Jun 26 110 – 60 7.10 TRUE
2 Sydney Swans vs. Western Bulldogs Jun 27 96 – 105 -12.10 TRUE
3 Gold Coast Suns vs. Melbourne Demons Jun 28 104 – 85 19.00 TRUE
4 Hawthorn Hawks vs. North Melbourne Jun 28 150 – 65 37.80 TRUE
5 Collingwood vs. West Coast Eagles Jun 28 88 – 59 66.70 TRUE
6 Richmond Tigers vs. Adelaide Crows Jun 29 54 – 122 -42.00 TRUE
7 Fremantle Dockers vs. St Kilda Saints Jun 29 81 – 69 24.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 18

Here are the predictions for Week 18. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 North Melbourne vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 03 Western Bulldogs -48.60
2 Carlton Blues vs. Collingwood Jul 04 Collingwood -22.20
3 West Coast Eagles vs. GWS Giants Jul 04 GWS Giants -25.80
4 Essendon Bombers vs. Gold Coast Suns Jul 05 Gold Coast Suns -11.50
5 Geelong Cats vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 05 Geelong Cats 68.20
6 Brisbane Lions vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 05 Brisbane Lions 29.00
7 St Kilda Saints vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jul 05 Hawthorn Hawks -21.80
8 Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Jul 06 Sydney Swans 7.50
9 Adelaide Crows vs. Melbourne Demons Jul 06 Adelaide Crows 35.20

 

« Later posts
Earlier posts »