March 16, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: March 14 – 20 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
Posts filed under Stat of the Week (619)
March 9, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: March 7 – 13 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday March 13 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of March 7 – 13 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: March 7 – 13 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
March 2, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: February 28 – March 6 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday March 6 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of February 28 – March 6 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: February 28 – March 6 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
February 25, 2015
Super 15 Predictions for Round 3
Team Ratings for Round 3
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
| Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crusaders | 8.49 | 10.42 | -1.90 |
| Waratahs | 8.16 | 10.00 | -1.80 |
| Hurricanes | 4.10 | 2.89 | 1.20 |
| Brumbies | 4.07 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
| Sharks | 3.21 | 3.91 | -0.70 |
| Stormers | 3.03 | 1.68 | 1.30 |
| Chiefs | 2.65 | 2.23 | 0.40 |
| Bulls | 1.41 | 2.88 | -1.50 |
| Blues | 0.56 | 1.44 | -0.90 |
| Highlanders | -2.43 | -2.54 | 0.10 |
| Force | -3.75 | -4.67 | 0.90 |
| Cheetahs | -4.42 | -5.55 | 1.10 |
| Lions | -4.56 | -3.39 | -1.20 |
| Reds | -6.00 | -4.98 | -1.00 |
| Rebels | -7.52 | -9.53 | 2.00 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 14 matches played, 8 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 57.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
| Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs vs. Brumbies | Feb 20 | 19 – 17 | 3.30 | TRUE |
| 2 | Rebels vs. Waratahs | Feb 20 | 28 – 38 | -12.10 | TRUE |
| 3 | Bulls vs. Hurricanes | Feb 20 | 13 – 17 | 2.70 | FALSE |
| 4 | Highlanders vs. Crusaders | Feb 21 | 20 – 26 | -7.10 | TRUE |
| 5 | Reds vs. Force | Feb 21 | 18 – 6 | 0.30 | TRUE |
| 6 | Stormers vs. Blues | Feb 21 | 27 – 16 | 6.30 | TRUE |
| 7 | Sharks vs. Lions | Feb 21 | 29 – 12 | 10.90 | TRUE |
Predictions for Round 3
Here are the predictions for Round 3. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highlanders vs. Reds | Feb 27 | Highlanders | 8.10 |
| 2 | Force vs. Hurricanes | Feb 27 | Hurricanes | -3.40 |
| 3 | Cheetahs vs. Blues | Feb 27 | Blues | -0.50 |
| 4 | Chiefs vs. Crusaders | Feb 28 | Crusaders | -1.80 |
| 5 | Rebels vs. Brumbies | Feb 28 | Brumbies | -7.60 |
| 6 | Bulls vs. Sharks | Feb 28 | Bulls | 2.20 |
| 7 | Lions vs. Stormers | Feb 28 | Stormers | -3.60 |
December 8, 2014
Stat of the Week Competition: December 6 – 12 2014
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday December 12 2014.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of December 6 – 12 2014 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: December 6 – 12 2014
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
December 1, 2014
Stat of the Week Competition: November 29 – December 5 2014
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday December 5 2014.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of November 29 – December 5 2014 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: November 29 – December 5 2014
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!