May 18, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: May 16 – 22 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
Posts filed under Stat of the Week (619)
May 11, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: May 9 – 15 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday May 15 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of May 9 – 15 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: May 9 – 15 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
May 4, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: May 2 – 8 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday May 8 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of May 2 – 8 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: May 2 – 8 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
April 27, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: April 25 – May 1 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday May 1 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 25 – May 1 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 25 – May 1 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
April 20, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: April 18 – 24 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 24 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 18 – 24 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 18 – 24 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
April 15, 2015
NRL Predictions for Round 7
Team Ratings for Round 7
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
| Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rabbitohs | 9.55 | 13.06 | -3.50 |
| Roosters | 8.65 | 9.09 | -0.40 |
| Cowboys | 8.27 | 9.52 | -1.30 |
| Storm | 4.98 | 4.36 | 0.60 |
| Broncos | 4.92 | 4.03 | 0.90 |
| Panthers | 3.02 | 3.69 | -0.70 |
| Warriors | 1.24 | 3.07 | -1.80 |
| Dragons | 0.06 | -1.74 | 1.80 |
| Bulldogs | -0.19 | 0.21 | -0.40 |
| Knights | -1.23 | -0.28 | -1.00 |
| Sea Eagles | -2.36 | 2.68 | -5.00 |
| Raiders | -6.00 | -7.09 | 1.10 |
| Eels | -7.29 | -7.19 | -0.10 |
| Wests Tigers | -7.31 | -13.13 | 5.80 |
| Sharks | -7.35 | -10.76 | 3.40 |
| Titans | -7.62 | -8.20 | 0.60 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 48 matches played, 25 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 52.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
| Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broncos vs. Roosters | Apr 10 | 22 – 18 | -1.50 | FALSE |
| 2 | Sharks vs. Knights | Apr 10 | 22 – 6 | -6.20 | FALSE |
| 3 | Eels vs. Titans | Apr 11 | 16 – 38 | 7.30 | FALSE |
| 4 | Panthers vs. Sea Eagles | Apr 11 | 22 – 12 | 8.10 | TRUE |
| 5 | Warriors vs. Wests Tigers | Apr 11 | 32 – 22 | 13.00 | TRUE |
| 6 | Dragons vs. Bulldogs | Apr 12 | 31 – 6 | -0.20 | FALSE |
| 7 | Raiders vs. Storm | Apr 12 | 10 – 14 | -8.70 | TRUE |
| 8 | Rabbitohs vs. Cowboys | Apr 13 | 12 – 30 | 7.80 | FALSE |
Predictions for Round 7
Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulldogs vs. Sea Eagles | Apr 17 | Bulldogs | 5.20 |
| 2 | Dragons vs. Broncos | Apr 17 | Broncos | -1.90 |
| 3 | Cowboys vs. Warriors | Apr 18 | Cowboys | 11.00 |
| 4 | Storm vs. Roosters | Apr 18 | Roosters | -0.70 |
| 5 | Titans vs. Panthers | Apr 18 | Panthers | -7.60 |
| 6 | Knights vs. Eels | Apr 19 | Knights | 9.10 |
| 7 | Wests Tigers vs. Raiders | Apr 19 | Wests Tigers | 1.70 |
| 8 | Sharks vs. Rabbitohs | Apr 20 | Rabbitohs | -13.90 |